She's Back boys and girls ...Yikes

wrkh99 · #1 Postby **wrkh99** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 12:48 pm

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... =spect.pal

chadtm80 · #2 Postby **chadtm80** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 12:55 pm

Looking much better...

wrkh99 · #3 Postby **wrkh99** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 12:59 pm

I wonder what the 4pm Update will say ?

chadtm80 · #4 Postby **chadtm80** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 1:05 pm

Dont know.... Cant wait to see the 5pm est.. LOL

chadtm80 · #5 Postby **chadtm80** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 1:15 pm

New center right under heavy convection???????????????

wrkh99 · #6 Postby **wrkh99** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 1:25 pm

Not sure .... If it is then watch out

PTrackerLA · #7 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 1:40 pm

I'm starting to think that really is where the new center has formed. Almost looks like an eyewall on the IR?

#8 Postby **Pebbles** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 1:54 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:I'm starting to think that really is where the new center has formed. Almost looks like an eyewall on the IR?

kinda..but this one lookes even more noticable http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

i have a party to go to so won't be around but want to know what you all think..

#9 Postby **wxman57** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 2:00 pm

The only problem with that eyewall theory is that the spot on the satellite imagery is 100 miles north of the center. Remember, that convection is not located over the center of Claudette - it's being sheared off to the north.

chadtm80 · #10 Postby **chadtm80** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 2:02 pm

What coords are you using as the center wx?

#11 Postby **wxman57** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 2:07 pm

Well, as I measure the center on my screen, it's about 150 miles across north/south and 120 miles across east/west. Just one giant low with several small eddies rotating around. Recon keeps finding a center near the northeastern part of this broad low pressure region around 24.4N/90.8W.

GalvestonDuck · #12 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 2:16 pm

Chad, I'm coming in to chat...hopefully you're there, cuz I'm wondering about what my untrained eyes are seeing on here: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
after what you showed us here: http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=8624

My question is in regards to where you showed us that water vapor line (illustrated with your green line) and how it was blocking Claudette from us and moving her either west or north, depending upon her speed and so forth. On the newest WV loop, it looks like the line is thinning out (?) or dissipating, especially over the TX/LA border (again, I don't know met stuff so I don't really know what I'm seeing).

Is that a problem that could allow Claudette to come this way since, to me, she still doesn't look westerly enough for my comfort or am I just seeing something that I don't know how to interpret?

Thanks, Chad and anyone else!

#13 Postby **wxman57** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 2:44 pm

Don't look at the upper-levels for steering on this one, look down low. Winds aloft may be strong and from the south, but the storm is weak and down low. Winds at 20,000ft and below are blowing from the N-NE (or will be as the high builds east tomorrow). Claudette will move with the mid to low-level flow - toward Texas.

southerngale · #14 Postby **southerngale** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 2:48 pm

What part of Texas?

#15 Postby **wxman57** » Sat Jul 12, 2003 3:25 pm

Probably between northern Mexico and Corpus Christi.

She's Back boys and girls ...Yikes

She's Back boys and girls ...Yikes

Nope

Coords

Look Lower

Lower Coast

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