ATL: Tropical Storm Cristobal in North Atlantic

[HURAKAN]

[Recurve]

Looks like a center popping out on the latest visible floater loop.

[wx247]

This thread is dead.I guess 94L is more fun.

This system isn't like to turn into a super cat 5. That is why a lot of people aren't paying attention. If this turns into a named storm with a little bit higher winds...watch people flock to this thread. For so many, it isn't about the love of weather and tropical systems... but rather the hype and end of the world scenarios.

To stay topical... looks like TD may be getting stronger. Should be interesting to see what Recon finds.

[Bane]

This thread is dead.I guess 94L is more fun.

This system isn't like to turn into a super cat 5. That is why a lot of people aren't paying attention. If this turns into a named storm with a little bit higher winds...watch people flock to this thread. For so many, it isn't about the love of weather and tropical systems... but rather the hype and end of the world scenarios.

To stay topical... looks like TD may be getting stronger. Should be interesting to see what Recon finds.

it's near tropical storm strength according the the NHC.

i seriously doubt 94L ever reaches hurricane strength.

[storms in NC]

also has reformed to the east.

[wx247]

Bane... I agree with your assessment completely. Others, well... not so much.

[O Town]

[storms in NC]

If it got stronger would it still take the same path? Not saying it will.

[cpdaman]

32/ 78.2 ? cant copy and paste on this comp (using cntrl C) so you will have to look at latest visible on your own

center finally seems like it has decided to become better organized at the location (further offshore) i mentioned above. puts it in good place to strengthen ,should that verify IMO

plane will confirm or deny at 1pm

[Just Joshing You]

I live in Nova Scotia and it appears I may be in for some rough weather come Tuesday/Wednesday

[Stephanie]

Looks like a center popping out on the latest visible floater loop.

It does, doesn't it?

Very good, symetrical form. I'm amazed at how well TD3 got it together so close to the coast.

[O Town]

It looks to be alot further east than the forecast track.

['CaneFreak]

You are looking at the track from 11 pm last night....LOL..

[cpdaman]

Looks like a center popping out on the latest visible floater loop.

It does, doesn't it?

Very good, symetrical form. I'm amazed at how well TD3 got it together so close to the coast.

on second look , i changed mymind. i dont think she has it together yet, next frame kinda eroded that center image and convection has pulsed down, so far i think she has abroad llc

bout 32ish 78.6 ish

[Ed Mahmoud]

Looking at Wilmington long range (low res) radar, I see what may be more than a single center of circulation. Perhaps one is the top of the low level center just being grazed by the radar beam shooting over its top, or there may still be a couple of centers still competing to be the top dog.

[cpdaman]

bouy 41004 has gone NNW so probably a bit east of there albeit broad imo

[vbhoutex]

I think you've made a pretty good assessment there Ed. It will be interesting to see what the plane finds when it gets there. It is definitely getting better looking and appearing to consolidate. I haven't looked at winds, but TD3 looks alot helathier than 94L does. Cristobal within the next 36 hours would not be a big surprise to me.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

Interesting mention made of TD 3 for general area, from Caribou office:

000
FXUS61 KCAR 190718
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
318 AM EDT SAT JUL 19 2008

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...

-- Changed Discussion --LOADED THE GMOS FOR THE LONG TERM WITH SOME MINOR TWEAKS. FRONT
REMAINS STATIONARY OVER THE COAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEAK AS UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG ACROSS THE NORTHEAST.
ANOTHER FACTOR MAY BE TD #3 CURRENTLY OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. MODELS
CONTINUE TO MOVE THIS FEATURE UP THE EAST COAST AND EVENTUALLY
INTERACTING IT WITH THE FRONT ALONG THE MAINE COAST ENHANCING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A LOT OF
UNCERTAINTY IN THE LONG TERM DUE TO THE MOVEMENT OF THIS TROPICAL
FEATURE.-- End Changed Discussion --
&&


Source:

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=CAR&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

[storms in NC]

looks to be moving more to the north now. I take it we will get these jogs here and there.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

DISCLAIMER THE BELOW IS A PERSONAL FORECAST, AND IS IN NO WAY OFFICIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH STORM2K, NHC/TCP, ENVIRONMENT CANADA, OR ANY OTHER ENTITY.

I'll go out on a limb here, and say I think Nova Scotia will get the worst of this one (if any place does at all that is), because it may very well end up on the eastern side of the track/system. Just my two cents worth.