ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[MiamiensisWx]

TUTT to the west is moving out of the way:

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/trop_ge_wv_ls_0.html

[Blown Away]

It sure is nice of 92L to give us a bullseye to follow!

[Derek Ortt]

it needs more than this to do anything

[HURAKAN]

it needs more than this to do anything

There is no question about it, but it's not dead either.

[DESTRUCTION5]

it needs more than this to do anything

Derek you and Frank have lunch together today?

[boca]

Yes at least we have something in the center to follow. I agree with Sandy on the Dmax later tonight. Clearly moving WNW.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

[txwatcher91]

I have noticed over the years with developing TD's that these little bursts over the center like this usually will rapidly expand as the night goes on and if the system has an MLC, which this one appears to have, then one or two bursts like this can quickly develop an LLC. All of this is IMO and IME.

[Ivanhater]

Our seed is growing

[Blown Away]

Yes at least we have something in the center to follow. I agree with Sandy on the Dmax later tonight. Clearly moving WNW.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

It seems in the last few frames more of a WNW than NW.

[canegrl04]

92L seems destined to become Fay,which reminds me of other infamous F storms,Fran and Floyd

[cycloneye]

The 00:00 UTC Best Track.The latitud position is now at 17.0n.It looks like the Leewards will be in the clear,but until it passes the longitud of the islands,dont let your guard down,those members who live there.

AL, 92, 2008081300, , BEST, 0, 170N, 532W, 25, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0,

[boca]

Yes at least we have something in the center to follow. I agree with Sandy on the Dmax later tonight. Clearly moving WNW.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

It seems in the last few frames more of a WNW than NW.

Yes blown away lets see if that burst around the center expands like a few posters have said would happen.

[Blown Away]

I hope somebody who is better than me w/ graphics saves this image of 92L and it's convection dot, because if it becomes at Cat 4 like the GFDL says we will want to look back at this moment.

[boca]

Here's another view of 92L.

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif

[jhamps10]

I hope somebody who is better than me w/ graphics saves this image of 92L and it's convection dot, because if it becomes at Cat 4 like the GFDL says we will want to look back at this moment.

it's saved on my computer...

[BensonTCwatcher]

92L seems destined to become Fay,which reminds me of other infamous F storms,Fran and Floyd

easy now...don't like the girls with f names...

[HURAKAN]

[Weatherfreak14]

Here's another view of 92L.

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif

wow, it rather looks organized..... Without Convection, thats all it needs and the LLC to form.

[txwatcher91]

Outflow looks to be improving from that image, if that burst can expand we may have something here.

[blp]

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop_640.asp?product=tropical_ge_4km_visir2_floater_1

That view always makes things look better but I have to say (and I'm wrong oh about 99.2% of the time) it's suddenly looking like it wants to get organized.

Now I'll take an oath of not posting for a few hours then look again.

Thanks for posting that link above. I have always had issue with the CSU imagery on the main site with the images jumping, this link is smooth. I will bookmark this link. You can really see the structure improving even though the convection is limited.