ATL GUSTAV: Tropical Depression - Discussion

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haml8
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Gustav between Cuba and Haiti

#3521 Postby haml8 » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:41 am

Javlin wrote:I found this info about oil production losses but what I found more interesting there analysis of best performing track(model) in the 2nd pic,just food for thought.Sounds like some of WX57 line of work.Kevin

http://hurricane.methaz.org/tracking/data/todindex.html


Welcome to the board...
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Jason_B

Re: Re:

#3522 Postby Jason_B » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:42 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:

It would be kinda funny if we only end up with a tropical storm in the gulf of mexico due to all the shear...It could happen
Wasn't Fay suppose to wipe Tampa off the map? It wouldn't surprise me either, but not letting my guard down.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Gustav between Cuba and Haiti

#3523 Postby Johnny » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:44 am

Jason said...
I'm keeping my own long-term progonsitications to myself for now, but as a hint, I did buy water last night.


Did the same thing this morning. I bought five 33 bottle cases at HEB. I drink the heck out of water anyway so I'll be putting them to use one way or another. The last thing I want to do is get caught up in the frenzy if Gus pays us a visit. I've got to make a run for batteries here in a bit and I'm good to go.
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Re:

#3524 Postby Agua » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:45 am

Tampa DMB Fan wrote:Hey guys I'm new to the board. Just want to say I enjoy reading all your comments.

Welcome. Your introduction is likely to go largely unnoticed, but don't be offended. As you've realized, storms such as this are the high points of activity on S2K.

Best spot in the world for TC weather weenie discussion.
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Re: Re:

#3525 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:45 am

Jason_B wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:

It would be kinda funny if we only end up with a tropical storm in the gulf of mexico due to all the shear...It could happen
Wasn't Fay suppose to wipe Tampa off the map? It wouldn't surprise me either, but not letting my guard down.



Personally I would love that.
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Re: Re:

#3526 Postby Noles2006 » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:46 am

Jason_B wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:

It would be kinda funny if we only end up with a tropical storm in the gulf of mexico due to all the shear...It could happen
Wasn't Fay suppose to wipe Tampa off the map? It wouldn't surprise me either, but not letting my guard down.


The highest forecasted intensity by the NHC for Fay was 80Kt... I don't think that would be considered something that would "wipe Tampa off the map"...
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Re: Re:

#3527 Postby RL3AO » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:46 am

Jason_B wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:

It would be kinda funny if we only end up with a tropical storm in the gulf of mexico due to all the shear...It could happen
Wasn't Fay suppose to wipe Tampa off the map? It wouldn't surprise me either, but not letting my guard down.


It was? The NHC never forecasted anything over a strong cat 1/weak cat 2 near Tampa.
Last edited by RL3AO on Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:47 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#3528 Postby mattpetre » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:46 am

If the steering product is right, the ridge has really build westward and lends some credence to the CMC and Euro... just wait and see for now though.

Image
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Gustav between Cuba and Haiti

#3529 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:49 am

Convection continues to build near or over the center.

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#3530 Postby Frank2 » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:51 am

...but look at that NE shear across the system - the Mona Passage is mostly sunny and breezy...
Last edited by Frank2 on Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:54 am, edited 2 times in total.
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RL3AO
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Re:

#3531 Postby RL3AO » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:52 am

Frank2 wrote:...but look at that NE shear across the system - the Mona Passage is mostly sunny and breezy...


What shear?

Image
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#3532 Postby Frank2 » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:53 am

The NHC mentions it in the TCD...
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#3533 Postby Frank2 » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:54 am

...of course I meant the Windward Passage...

LOL
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#3534 Postby gatorcane » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:54 am

its shear from the ULL that I mentioned would affect Gustav

It's doing a number on it right now.
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Re:

#3535 Postby RL3AO » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:55 am

Frank2 wrote:The NHC mentions it in the TCD...


CIRRUS MOTIONS INDICATE SOME MODEST
NORTHERLY SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM BUT OTHERWISE THE ENVIRONMENT SEEMS
TO BE FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING.

From what I've heard on here today from some, you would think it has Chris like shear.
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#3536 Postby Frank2 » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:56 am

Well, the shear is perhaps more than modest at this point - I'm sure the NHC forecasters have noticed it, too...
Last edited by Frank2 on Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#3537 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Aug 27, 2008 11:58 am

Frank2 wrote:Well, the shear perhaps is more than modest at this point - I'm sure they NHC forecasters have noticed it, too...



It's there.
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#3538 Postby Frank2 » Wed Aug 27, 2008 12:00 pm

I'm typo-prone today - sorry about that...

LOL
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Re: Re:

#3539 Postby haml8 » Wed Aug 27, 2008 12:00 pm

RL3AO wrote:
Frank2 wrote:...but look at that NE shear across the system - the Mona Passage is mostly sunny and breezy...


What shear?

Image


RL3AO what is the difference between the picture you put up and the one previously put up a couple of posts ago by mattpetre?
Last edited by haml8 on Wed Aug 27, 2008 12:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#3540 Postby WhirlWind » Wed Aug 27, 2008 12:01 pm

Hey Tampa DMB Fan welcome to storm2k, I have been a member here for a long time now and it has been a blessing when the storms are are their way. As well as a great place to learn, everyone here is great about explaining things you may not understand, and never do they make you feel stupid!!! :D Again WELCOME
WhirlWind
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