Blown_away wrote:On this date and time climatology does not agree w/ a sharp left turn into CA. The comment was not meant to be scientific fact, I should have been more specific, Ike did not follow climatology and spared SFL and it seems 99L is not following climatology on this date and time.
There is no climatology for individual dates; climatology is solely intended for periods (i.e. October 1-15, etc.), months, years, etc. Your comment doesn't make sense (to me), but to each his own...
There is only one climatological database, and it does not agree with your hypothesis that Florida is more favored than Central America.
Although Ike was climatologically unusual, WSW/SW turns are common in September, so Ike wasn't unusual from that point of view; it was unusual because of its Texas landfall after it attained high latitudes.
Edit: Did you base your assertion on the CLP model?