Well all is quiet for now...

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Typhoon_Willie
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Well all is quiet for now...

#1 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Wed Jul 23, 2003 11:46 pm

The Atlantic Basin is taking a breather there! 8-) Well guys any ideas as to when something will start to pop again?
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#2 Postby southerngale » Thu Jul 24, 2003 1:34 am

I'm sure it won't be long. ;)
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#3 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Jul 24, 2003 2:08 am

I agree, the way this season seems to be going and almost having (at least) a tropical storm this week, something is bound to develop soon enough.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Fri Jul 25, 2003 2:42 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 24, 2003 6:40 am

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/JSJ/AFDSJU

Dry air dominates the tropical atlantic and is capping the atlantic and until it goes away we will not see developments east of the islands.The San Juan NWS discussion says it all very well about what is going on with the dry air and dust.
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#5 Postby 2 Seam Fastball » Thu Jul 24, 2003 8:26 am

I was wondering the same thing. This is too quiet. Will it heat up again in August?
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#6 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Jul 24, 2003 9:16 am

I'm sure it will heat up again in August, but the unusually active July is being suppressed and will probably be suppressed at least for the next few days while the Tropical Atlantic Region is pretty much dominated by the Saharan Air Layer (SAL).
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#7 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Jul 24, 2003 9:43 am

From everything I'm seeing and reading(THANKS LUIS!!!) we probably have about a week maybe two of "quiet".

The areas to watch would seem to be the E and W Caribbean and the GOM, especially the far SW and E portions. These are areas where some moisture is present for use by the waves. However, climatology does not favor the GOM at this time. That being said, we have very strong troughs coming S into the N GOM this week and the possibility of cut-off lows forming is always something we watch when troughs make it into the GOM during the summer.

The discussions Luis has provided us from the San Juan NWS office are explaining the reasons the season is like it is very well. They are good reading and very understandable for even those who are not "weatjer savvy".
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#8 Postby Colin » Thu Jul 24, 2003 10:21 am

Looks to be a few weeks before things start popping again...we needed this break... :o
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