Gulf of Tehuantepec Blob

#1 Postby **tailgater** » Thu Jun 18, 2009 4:41 pm

This area looks like something might get it's act together for another Epac system.

KWT · #2 Postby **KWT** » Thu Jun 18, 2009 6:09 pm

Models have been toying with this area for a fair few days now, needs watching.

#3 Postby **brunota2003** » Thu Jun 18, 2009 6:40 pm

BEAR WATCH!!!

#4 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Jun 19, 2009 7:05 pm

344
ABPZ20 KNHC 200000
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI JUN 19 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E...WHICH HAS DISSIPATED NEAR THE COAST OF
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER THAT EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF MEXICO SOUTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HEAVY RAINS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

#5 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Jun 19, 2009 7:11 pm

Macrocane · #6 Postby **Macrocane** » Fri Jun 19, 2009 7:38 pm

This is the disturbance that could be Andres in about 3 to 5 days, it would have a hard time beacause of land interaction, but it has a medium chance IMHO.

#7 Postby **srainhoutx** » Fri Jun 19, 2009 10:04 pm

I tend to agree. We appear about 10-12 days out for some real EPAC development.

#8 Postby **BigA** » Sat Jun 20, 2009 1:04 am

Impressive blowup of convection west of what appears to be the nascent center. We'll have to see if it persists.

#9 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Jun 20, 2009 5:30 am

#10 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sat Jun 20, 2009 5:32 am

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI JUN 19 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTINUES FROM THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF MEXICO SOUTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES...AND IS
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HEAVY RAINS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

KWT · #11 Postby **KWT** » Sat Jun 20, 2009 6:39 am

Lot of instablity around with a huge explosion of convection south of central America which Hurakan's image shows. Would not be impossible to see this develop if the whole area can move away from land, the latest convective burst does seem like its heading away from land now.

#12 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jun 20, 2009 10:45 am

If convection keeps as it is today,invest status may be very soon up.

#13 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jun 20, 2009 12:23 pm

This disturbance is now invest 93E.Thread is locked.

Go to thread at active storms forum for all the information about this invest.

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=105610&hilit=&p=1886788#p1886788

Gulf of Tehuantepec Blob

Gulf of Tehuantepec Blob

Gulf of Tehuantepec Disturbance

Re: Gulf of Tehuantepec Disturbance

Re: Gulf of Tehuantepec Disturbance

Re: Gulf of Tehuantepec Disturbance

Re: Gulf of Tehuantepec Disturbance

Who is online