It does seem that almost every season...and I include seasons with low total storms in that...has a period where a burst of activity takes place....it is not uncommon to see a storm forming every few days during that burst.
One thing I do wonder is if an early onset of an autumn-type pattern, takes shape, would that actually increase the threat of a an october storm track with september sst, heat content etc.....i.e., a wilma or opal type track. For an area like florida, the direction to look to for storms shifts as we move from aug/sept into october....the risk of a storm doesn't diminish until november.
KWT wrote:True 2002 could be quite close, but the September that year was exceptional, thats a record there. I'd be quite amazed if anything close to that happens this season, thats not to say we can't have any bursts however, I think its highly likely we get a good 4-5 storms in a 3 week period starting close to the end of August, classic timing.
