ATL GUSTAV: Tropical Depression - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10147
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1221 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:23 am

This time I'm going with the NHC's track and throwing out the intensity forecast. The NHC was almost dead on with the Fay track from the beginning.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 44
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:
Contact hurricanefloyd5

Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1222 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:24 am

I don't think this is a dry spot for 2 reasons first I see no dry air entering the storm anywhere and two if it was dry air then it would not LOOK like it was or is stregthening....

PS i THINK THIS THING IS REALLY REALLY BOMBING OUT RIGHT NOW
0 likes   
Top
Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6684
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: Re:

#1223 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:24 am

ROCK wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Image

:think: dry spot, dry spot, dry spot :think:




yeah, where is MATT? give me an eye roll.. :lol: ...that is an eye....


If this were a hurrricane already then it would have to be some sort of record and a big drop pass by the NHC....neither is likely.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#1224 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:25 am

here is a good loop for members to look at developing 94L. It's nonJAVA based so loads very quickly :)

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10147
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1225 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:25 am

Stormcenter wrote:
Cryomaniac wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Right to hurricane.


In my completely unprofessional opinion, I highly doubt it.



I second and third that unprofessional opinion.


Has that ever happened?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Bocadude85
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2991
Age: 38
Joined: Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:20 pm
Location: Honolulu,Hi

Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1226 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:25 am

Im still not to sure about a SF threat.. but what do I know
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: ATL: Invest 94L=Tropical Cyclone at 11 am

#1227 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:25 am

NHC will have a harder time with this for obvious reasons. As they have up to now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WmE
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 696
Age: 36
Joined: Sat Jun 17, 2006 11:23 am
Location: Vienna, Austria

Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1228 Postby WmE » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:25 am

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:I don't think this is a dry spot for 2 reasons first I see no dry air entering the storm anywhere and two if it was dry air then it would not LOOK like it was or is stregthening....

PS i THINK THIS THING IS REALLY REALLY BOMBING OUT RIGHT NOW


Yep I agree.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#1229 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:25 am

I think its an eye

Check it out on this fast-loading loop:

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: ATL: Invest 94L=Tropical Cyclone at 11 am

#1230 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:27 am

I think its an eye



It's an obvious eye confirmed on IR already.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#1231 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:27 am

it appears to be making WNW wobbles also
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WmE
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 696
Age: 36
Joined: Sat Jun 17, 2006 11:23 am
Location: Vienna, Austria

Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1232 Postby WmE » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:28 am

Blown_away wrote:
Cryomaniac wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Right to hurricane.


In my completely unprofessional opinion, I highly doubt it.


Has that ever happened?


I don't know for sure, but I doubt it.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#1233 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:28 am

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... 8237go.jpg
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Buck
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1173
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:04 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: ATL: Invest 94L=Tropical Cyclone at 11 am

#1234 Postby Buck » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:28 am

Wow, look at this thing go! 2005/2007 like rapid intensification seems like it may be happening.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
littlevince
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 768
Joined: Fri Oct 21, 2005 10:45 am
Location: Portugal

Re: ATL: Invest 94L=Tropical Cyclone at 11 am

#1235 Postby littlevince » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:28 am

07L on SDD floater
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float2.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Category 5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10074
Age: 35
Joined: Sun Feb 11, 2007 10:00 pm
Location: New Brunswick, NJ
Contact:
Contact Category 5

Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1236 Postby Category 5 » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:28 am

Sanibel wrote:Right to hurricane.


LOL, care to back that up?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10147
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: Invest 94L=Tropical Cyclone at 11 am

#1237 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:29 am

Does a rapidly developing deeper system go more N in this situation?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#1238 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:29 am

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1239 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:29 am

Category 5 wrote:
Sanibel wrote:Right to hurricane.


LOL, care to back that up?


If it has an eye like that, it could already be a hurricane or rapidly becoming one:

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ColdFusion
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 443
Joined: Wed Feb 13, 2008 3:46 pm
Location: Addison, TX

Re: Invest_RENUMBER_al942008_al072008.ren=TC at 11 am

#1240 Postby ColdFusion » Mon Aug 25, 2008 9:30 am

Blown_away wrote:This time I'm going with the NHC's track and throwing out the intensity forecast. The NHC was almost dead on with the Fay track from the beginning.


LOL, good one, you made me spit coffee on that one.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2008”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests