Blob Watch 3D- upper low East of Bermuda.

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Ed Mahmoud

Blob Watch 3D- upper low East of Bermuda.

#1 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu Jul 23, 2009 6:39 am

Home made false color IR floater because, hey, nothing else to watch.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Blob Watch 3D- upper low East of Bermuda.

#2 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu Jul 23, 2009 8:34 am

Hard to tell from 24 hour time steps and low graphics resolution on freebie ECMWF site, and there is no apparent surface reflection, but is the inverted trough, slowly travelling West, and off Florida in a little over a week (at 500 mb level) my Blob?

Image
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wxman57
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Re: Blob Watch 3D- upper low East of Bermuda.

#3 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jul 23, 2009 8:57 am

This is actually the system that I think may have the best chance of developing over the next 2-3 days. Not a great chance, but better than anything else out there. Water's a bit cool there, though.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Blob Watch 3D- upper low East of Bermuda.

#4 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu Jul 23, 2009 9:02 am

Visible floater.


Only show in town...
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Re: Blob Watch 3D- upper low East of Bermuda.

#5 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu Jul 23, 2009 9:29 am

Seems to be rotating Southwest around the larger upper gyre, maybe towards better SSTs.

Image


Shear under the upper low isn't really too bad. I know that isn't exactly the preferred location, but I still say this has a better shot at being a real (sub)tropical system than 98L

Image
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Re: Blob Watch 3D- upper low East of Bermuda.

#6 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu Jul 23, 2009 10:58 am

Too far out for recon, this could be my only shot at STS Ana...
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Re: Blob Watch 3D- upper low East of Bermuda.

#7 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jul 23, 2009 11:16 am

Ed Mahmoud wrote:Too far out for recon, this could be my only shot at STS Ana...


To improve your shot at this becoming Ana, I suggest that you drive down to Galveston, search the beach for a rare old lamp, and find a genie in it to grant your one wish.
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Re: Blob Watch 3D- upper low East of Bermuda.

#8 Postby srainhoutx » Thu Jul 23, 2009 11:21 am

Meh. Play the lotto Ed, your chances are better...
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floridasun78
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#9 Postby floridasun78 » Thu Jul 23, 2009 1:04 pm

area is drying up maybe hitting dry air
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