ATL GUSTAV: Tropical Depression - Discussion

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Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1221 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:23 am

This time I'm going with the NHC's track and throwing out the intensity forecast. The NHC was almost dead on with the Fay track from the beginning.
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Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1222 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:24 am

I don't think this is a dry spot for 2 reasons first I see no dry air entering the storm anywhere and two if it was dry air then it would not LOOK like it was or is stregthening....

PS i THINK THIS THING IS REALLY REALLY BOMBING OUT RIGHT NOW
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Re: Re:

#1223 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:24 am

ROCK wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Image

:think: dry spot, dry spot, dry spot :think:




yeah, where is MATT? give me an eye roll.. :lol: ...that is an eye....


If this were a hurrricane already then it would have to be some sort of record and a big drop pass by the NHC....neither is likely.
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#1224 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:25 am

here is a good loop for members to look at developing 94L. It's nonJAVA based so loads very quickly :)

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif
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Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1225 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:25 am

Stormcenter wrote:
Cryomaniac wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Right to hurricane.


In my completely unprofessional opinion, I highly doubt it.



I second and third that unprofessional opinion.


Has that ever happened?
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Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1226 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:25 am

Im still not to sure about a SF threat.. but what do I know
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Re: ATL: Invest 94L=Tropical Cyclone at 11 am

#1227 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:25 am

NHC will have a harder time with this for obvious reasons. As they have up to now.
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Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1228 Postby WmE » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:25 am

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:I don't think this is a dry spot for 2 reasons first I see no dry air entering the storm anywhere and two if it was dry air then it would not LOOK like it was or is stregthening....

PS i THINK THIS THING IS REALLY REALLY BOMBING OUT RIGHT NOW


Yep I agree.
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#1229 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:25 am

I think its an eye

Check it out on this fast-loading loop:

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif
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Re: ATL: Invest 94L=Tropical Cyclone at 11 am

#1230 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:27 am

I think its an eye



It's an obvious eye confirmed on IR already.
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#1231 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:27 am

it appears to be making WNW wobbles also
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Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1232 Postby WmE » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:28 am

Blown_away wrote:
Cryomaniac wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Right to hurricane.


In my completely unprofessional opinion, I highly doubt it.


Has that ever happened?


I don't know for sure, but I doubt it.
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#1233 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:28 am

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... 8237go.jpg
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Re: ATL: Invest 94L=Tropical Cyclone at 11 am

#1234 Postby Buck » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:28 am

Wow, look at this thing go! 2005/2007 like rapid intensification seems like it may be happening.
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Re: ATL: Invest 94L=Tropical Cyclone at 11 am

#1235 Postby littlevince » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:28 am

07L on SDD floater
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float2.html
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Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1236 Postby Category 5 » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:28 am

Sanibel wrote:Right to hurricane.


LOL, care to back that up?
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Re: ATL: Invest 94L=Tropical Cyclone at 11 am

#1237 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:29 am

Does a rapidly developing deeper system go more N in this situation?
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#1238 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:29 am

Image
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Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1239 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:29 am

Category 5 wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Right to hurricane.


LOL, care to back that up?


If it has an eye like that, it could already be a hurricane or rapidly becoming one:

Image
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Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1240 Postby ColdFusion » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:30 am

Blown_away wrote:This time I'm going with the NHC's track and throwing out the intensity forecast. The NHC was almost dead on with the Fay track from the beginning.


LOL, good one, you made me spit coffee on that one.
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