Water Vapor shot... Will she continue to go north???

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chadtm80

Water Vapor shot... Will she continue to go north???

#1 Postby chadtm80 » Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:02 am

Image
Last edited by chadtm80 on Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:30 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Rainband

#2 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:07 am

Looks like it may!! :o :roll: :? :? :wink: I have no idea!!
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Colin
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#3 Postby Colin » Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:25 am

I have no idea either...Whatever she does is going to be surprising...
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chadtm80

#4 Postby chadtm80 » Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:42 am

Definatly looking like more northerly track can be expected imo... If I was in Texas Or LA I would be GLUED to this system!!
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#5 Postby Colin » Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:45 am

I think everybody is Chad...everyone in Texas or LA should be keeping a VERY close eye on this system! :o
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#6 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:45 am

They say NW now..but that wv loop interests me..The trof is key IMHO...This is so confusing.. :o
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#7 Postby wow » Fri Jul 11, 2003 10:00 am

Colin wrote:I think everybody is Chad...everyone in Texas or LA should be keeping a VERY close eye on this system! :o


I'm not Chad. :wink:
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#8 Postby chadtm80 » Fri Jul 11, 2003 10:32 am

Where are you at wow?
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#9 Postby mf_dolphin » Fri Jul 11, 2003 12:05 pm

The thing the NHC is banking on is a high behind the trough.

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv_east.html

If you take that link and click on the 3hr or 12 hr loop you'll see the high spinning behind the trough.
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#10 Postby bfez1 » Fri Jul 11, 2003 12:14 pm

Chad said, "If I was in Texas Or LA I would be GLUED to this system!!

I'm stuck and I can't get up!!! :) :) :)
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#11 Postby Lindaloo » Fri Jul 11, 2003 12:15 pm

Well then the NHC better get their act together and set up another scenerio than the track they are currently projecting.
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#12 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Jul 11, 2003 2:40 pm

Sure, the high pressure behind the trough is playing a role in the movement of Tropical Claudette.

However, just like the trough is apparently going to miss the system. This high can move far enough southwest out of the Claudette's way to keep the confidence of a E to W/ESE to WNW movement.
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#13 Postby Colin » Fri Jul 11, 2003 3:05 pm

wow wrote:
Colin wrote:I think everybody is Chad...everyone in Texas or LA should be keeping a VERY close eye on this system! :o


I'm not Chad. :wink:


:roll: :roll: I didn't mean that...I meant to say I think EVERYBODY in that area is glued to the system... :roll: :roll:
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#14 Postby polarbear » Fri Jul 11, 2003 4:59 pm

The BAMM, BAMD, LBAR, A98E want to bring Claudette farther northward towards Texas or Louisiana. This is not out of the question, but the mid latitude trough to the north is forecast to lift out of the area before Claudette would be recurved. Guidance suggests some northerly flow over the northern Gulf in the wake of the trough, with the mid/upper level ridge possibly building eastward into Texas. I believe it has been taking a track to the left of the NHC forecast track recently.
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Don't Count on it

#15 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jul 11, 2003 5:42 pm

Don't count on a northward track unless Claudette gets MUCH stronger, and even then, low to mid level flow on the Louisiana coast is forecast to be from the N-NE by Sunday - not conducive to northward movement in that direction. A weak storm isn't steered by upper-level winds, look down at 10,000 ft or lower for steering-level winds. Those winds say W-WNW.
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Steve Cosby
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Isn't that the truth...

#16 Postby Steve Cosby » Fri Jul 11, 2003 5:52 pm

Colin wrote:I have no idea either...Whatever she does is going to be surprising...


Isn't that the truth...

Has ANY forecaster really gotten this system right? I think there's probably blood all over the ball field...

:wink:
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#17 Postby Steve Cosby » Fri Jul 11, 2003 5:54 pm

chadtm80 wrote:Definatly looking like more northerly track can be expected imo... If I was in Texas Or LA I would be GLUED to this system!!


The weather in minimal Cat1's/2's is usually east of the center isn't it? That means Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida too.

I oughta start a poll: Do you think Claudette will hit Honduras?
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