When will the first named storm form in Atlantic Basin?

[somethingfunny]

I forgot what I voted, but an X appears next to June 21-30.

Shot in the dark as always.

[southerngale]

Well, 58% were wrong. 10 days for the next 17%

[wxman57]

Come on, August!

[srainhoutx]

Come on last week of July...

[Jinkers]

Well I voted June 11-June 20th, so that leaves me out-lol

[AdamFirst]

Early July.

[vbhoutex]

I just know I have been out of the running since last month!

[RL3AO]

I took July 21 to 31. S2K my collapse if we go that long without an Atlantic storm.

[vbhoutex]

I took July 21 to 31. S2K my collapse if we go that long without an Atlantic storm.

Oh the SEASON CANCEL THREADS!!!! My head is spinning just thinking about it!!!

[boca]

I took July 21 to 31. S2K my collapse if we go that long without an Atlantic storm.

Oh the SEASON CANCEL THREADS!!!! My head is spinning just thinking about it!!!

I don't think well have seaon cancel threads since most members already know this season will be slow to begin with.

[cycloneye]

Only 20 votes are left in the poll that still are in the running (I voted July 11-20) as the rest haved been eliminated.

[tolakram]

I'm July 1-10.

[Lurker]

Who voted October? LOL

[angelwing]

Based on the family science of too many birthdays in one month I am going to pick 7/14-my BIL's birthday as he's the terror of the group

Well, I still have a chance (and watch it be on my BD on the 20th, lol!)

[ConvergenceZone]

I use to give date predictions on the first storm, but I don't anymore. It's all just a crapshoot really, as nobody has a clue(including myself)

If we went the entire month of July without a named storm, it wouldn't be that odd would it??
We are kinda due for a really slow season. Perhaps we will get lucky and it will be one of those years where we don't get anything in July and then perhaps a a couple of strong fishies in mid August through September, mixed in a couple of landfalling tropical storms....


We could all use a year like that, and it is certainly possible, but of course too early to say.

[Ed Mahmoud]

I took July 21 to 31. S2K my collapse if we go that long without an Atlantic storm.

Oh the SEASON CANCEL THREADS!!!! My head is spinning just thinking about it!!!

I'm end of July as well. I'm nervous now. May not be until August.

I'm not "Season Cancel", but I'm thinking single digits, such that my preseason storm/hurricane/intense numbers are almost certainly toast.


A couple of months early, more of an Autumn time thing, but I'm still on the watch for a Hurricane Rosa remnants crossing the Sierra Madre and ending the Houston drought in one swell foop watch mode for September and October.

[boca]

I think this year will be like 1997 in which that year was 8 storms. I originally thought 13/7/3 I don't think I'll be close.This is just a feeling I have.By the time we get into Aug and Sept shear will probably be a factor because of El Nino. My expectations are already low for this season so if nothing happens during the height of the season I won't be surprised.

[Ed Mahmoud]

If you subtract the 4 storms of non-tropical origin, finishing with minimal Cat 1 Hurricane Danny in July, from the 1997 total, the season primetime was almost 'season cancel'.

[ConvergenceZone]

I think this year will be like 1997 in which that year was 8 storms. I originally thought 13/7/3 I don't think I'll be close.This is just a feeling I have.By the time we get into Aug and Sept shear will probably be a factor because of El Nino. My expectations are already low for this season so if nothing happens during the height of the season I won't be surprised.

I"m not sure how many storms will form this year, but my numbers are low as well....Didn't last year start late, and then there was a pretty busy period, but then it died off pretty quickly after that?

I don't think we will know if it's going to be a slow season for another month and 1/2. We should have a very good idea by then though.

[Macrocane]

I"m not sure how many storms will form this year, but my numbers are low as well....Didn't last year start late, and then there was a pretty busy period, but then it died off pretty quickly after that?

I don't think we will know if it's going to be a slow season for another month and 1/2. We should have a very good idea by then though.

Actually last year started really busy, Arthur formed May 31st and then during July we had Bertha (cat 3), Cristobal and Dolly. And it didn't die off quickly, we had Paloma (cat 4) during November. Your description seems to be of 2004 season, it started really late and died quickly on early October.