10 PM CDT advisory:Winds increase to 65 mph Stationary

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cycloneye
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10 PM CDT advisory:Winds increase to 65 mph Stationary

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 13, 2003 9:41 pm

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... v_nt4.html

They have it as a hurricane before landfall.
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#2 Postby Lindaloo » Sun Jul 13, 2003 9:46 pm

The longer it is stationery, the more it has a chance to gain strength? I just saw Jeff Morrow reporting from Padres Island and the locals do not seem too concerned right now. 65 MPH winds would be a bit of a concern to me. Emergency Management there in Padres Island seemed to be on top of things however.
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 13, 2003 9:46 pm

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#4 Postby wx247 » Sun Jul 13, 2003 10:02 pm

Any decrease in the shear will allow a window of opportunity for Claudette to strengthen. It will be a game of off again/on again until she finally makes landfall.
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#5 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Jul 13, 2003 10:07 pm

Despite continued shear and some dry air to the west of Claudette, environmental conditions are very slowly improving around Claudette ... this is noted with the new convection which has appeared now on the NW quad of Claudette ... a sign of lessening shear ...

Any lessening of the shear should be able to allow Claudette to reach hurricane status even if it's just in another burst of convection ...

SF
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#6 Postby JetMaxx » Sun Jul 13, 2003 11:12 pm

In all honesty, NHC is really being conservative estimating sustained winds of only 65 mph.

Two flight level wind reports a couple hours apart of 79 and 80 mph along with a 991-992 mb pressure center is actually more indicative of a 70 mph tropical storm...on the verge of becoming a hurricane.

PW
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#7 Postby Lindaloo » Mon Jul 14, 2003 7:26 am

What are the winds gusting to? No one has mentioned that.
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#8 Postby Colin » Mon Jul 14, 2003 10:18 am

I think Claudette will become a hurricane in not too long...shear is probably decreasing, giving Claudette time to strengthen into a hurricane.
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