interesting cane stat from the last 2 seasons

rainstorm · #1 Postby **rainstorm** » Fri Jul 11, 2003 5:30 pm

of the last 15 named storms(including claude), only 4 have managed to get to cane status. its like pulling teeth to get a system to intensify any longer.

#2 Postby **Andrew92** » Fri Jul 11, 2003 5:38 pm

Well remember last year was an El Nino year too. I remember reading that that was what caused so few of the 12 tropical storms to become hurricanes.

Plus, it's still July right now. The last time a hurricane developed in July was in 1997 (which is not that long ago and was also a very strange year for hurricanes but still.....) I still think a weak La Nina will take place later on into August and September, and by then, we could REALLY see an active season.

I don't think we'll be pulling teeth to see storms intensify later on this season. :wink:

-Andrew92

Stormless2003 · #3 Postby **Stormless2003** » Fri Jul 11, 2003 5:49 pm

IMO, it looks like the entire northern hemisphere could be in for a lackluster tropical season this year. Of the five named storms that have formed in the eastpac thus far, not a single one has reached hurricane intensity. I doubt if that has ever happened before. And the westpac hasn't had a single tropical system in almost a month. That is almost unreal for this time of year. I wonder if dynomat is up to something?

#4 Postby **Steve Cosby** » Fri Jul 11, 2003 5:50 pm

Oh, please, oh, please, NOT THE DYNOMAT THREAD!

#5 Postby **Andrew92** » Fri Jul 11, 2003 5:55 pm

Remember though, if this is a La Nina event, which it looks like it is, the Pacific is more likely to have fewer and weaker storms because the waters there are much cooler. Also, shearing winds in the Atlantic, where water temps are not as cool, may subside later as the season progresses.

Remember, the height of the Atlantic season is not for six or so more weeks. Be patient if you want to see an active Atlantic season (something I of course hope NOT to see). Do NOT assume the Atlantic season will be quiet because the Pacific is quiet also, because that rarely occurs.

Hope that helps.

-Andrew92

Stormless2003 · #6 Postby **Stormless2003** » Fri Jul 11, 2003 6:07 pm

It has happened before. In 1977.

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1977/index.html
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/e_pacific/1977/index.html
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/w_pacific/1977/index.html

With the exception of one rogue cat 5, the entire northern hemisphere experienced below normal storm activity.

rainstorm · #7 Postby **rainstorm** » Fri Jul 11, 2003 6:07 pm

but the trend continues

interesting cane stat from the last 2 seasons

interesting cane stat from the last 2 seasons

Groan...

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