When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

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When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

Poll ended at Sun May 31, 2009 8:52 pm

In October
1
1%
In May
16
19%
June 1-10
15
17%
June 11-20
19
22%
June 21-30
15
17%
July 1-10
8
9%
July 11-20
4
5%
July 21-31
3
3%
In August
3
3%
In September
2
2%
 
Total votes: 86

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Dave C
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#61 Postby Dave C » Thu Jul 02, 2009 4:23 am

sometime this summer :oops:
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#62 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Jul 02, 2009 8:11 pm

Hehe, I just thought of something, isn't it funny how people who say that they don't think there will be much activity this year get stamped with the label "season cancel". Yet at the same time, those who say that they think it's going be really acitive, never get stamped with the label "season active"...I mean come on, what's up with that?
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Re: When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

#63 Postby Category 5 » Thu Jul 02, 2009 8:20 pm

No storms this year, stick a fork in it, season cancel, on to 2010. :wink:
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Re: When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

#64 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Jul 02, 2009 9:37 pm

Category 5 wrote:No storms this year, stick a fork in it, season cancel, on to 2010. :wink:


*vb THWAPS C5 upside the head with a trout!*

You just had to do it didn't ya? :roll: :roll:
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Re: When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

#65 Postby angelwing » Fri Jul 03, 2009 6:20 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
Category 5 wrote:No storms this year, stick a fork in it, season cancel, on to 2010. :wink:


*vb THWAPS C5 upside the head with a trout!*

You just had to do it didn't ya? :roll: :roll:


Yeah, Cat, now watch something develop next week
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#66 Postby DanKellFla » Fri Jul 03, 2009 6:34 pm

July 10th
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Re: When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

#67 Postby StormClouds63 » Tue Jul 14, 2009 12:11 pm

I had earlier picked July 15, so I'm toast.

With that east coast trough setting up, seems like any long tracker storms are going to be re-curving out to sea (like 2006). My season prediction of 10/5/2 also looking very unlikely ... looks more like 7/4/2.
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Re: When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

#68 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 14, 2009 12:16 pm

Only 12 members from the 86 who voted are still alive.
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Re: When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

#69 Postby Lurker » Tue Jul 14, 2009 12:46 pm

cycloneye wrote:Only 12 members from the 86 who voted are still alive.


Don't forget about the 1 October vote. :lol:
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Re: When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

#70 Postby angelwing » Tue Jul 14, 2009 6:41 pm

I'm still alive for 6 days :D
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Re: When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

#71 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Jul 15, 2009 9:08 am

First week of August
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Re: When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

#72 Postby Cryomaniac » Wed Jul 15, 2009 9:44 am

Lurker wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Only 12 members from the 86 who voted are still alive.


Don't forget about the 1 October vote. :lol:


Maybe they thought it said April because it was the first poll option?
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#73 Postby Frank2 » Wed Jul 15, 2009 2:09 pm

Too late -- it already formed:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/loop-avn.html

apparently, there was a very short-lived TD or TS on the ITCZ within the past 24 hours (it has since weakened considerably)...

Frank
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#74 Postby KWT » Wed Jul 15, 2009 4:08 pm

That certainly weren't a system Frank at all, it wasn't even an invest!
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#75 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Fri Jul 17, 2009 5:47 am

july 24
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#76 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Fri Jul 17, 2009 5:48 am

and wow. hard to believe 88% of us were wrong :D

Just goes to show ya nobody can predict this stuff
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Re: When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

#77 Postby angelwing » Fri Jul 17, 2009 7:28 am

Well I'm still alive till Monday, but from the look of things, not gonna happen.
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#78 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Jul 20, 2009 9:32 am

Wow, it's hard to believe we only have less than 2 weeks left in July and yet no signs of anything in the tropics. I expected at least a few strong waves by now. I do think that by the middle of August we will have something to look at, even if it is just a few strong waves.....There may still only be 1 or 2 months of activity though since it is starting sio late.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

#79 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Jul 20, 2009 9:38 am

Looking at the ENSO models on that thread, 2010 could be an interesting season.


OK, nothing looks imminent, but the tropics do look a little more lifelike than 2 weeks ago.
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Re: When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

#80 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Jul 20, 2009 10:18 am

Ed Mahmoud wrote:Looking at the ENSO models on that thread, 2010 could be an interesting season.


OK, nothing looks imminent, but the tropics do look a little more lifelike than 2 weeks ago.



I agree Ed. The activity has increased slightly. We'll have to wait and see if it stays tha way though. I'm still not expecting much the remainder of the month though.
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