ATL: Tropical Storm Cristobal in North Atlantic

Chacor · #481 Postby **Chacor** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:40 pm

NRL has been having issues with updating.

#482 Postby **brunota2003** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:40 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:I wonder why NRL never updated this with noname?

Was there a late reversal or something?

NRL updated at 2315Z...while ACTF came out later, didnt it?

Chacor · #483 Postby **Chacor** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:41 pm

Why does the thread title say TD3 when we haven't had an advisory yet?

CajunMama · #484 Postby **CajunMama** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:42 pm

i'm sorry. i did that. i thought it was confirmed. i'll change it back. It was my mistake for not double checking when several people were saying it was.

Bane · #485 Postby **Bane** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:42 pm

good question. i clicked the thread expecting an update. lol!

#486 Postby **brunota2003** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:44 pm

Everything for Bertha is out...

#487 Postby **wxman57** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:46 pm

Two East Pac storms and Bertha first, TD 3 next.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #488 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:48 pm

wxman57 wrote:Two East Pac storms and Bertha first, TD 3 next.

Wow, 4 storms in the EPAC and ATL combined...and in JULY. This season
is really active for both basins. Not that I want that, I Don't Want that, but
it is an observation.

Chacor · #489 Postby **Chacor** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:49 pm

The EPac is pretty normal for July, actually.

weatherguru18 · #490 Postby **weatherguru18** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:51 pm

So do we have a depression or not? NHC said they may issue the first advisory by 11pm. They have 9 min. in counting. Anybody?

vacanechaser · #491 Postby **vacanechaser** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:51 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Two East Pac storms and Bertha first, TD 3 next.

Wow, 4 storms in the EPAC and ATL combined...and in JULY. This season
is really active for both basins. Not that I want that, I Don't Want that, but
it is an observation.

its kind of sad that you feel you need to say that you dont want it to be busy... if you did so what... if people get angery what can you do about it... you liking it busy does not make the hurricanes come... or you not wanting it to be busy makes them stop.. kind of silly you feel you need to say that...

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

cpdaman · #492 Postby **cpdaman** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:52 pm

vacanchaser i think its political correctness

anywho wish there were more obs closer to center i'm sure NHC does to

#493 Postby **brunota2003** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:54 pm

0300 UTC Sat Jul 19 2008

at 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued
from South Santee River South Carolina to Cape Hatteras North
Carolina...including Pamlico Sound. A Tropical Storm Warning means
that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area
within the next 24 hours.

At 11 PM EDT...a tropical storm watch has been issued from north of
Edisto Beach South Carolina to South Santee River...and from north
of Cape Hatteras to Oregon Inlet. A tropical storm watch means that
tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area...generally within 36 hours.

Tropical depression center located near 31.9n 79.6w at 19/0300z
position accurate within 60 nm

present movement toward the northeast or 40 degrees at 5 kt

estimated minimum central pressure 1011 mb
Max sustained winds 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.

Repeat...center located near 31.9n 79.6w at 19/0300z
at 19/0000z center was located near 31.7n 79.8w

forecast valid 19/1200z 32.4n 79.1w
Max wind 30 kt...gusts 40 kt.

Forecast valid 20/0000z 33.4n 78.0w
Max wind 35 kt...gusts 45 kt.
34 kt... 75ne 60se 0sw 0nw.

Forecast valid 20/1200z 34.4n 76.6w
Max wind 35 kt...gusts 45 kt.
34 kt... 75ne 60se 0sw 0nw.

Forecast valid 21/0000z 35.5n 75.0w
Max wind 35 kt...gusts 45 kt.
34 kt... 75ne 60se 0sw 40nw.

Forecast valid 22/0000z 38.0n 70.5w
Max wind 35 kt...gusts 45 kt.
34 kt... 90ne 75se 0sw 0nw.

Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day

outlook valid 23/0000z...absorbed

request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 31.9n 79.6w

next advisory at 19/0900z

$$
forecaster Franklin

Chacor · #494 Postby **Chacor** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:54 pm

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF
EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER...AND FROM NORTH
OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OREGON INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

weatherguru18 · #495 Postby **weatherguru18** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:54 pm

Tropical Depression #3 Just arrived!!!

Chacor · #496 Postby **Chacor** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:55 pm

WTNT33 KNHC 190253
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
1100 PM EDT FRI JUL 18 2008

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF
EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER...AND FROM NORTH
OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OREGON INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.6 WEST OR ABOUT 65
MILES...105 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND
ABOUT 330 MILES...530 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS...KEEPING THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION VERY CLOSE TO THE COASTS OF SOUTH AND
NORTH CAROLINA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON
SATURDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2-4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...31.9 N...79.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

Bane · #497 Postby **Bane** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 9:57 pm

they keep this a minimum tropical storm throughout the first 120 hours.

Chacor · #498 Postby **Chacor** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 10:00 pm

Nope, only through 72 hours, absorbed by 96.

#499 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 10:00 pm

There is no need to post the text of the advisories here as there is a thread for advisories.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #500 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Fri Jul 18, 2008 10:06 pm

So the Warning areas can expect tropical storm conditions- will
this system help with the drought there?

ATL: Tropical Storm Cristobal in North Atlantic

Re:

Re: ATL: 96L near Southeast U.S

Re: ATL: 96L near Southeast U.S

Re: ATL: 96L near Southeast U.S

Re: ATL: 96L near Southeast U.S

Re: ATL: 96L near Southeast U.S

Re: ATL: 96L near Southeast U.S

Re: ATL: Tropical Depression Three near Southeast U.S

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