Ex Invest 99L in Western Atlantic

[boca]

Its definately a tenacious little bugger isn't it. The convection is winding down to the point that it might not recover this time.

[storms in NC]

Nothing is going to happen with X99L. When it split yesterday it took most of the energy with it. This is a open wave nothing more than a very small rain maker.

[drezee]

That buoy is reporting 15 kt SE winds.

that picture I linked was created at 0000UTC...check the obs then

Was similar at 00z, also 15 kt. I spot a 21kt ESE reading from 05 UTC.

Please read my statement, I was talking aboue waves...also 1-minute sustained winds were up to 30mph.

[Chacor]

Please read my statement, I was talking aboue waves...also 1-minute sustained winds were up to 30mph.

I know you're talking about waves, my comment was about the winds the buoy was reporting.

[cpdaman]

let's see if i can look into my crystal ball

over the course of today , the convection will remain scant and everyone will jump off the bandwagon but Honeyko, tonite it will refire and a few more will jump on, then tommorrow it will die out and the pattern repeats and i'll be checking in on it the whole time lol

[tailgater]

It's starting to fire up some smallT-storms near the center again.

[Sanibel]

Too weak.

Nothing to this. It would have done it by now.


Atlantic dry in convection again.

[cpdaman]

seems like low level steering may take this to about 77 tonite, then slow it down markedly with it perhaps drifting just east of the se part of florida thursday and then moving slowly northward on friday.

[storms in NC]

It's starting to fire up some smallT-storms near the center again.

Where is the center?

I didn't know a open wave has a center.

[Chacor]

From the 8:05 TWD (which was issued nearly four hours ago at 6:43):

THE HIGH AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE E CARIBBEAN HAS
BROKEN. THE N PART IS MOVING NWD OVER THE W ATLC AS A SURFACE
TROUGH WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE WAVE IS ALONG 72W S OF 21N
MOVING W AT 20-25 KT.

...

A SURFACE
TROUGH IS E OF THE BAHAMAS FROM 28N69W TO 23N72W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-25N BETWEEN 71W-73W.

[Sanibel]

Crazy thing still has a spiral to it.

[HURAKAN]

If I'm wrong I'll be happy, but NEXT.

[Cyclone1]

I've never seen a tropical cyclone develop from cirrus clouds...

SO, I'm calling this one officially, forever dead. If it redevelops, I will eat my computer.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Home made visible satellite loop made with love and a box of NASA satellite loop cake mix.

It doesn't look great, but it doesn't look terrible.

I know the front is supposed to dig down a little further, but it might slip under, as weak as it is, before low to mid-level winds turn Southwest.




My unofficial prognosis (I am not a doctor, but I play one on TV), while the patient, ex 99L is rather sick, there is a small chance of recovery. It might slip through the Keys. Not likely, but not impossible.

[HURAKAN]

Circulation is evident in the loop.

[cpdaman]

nice loop Ed, thanks

also it appears the easterly shear is currently too high for the system to really get some convection going.

will have to check the tendency's

note i don't think the shear maps are that accurate, would tops be blowing off t-storms to the west, if the shear was 10mph (maybe i don't understand?)

[Numlock]

I wouldn't pronounce it completely dead yet, it still has something of a circulation, and in the last couple of frames there's a little flare-up of convection. I'm not saying it has a good shot by any means, but its chances aren't exactly zero either. Worse looking things than this have developed.

[tolakram]

It's another dmax flareup followed by poof. I'm not falling for it again.

[Dean4Storms]

This little thingy must have gotten hold of my Viagra.

[storms in NC]

This little thingy must have gotten hold of my Viagra.