GOMERS take a look at this spagetti of models at 1200 UTC

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cycloneye
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GOMERS take a look at this spagetti of models at 1200 UTC

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 11, 2003 8:05 am

Image

No clear clue of where it will go but a trend towards a more east landfall is growing with every new runs from them.
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#2 Postby GulfBreezer » Fri Jul 11, 2003 8:13 am

This just goes to show you that there is really NO ONE out there who has any idea what she is going to do! I am still, after all this, sticking with my TX/LA landfall as a Cat 2..................
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#3 Postby pojo » Fri Jul 11, 2003 8:17 am

She has been a tricky storm to forecast!
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#4 Postby Tip » Fri Jul 11, 2003 8:33 am

I will stick to my further east landfall than Texas due to the East Coast trough. But, here is an interesting extended outlook from the Marine Prediction Center that goes against the trough affecting Claudette. Also, check out reference to wave approaching Lesser Antilles.

OUTLOOK PERIOD...
MRF MODEL CONTINUES TO SHOW UPPER TROUGHS' INFLUENCE ALONG 85W
THROUGH DAY 5. MODEL INDICATES TROUGH WILL HAVE LITTLE INFLUENCE
ON DIRECTION OF CLAUDETTE.

TROUGHS' PERSISTENT PRESENCE ALLOWS UPPER RIDGE OVER ATLC TO
RELOCATE NORTHWARD. AVN MODEL SHOWS SURFACE RIDGE SLOWLY MOVING
N WITH WEAKENING PRESSURE FIELD OVER MARINE REGION THROUGH DAY 5.

IN ADDITION..AVN MODEL SHOWS STRONG TROPICAL WAVE MOVING TO
LESSER ANTILLES DAY 3 AND TO 70W DAY 4. WAVE CONTINUES WNW AT
SLOWER PACE TO NEAR 75W DAY 5. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
WILL CHANGE TO OUTLOOK PICTURE CONSIDERABLY.
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#5 Postby Colin » Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:24 am

For some reason, I'm beginning to agree with the LBAR...just a feeling... HMMMMMMM
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#6 Postby Pebbles » Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:27 am

Don't Jinks New Orleans..they REALLY need this storm the least...after all the rains and bill wackin the heck outta them...just this little gals thoughts!
:8:
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#7 Postby Colin » Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:28 am

Well I know they don't need it...But, I'm just havin' a "feeling"...
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