What are the chances of seeing no named storms this year? Or more realistically maybe three??
Everything coming off Africa is getting assaulted with either dry air or shear, or both. I cant remember seeing the tropics looking like this in August in a longgggg time. I mean there is nothing out there showing any signs of development.
Dumb question but ive got to ask
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george_r_1961
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Dumb question but ive got to ask
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HURAKAN
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You question yourself when will the Atlantic come alive but don't worry, sooner or later a disturbance will find favorable conditions and develop, either in the tropics or subtropics. It's looking later rather than sooner but something will develop. It will really be incredible to see a season without named storms but I don't think that will happen this year.
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Tropics Guy
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Re: Dumb question but ive got to ask
Don't bet on it happening, late Aug thru Sept & even into early Oct is usually a busy time in the Tropics. Sure the season may be dampened somewhat by el nino & other factors, like SAL, cooler SSt's, etc. But we all know that the tropics can get busy in a hurry & it's just a matter of time before the season gets going...............
TG
TG
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Re: Dumb question but ive got to ask
george_r_1961 wrote:What are the chances of seeing no named storms this year? Or more realistically maybe three??
Everything coming off Africa is getting assaulted with either dry air or shear, or both. I cant remember seeing the tropics looking like this in August in a longgggg time. I mean there is nothing out there showing any signs of development.
Except for Hurricane Alex which formed on July 31, I seem to remember thinking this in 2004 as well...
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OpieStorm
Re: Dumb question but ive got to ask
I think it's impossible for there to be NO named storms in a season. It's possible we could only see 3 but even that's a big stretch. It's only early August I'm sure there will be more than 3 named storms.
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Re: Dumb question but ive got to ask
Not at all, I'm pretty sure there have been such years. Anyway, I think the last time it was this quiet was 1992 (another El Nino year, BTW) when the infamously destructive Andrew came a callin'. The lesson here is not to let our guards down till mid December!OpieStorm wrote:I think it's impossible for there to be NO named storms in a season. It's possible we could only see 3 but even that's a big stretch. It's only early August I'm sure there will be more than 3 named storms.
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Re: Dumb question but ive got to ask
abajan wrote:Not at all, I'm pretty sure there have been such years.
There hasn't been a year without a TS in the recorded history of the Atlantic basin (since 1851).
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Re: Dumb question but ive got to ask
Okay, I stand corrected.RL3AO wrote:abajan wrote:Not at all, I'm pretty sure there have been such years.
There hasn't been a year without a TS in the recorded history of the Atlantic basin (since 1851).
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Hyperstorm
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Re: Dumb question but ive got to ask
I think this post should have waited to be written a few days later...Watch to the far east...
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