Interesting.....

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Amanzi
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Interesting.....

#1 Postby Amanzi » Tue Jul 22, 2003 2:46 pm

000
AXNT20 KNHC 221812
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE 22 JUL 2003



STRONG TROPICAL WAVE...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. SIX...IS ALONG 67W S
OF 20N MOVING W 20 KT. A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CENTER IS NOTED NEAR
14N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
LOCATED FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 65W-70W.
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#2 Postby Air Force Met » Tue Jul 22, 2003 2:54 pm

Frankly...I have no idea what they are seeing. There is some cyclonic turning at the surface...and some cyclonic turning in the cirrus near 14N...but I see the small cu elements moving due west out of the area where they say there is a LLCC. Interesting indeed.
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#3 Postby Colin » Tue Jul 22, 2003 3:24 pm

Interesting...will be something to keep an eye on.
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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Tue Jul 22, 2003 9:14 pm

On that same last light visible satellite imagery, that so-called low level center (which I did NOT see) ... a strong outflow boundary (arc cloud) busted out of the convection and moved a full 5ºW in a matter of 7 frames (3½ hours) ... the only rotation I've noted up to this point is a mid-level cyclonic turn ...

So far, strong shear (produced by an ULL) which has suddenly slowed down on the last few IR images I've seen ...

Furthermore, it's going to encounter land problems and maybe a part of Hispanola as well, but the bottom line is don't expect anything reforming at least for the next couple of days ... there's just too much on the way of prohibiting factors ...

SF
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