Tropical Wave in Central Atlantic

[dixiebreeze]

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
24/0600 UTC 12.4N 28.2W TOO WEAK INVEST -- Atlantic Ocean

Check coordinates, not 94 or 95. IR Floater is on it.

[dixiebreeze]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float4.html

[USTropics]

This is from the 8AM (which was actually posted at 6:40AM )

A TROPICAL WAVE IS WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ALONG 28W/29W
MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KT. A QSCAT PASS FROM AROUND 0740 UTC SHOWS
CLEARLY A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR
12.5N28.5W. A 1010 MB LOW WAS ANALYZED ON THE 0600 UTC SURFACE
MAP IN THAT AREA. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150
NM NW QUADRANT OF THE LOW CENTER. FIRST VIS IMAGERY FOR THE DAY
ALSO SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF BANDING.

Just a note this isn't the area that the GFS 00z has shown formation for. That wave has yet to emerge off of Africa.

[Thunder44]

No new invest is up on ATCF or NRL, at this time.

[abajan]

I was wondering if anyone else was aware of this because I only just noticed it being mentioned at http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html . Initially, I thought it was a typo about either 94L or 95L, then I noticed the longitudinal coordinate.

[RL3AO]

SSD tags a system invest anytime they want to put a floater on it. Its doesn't mean anything until the NHC tags it.

[abajan]

From the 8:00 a.m. TWD:

...TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 34W S OF 17N WITH A 1010 MB LOW ALONG THE
WAVE NEAR 12N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF LINE FROM 14N32W TO 11N35W...

Could this be a player down the road? Impressive satellite presentation IMO.

[Gustywind]

Aboslutely Abajan, why not? seems pretty healthy ....and dry air should not be a problem
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8split.jpg

Whereas i'm a little dubtfull about some imediate developpement, because of the high shear values doting the area, and especially in vicinity....a through is ahead the wave so ...possible developpement may occur near the 50w
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
Any models developp it Abajan, have you got infos on that?
Any thoughts about this ? tkanks everbody.

[HURAKAN]

[Praxus]

Not surprised

[KWT]

Looks very good indeed, would think this has a real shot at development, however I suspect this will be overlooked thanks to Gustav for a fair while. Will likely take a path close to ex-95L I'd guess.

[CrazyC83]

The Euro model blows this up into a monster east of the Leewards...

[Gustywind]

The Euro model blows this up into a monster east of the Leewards...

Oh yeah? interresting , and can you provide me a link please?tkanks my friend.

[Meso]

The euro does show a strong storm, followed by another 1 or 2 CV storms after that :o But... I don't think the big one is from this wave, the CMC is another model that is convinced of a large, powerful CV storm.. The Euro and the CMC only move the wave they develop off Africa in 1 or 2 days though... but for interest sake incase I am wrong

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
GUSTAV...LOCATED ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT-AU-
PRINCE HAITI...AND THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS
ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY...LOCATED OVER
NORTHERN ALABAMA.

A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. WHILE UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THEY ARE FORECAST
TO GRADUALLY MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.

A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF
DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH
OF BERMUDA ARE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[expat2carib]

Orange

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008


A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF
DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

[bvigal]

Yeah, one would think orange circles would denote some type of invest, no?

[Gustywind]

Looks like it the same thread viewtopic.php?f=31&t=102727 " Invest 96"? Maybe we should merge it to one thread? Cycloneye where are you?

[cycloneye]

I merged the abajan thread to this one to not have duplicated threads for the same system.

[cycloneye]

039
ABNT20 KNHC 262358
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
GUSTAV...LOCATED JUST INLAND ABOUT 60 MILES WEST OF PORT-AU-PRINCE
HAITI...AND THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FAY...LOCATED NEAR THE ALABAMA/TENNESSEE BORDER.

A LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE
FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION...THEY ARE FORECAST TO GRADUALLY
BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...ABOUT 200
MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...IS PRODUCING LIMITED
AND DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10
TO 15 MPH.

CLOUDINESS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF BERMUDA ARE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME