ATL: Dolly Model Runs

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Stormcenter
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#481 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:47 pm

Doesn't have it as a very strong system when it makes landfall.
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karenfromheaven
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#482 Postby karenfromheaven » Sat Jul 19, 2008 12:42 am

Ed Mahmoud wrote:I guess, for whatever reason, the good folks at the Global Fluid Dynamics Lab didn't run an 18Z model on 94L


For that matter, don't they also run the GFDL with NoGaps as initial and boundary conditions? How come I never seen that linked or displayed?


Yep, it's a little hard to find, but look for GFDN.
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dwsqos2

Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#483 Postby dwsqos2 » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:05 am

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2008071900-invest94l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

Forgive me moderators for posting this.
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Wx_Warrior
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#484 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:08 am

I'll stand on my head before I believe that! :uarrow:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#485 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:08 am


OH MY GOD!!!! I absolutely doubt that will happen but just the thought of such a scenario baffles me! Landfall in eastern houston at 135 KNOTS!??! While thats not accurate, it likely portrays that significant strengthening maybe possible in the gulf if this gets going.
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funster
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#486 Postby funster » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:10 am

cheezyWXguy wrote:

OH MY GOD!!!! I absolutely doubt that will happen but just the thought of such a scenario baffles me! Landfall in eastern houston at 135 KNOTS!??! While thats not accurate, it likely portrays that significant strengthening maybe possible in the gulf if this gets going.


Wow - that was like watching a horror movie.
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#487 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:10 am

A Cat 5 hitting Houston head on? In JULY?! I call the BS Card on that!
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#488 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:14 am

brunota2003 wrote:A Cat 5 hitting Houston head on? In JULY?! I call the BS Card on that!


Let me do the honors...

Image
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#489 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:17 am

The chances of this happening is as high as the devil coming out of the ground saying sorry to our lord for all the trouble he caused.

There is about as high chance of this happening as snow falling in hell.

Not going to happen with this invest.

I will admit that a new MLC is starting to develop with the convection firing.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#490 Postby Brent » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:21 am

I don't buy that for one second.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#491 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:25 am

Holy S#%^!..Not that I think it will happen, but the conditions for when this gets in the gulf look damn good...
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dwsqos2

Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#492 Postby dwsqos2 » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:25 am

Heh.

(Supposed to link to HWRF).

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2.cgi?time=2008071900-invest94l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation
Last edited by dwsqos2 on Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:31 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#493 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:28 am




The Gfdl is smoking on its bong again! Wait intil it updates at 06z in it will show a weak low.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#494 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:32 am

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#495 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:42 am


crack must taste good

I mean, I can see an intense system in the GOM with such a beautiful UA pattern progged but a near-Cat 5? lolz
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Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#496 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:45 am

00Z MODEL UPDATE...
GFS...td/ts western gulf
GFDL...CAT 5 Houston (dont see that every day)
CMC...strong hurricane Stalls around South Texas
Image
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Stormcenter
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#497 Postby Stormcenter » Sat Jul 19, 2008 2:03 am

Ivanhater wrote:00Z MODEL UPDATE...
GFS...td/ts western gulf
GFDL...CAT 5 Houston (dont see that every day)
CMC...strong hurricane Stalls around South Texas
Image



Well not based on this run. Am I missing something?

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#498 Postby Brent » Sat Jul 19, 2008 2:13 am

Stormcenter wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:00Z MODEL UPDATE...
GFS...td/ts western gulf
GFDL...CAT 5 Houston (dont see that every day)
CMC...strong hurricane Stalls around South Texas
Image



Well not based on this run. Am I missing something?

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation


Image
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HarlequinBoy
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#499 Postby HarlequinBoy » Sat Jul 19, 2008 2:15 am

Uh, let's hope not...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L Model Runs

#500 Postby southerngale » Sat Jul 19, 2008 2:15 am

Stormcenter wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:00Z MODEL UPDATE...
GFS...td/ts western gulf
GFDL...CAT 5 Houston (dont see that every day)
CMC...strong hurricane Stalls around South Texas
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/cmc/20 ... /slp18.png



Well not based on this run. Am I missing something?

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation


The one you posted is the run for TD-3.
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