New disturbance emerging from Africa

[Blown Away]

Let's talk about where this wave is going over the next few days. I say if the LLC consolidates above 15N I say very little chance of affecting the Islands or EC. Below 15N, game on!

[HURAKAN]

Making quite a first impression. WOW.

[Brent]

Continues to look extremely impressive... I think this is going to be Ana.

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

Very impressive indeed..

[Fego]

At 500 UTC, unusual spot at the center.

[Ed Mahmoud]

GFS says fish, and this probably opens a path for the next system to fish as well.


Two fish storms, everyone happy, then 3 months to the start of Texas Snow Miracle Season.

[SouthFloridawx]

[Ed Mahmoud]

24 hour hour drop from 1014 to 1012 at Sal, Republica de Cabo Verde. Only ob I can find, the capital, Praia, would be more interesting




Ok, found Praia, not exciting yet

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/08589.html

[Ed Mahmoud]

S. Fl. Wx- looks invest worthy, maybe even a TD, to my amateur eyes.

[mcallum177]

What is a fish?

[SETXWXLADY]

What is a fish?

It's a storm or hurricane that doesn't hit land and is just a concern to fish or ships.

[Derek Ortt]

GFS says fish, and this probably opens a path for the next system to fish as well.


Two fish storms, everyone happy, then 3 months to the start of Texas Snow Miracle Season.

second one does not = recurve just because the first one does

[Derek Ortt]

What is a fish?

It's a storm or hurricane that doesn't hit land and is just a concern to fish or ships.

some on this site use the term fish as anything that does not strike the Continental USA

[SETXWXLADY]

Can't post a pick. I'll try a link. Just thought was interesting the CMC 240hr has a low sitting right below Florida on the 19th. Of course that can and will probably change. Most likely before anyone sees this post. Lol.

http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_240_e.html

Ok. Hope that worked.

[cycloneye]

Code Orange

784
ABNT20 KNHC 091153
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 9 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING AN
AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
AND THE COAST OF AFRICA. THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

[ronjon]

Looks like the cape verde season is going to heat up over the next week or so. Latest GFS 15-day model runs are storms gone wild with at least three disturbances or more developing. This wave, as commented by others, already looks INVEST worthy and may become Ana down the road. Interesting that the GFS has consistently made this a fish spinner while the CMC, NOGAPs, and UKMET keep the system much further south and westward - the big difference between the models is that GFS develops low pressure at a higher LAT and much more aggressively then the other models. All of the models also develop a second disturbance coming off Africa in 3-5 days.

[cycloneye]

I smell that this thread will be locked shortly.

[ronjon]

I smell that this thread will be locked shortly.

Yeah refresh alert on the NRL page now.

[cycloneye]

In fact I spoke minutes before it happened.Is INVEST 99L!! Thread is locked.Go to active storms forum to continue the discussions and get all the information about the system.

Link to 99L thread.

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=106100&hilit=&p=1899320#p1899320