Claudette's eventual landfall areas ...

[Stormsfury]

After a long day at work, I've found to my surprise, Claudette's northwestward movement as placed her in precarious waters, so to speak ... and obviously, my calls for Corpus Christi south to Brownsville, TX are obviously going to bust ...

Right now, still the models are emphatic on the west to west-northwest turn in the next few hours and may have begun to do so .. From Galveston, TX south to Corpus Christi, TX right now looks to be the prime candidates for landfall ATT ...

A lesson from Claudette ... she has played by her own rules and when TC's stall out, like I said before, all bets are off ...

We are now entering near 7 pm, and convection has re-fired and now appears to be wrapping on the western semicircle on the latest satellite imagery I just viewed ... in fact, it's quite possible, based on the circulation of the lower cloud canopy, that Claudette is getting very close to hurricane strength ...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Based on the long range radar from Galveston, TX - Claudette appears to be moving west but this isn't exactly the best indicator of movement since Claudette is still well offshore ...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... khgx.shtml

The globals models were emphatic on developing a Central US ridge, which has happened but slightly weaker and later than expected which IMO, allowed for the increased northward elevation of Claudette's location ...

And with that, I still am pretty much with NHC's official window ... with landfall occurring somewhere between Corpus Christi, and Galveston, TX ... more likely just along the latitude line with is shared by Victoria, TX...


SF

[Guest]

Good range Storms - I myself am saying Galveston - but who knows - we got a 24 hour window to see what she does.

Good post.

[cycloneye]

Let's see if your landfall projection pans out because knowing the history of this system she still can pull another surprise and go more north but the comming hours will be decisive for the future landfall area of Claudette

[southerngale]

SF....I also noticed that she appeared to be moving west on radar. Why isn't that a good indicator?

Also, could this be a jog similar to yesterday evening or this more likely her westward trend starting?

[Stormsfury]

Just bumping this up and to report that, of course, everyone knows where the official landfall was ... Victoria, TX is very near the same latitude line that I projected last night ... the reason was that I didn't know the specific islands, towns, etc. in that area ...

I'm just relieved that Claudette didn't have another 24-48 hours over water, 'cuz based on the organization of Claudette looking at earlier satellite imagery indicated she was really coming together .... fast.

SF

[isobar]

Good call, SF!

[Guest]

Good call SF...............My forecast held up pretty good as well from Saturday which the link below shows..................Pretty impressive on how some of us forecasted her including the NHC...............Who ever else had a last final prediction and held on to it place it here in this thread..................

My prediction on here from Saturday............Them red areas is what had now became the warning areas........This below is the map.


And below here is the thread where i made this call offically.............
http://storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=8719

[Stormsfury]

Good call also on your part as well, king .. Both of us were discussing possible landfall points Saturday night in chat and when both of us were debating if and when the high would take hold of her ... we came up with different ways to get her in that area but both of us agreed that area was prime ...