ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[fasterdisaster]

Moisture is increasing to the north of the center. It's coming together.http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weathe ... uration=12

Looking at the new burst of strong convection to the southwest of the center leads me to believe the center may jog a little to the south.

Anything is possible but I don't think that will happen. IMO

In the last few frames IMO I can see a definite jog to the south.

[TexasSam]

Is this expected to speed up before landfall? Because if not even if it's only say an 80 mph category 1 it could cause disastrous flooding especially if it ends up around the Houston/Galveston area.

It has been very dry around here for a few weeks so it would take rain fall over 8 inches to cause a lot of problems.

['CaneFreak]

Moisture is increasing to the north of the center. It's coming together.


http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... uration=12

Looking at the new burst of strong convection to the southwest of the center leads me to believe the center may jog a little to the south.

That is soooooooooooo funny that you say that....someone else said that like 30 mins ago....

"there is one interesting thing to note on both IR and radar.. that the convection is wrapping around the south side. watch for the center to be pulled into it or the convection build up to it over night.."

[fasterdisaster]

Is this expected to speed up before landfall? Because if not even if it's only say an 80 mph category 1 it could cause disastrous flooding especially if it ends up around the Houston/Galveston area.

It has been very dry around here for a few weeks so it would take rain fall over 8 inches to causw a lot of problems.

That's good to hear.

[TexWx]

If we're talking a direct Galveston hit, when do you think it would be?

[njweather]

If we're talking a direct Galveston hit, when do you think it would be?

[Wx_Warrior]

I may know a lot (wink, wink, jk) but should I buy into a new center?

[HouTXmetro]

Banding occuring on the SE side.....getting more organized

[njweather]

How slowly did Allison move over Houston? Anyone know?

[Ptarmigan]

How slowly did Allison move over Houston? Anyone know?

I know when Allison first made landfall, it moved at 12 mph, than slowed down to 6 mph. Than on June 8-9, it moved at 3 mph I think.

[Stormcenter]

I may know a lot (wink, wink, jk) but should I buy into a new center?

\

No...IMO

It's following the NHC projected track maybe a little north of it. You can click on the "Trop. Forecast Points" to see.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-ir2.html

[vaffie]

How slowly did Allison move over Houston? Anyone know?

Alison caused a lot of rain as it came in, it moved up to the College Station and more or less died there. What caused the flooding was the fact that a few strong thunderstorms formed overnight over the Houston area due to all the outflow boundaries and moisture that was coming in from the Gulf. For all intents and purposes, Alison was already dead though.

[paintplaye]

If it went just a tad north, then it could be a direct hit to Houston....

[Duddy]

Moisture is increasing to the north of the center. It's coming together.


http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... uration=12

Looking at the new burst of strong convection to the southwest of the center leads me to believe the center may jog a little to the south.

That is soooooooooooo funny that you say that....someone else said that like 30 mins ago....

"there is one interesting thing to note on both IR and radar.. that the convection is wrapping around the south side. watch for the center to be pulled into it or the convection build up to it over night.."

WOW! I actually said something correct!

[Bailey1777]

Radar out of New Orleans picking up a nice center with wrapping taking place.

[HouTXmetro]

IMO the center is being pulled SW under the convection.

[Normandy]

How slowly did Allison move over Houston? Anyone know?

Alison caused a lot of rain as it came in, it moved up to the College Station and more or less died there. What caused the flooding was the fact that a few strong thunderstorms formed overnight over the Houston area due to all the outflow boundaries and moisture that was coming in from the Gulf. For all intents and purposes, Alison was already dead though.

Absolutely incorrect. Allison's remnant low actually drifted back southward from College Station, and as it drifted southward what is known as a "core rain event" occurred with the low, where all points east and south of the low pressure center received unbelievable amounts of rain. Allison then moved off the coast and back into the gulf, where it moved into MS and LA.

[HouTXmetro]

If it went just a tad north, then it could be a direct hit to Houston....

The current track is right through Galveston Bay, so techinically that would be a direct hit on Houston.

[vaffie]

How slowly did Allison move over Houston? Anyone know?

Alison caused a lot of rain as it came in, it moved up to the College Station and more or less died there. What caused the flooding was the fact that a few strong thunderstorms formed overnight over the Houston area due to all the outflow boundaries and moisture that was coming in from the Gulf. For all intents and purposes, Alison was already dead though.

Absolutely incorrect. Allison's remnant low actually drifted back southward from College Station, and as it drifted southward what is known as a "core rain event" occurred with the low, where all points east and south of the low pressure center received unbelievable amounts of rain. Allison then moved off the coast and back into the gulf, where it moved into MS and LA.

Cool. Thanks for clarifying that.

[paintplaye]

If it went just a tad north, then it could be a direct hit to Houston....

The current track is right through Galveston Bay, so techinically that would be a direct hit on Houston.

Yea I know that it would go through galveston bay, but it would still be a TAD west of the Houston Metro. So.... That is all I was saying.