ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

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Bailey1777
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#2821 Postby Bailey1777 » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:08 am

Normandy is that an eye trying to form?
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2822 Postby Duddy » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:09 am

Normandy wrote:Its not going to make landfall in LA guys, just give it up. Now, it will probably send some nice 50-60 mph winds along the LA coast, however, so even still they get some goods from Ed despite a landfall there. Also, I think a LOT of people are gonna wake up and be VERY surprised at how intense a minimal cane/strong TS really is, especially a deepening one.


It's going to be a Louisiana storm.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2823 Postby Chacor » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:09 am

JtSmarts wrote:When will the NHC start putting out the position estimates every other hour??


From the NHOP:
" 3.2.7. Tropical Cyclone Position Estimates. The hurricane centers and WFO Guam
may issue a position estimate between 2-hourly intermediate public advisories whenever
sufficient, reliable radar center fix information is available. "
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#2824 Postby Bailey1777 » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:10 am

Duddy watch the radar its moving almost due west.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2825 Postby Nederlander » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:10 am

Normandy wrote:Its not going to make landfall in LA guys, just give it up. Now, it will probably send some nice 50-60 mph winds along the LA coast, however, so even still they get some goods from Ed despite a landfall there. Also, I think a LOT of people are gonna wake up and be VERY surprised at how intense a minimal cane/strong TS really is, especially a deepening one.


Well said Normandy... no LA landfall for Eddie... IMO still banking on just east of high island...
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2826 Postby JtSmarts » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:10 am

Chacor wrote:
JtSmarts wrote:When will the NHC start putting out the position estimates every other hour??


From the NHOP:
" 3.2.7. Tropical Cyclone Position Estimates. The hurricane centers and WFO Guam
may issue a position estimate between 2-hourly intermediate public advisories whenever
sufficient, reliable radar center fix information is available. "


Thanks! :)
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2827 Postby Texashawk » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:11 am

Very clearly heading due west towards the Bolivar Peninsula:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=LCH&loop=yes

This is not a good track for metro Houston, FYI. :eek:
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#2828 Postby Bailey1777 » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:11 am

It is already west of Cameron
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#2829 Postby Duddy » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:11 am

Bailey1777 wrote:Duddy watch the radar its moving almost due west.


I'll hold back then. Why am I STILL under a Hurricane Watch? The storm will not even touch me.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2830 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:12 am

Duddy, no disrespect intended, but after looking at the latest Lake Charles radar, the center of circulation is south of Cameron right now, not to mention that the storm appears (to me, anyway) to be heading west now.

Sorry, but I just don't see how it can hit Cameron as you're suggesting.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2831 Postby Normandy » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:12 am

Duddy wrote:
Normandy wrote:Its not going to make landfall in LA guys, just give it up. Now, it will probably send some nice 50-60 mph winds along the LA coast, however, so even still they get some goods from Ed despite a landfall there. Also, I think a LOT of people are gonna wake up and be VERY surprised at how intense a minimal cane/strong TS really is, especially a deepening one.


It's going to be a Louisiana storm.



Alright. Not gonna argue with ya....

Anyways back to Ed, reeeeeeallly wrapping up right now....Im actually VERY confident now that this will become a cane before hitting. Ragged eye is already starting to take shape, and large convective burst is evident on IR.
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#2832 Postby CajunMama » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:12 am

Quit the bickering about where it's going to make landfall. There's people coming on here for info and not have to dig through all this crud
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#2833 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:12 am

LA landfall isnt gonna happen, radar goes barely north of west.
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#2834 Postby Bailey1777 » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:13 am

Not the point the point is it is moving West and going to hit the Tx coast.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2835 Postby LaBreeze » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:13 am

Winds are pretty strong in gusts here in Vermilion Parish still. Good size branches down, neighbors fence down in my yard, power was out for an hour. Thunder and heavy rain still falling.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2836 Postby Diva » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:13 am

Texas Snowman wrote:To my untrained eye, looks like an eye trying to close off to me on radar.

Next advisory should be interesting. Anyone think that Ed will be a 'cane at that point?


Local met just said he believes it's a very high probability we'll see Cat 1 by landfall.
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#2837 Postby Bailey1777 » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:14 am

Sorry Cajun back on topic
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#2838 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:15 am

No LA landfall, but it does look like they are going to get whacked pretty good. The Sabine pass area is going through and will continue to go through some heavy bands...

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... rainsnow=0

The motion of the storm's center still appears to be moving mostly west though, and if this continues, then landfall should occur close to the Bolivar peninsula later this morning. At landfall it looks like the heavy center bands containing TS force winds will extend from Galveston up through Sabine Pass.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2839 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:18 am

We will see about this becoming a cane. I knew it would tighten up as it moves towards land as storms do. Recon has found 67 knots at flight level which is 53.6 knots at the surface. It is still possible to become a hurricane.

Also note to mod I thought this thread was for fighting over track and strength of storms. Something changed. :eek:
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Edouard - Gulf of Mexico

#2840 Postby carolina_73 » Tue Aug 05, 2008 3:19 am

It does look like Ed is trying to wrap around an eye in the last couple of frames. He is moving more west as well. Port Arthur is going to get slammed with some deep red nasty bands. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
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