ATL: Tropical Storm Cristobal in North Atlantic

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Bane
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Re:

#441 Postby Bane » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:42 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:I would also expect a Tropical Storm Warning to be thrown at 11 as well.

I would throw it from Fernandina Beach, FL to Surf City, NC (the GA, SC and S NC coasts) and a Tropical Storm Watch from Surf City to Cape Hatteras.



i would expect at least watches to go up in that general area.
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#442 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:43 pm

I dont know if its weather related or not, but I have the worst headache right now, and I had one yesterday too, but not as bad as today.
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Re:

#443 Postby jaxfladude » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:47 pm

fact789 wrote:I dont know if its weather related or not, but I have the worst headache right now, and I had one yesterday too, but not as bad as today.

If it persists get it checked out by a doctor....hopefully some strong over the counter meds will do the trick, if you are not allergic to such meds...
Last edited by jaxfladude on Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#444 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:58 pm

Charleston radar is a little more revealing .. it helps verify the center fix .. especially with the recent burst of convection wrapping around the apparent center fix

center becoming more evident if that is the case we will see ,
the radar is looking up at about 11k ft that far out but appears to be it
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L near Southeast U.S

#445 Postby cpdaman » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:59 pm

notice those shower bands over s.e South carolina collapsing more to the south and sw indicating the LLC has shifted se

man radar shows that low on radar trying to wrap around imo
Last edited by cpdaman on Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L near Southeast U.S

#446 Postby HarlequinBoy » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:01 pm

cpdaman wrote:notice those shower bands over s.e South carolina collapsing more to the south indicating the LLC has shifted se

man radar shows that low on radar trying to wrap around imo


That's what I thought, but I am definitely much much less experienced than half the posters here...
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Re:

#447 Postby artist » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:02 pm

fact789 wrote:I dont know if its weather related or not, but I have the worst headache right now, and I had one yesterday too, but not as bad as today.

interesting. here in wpb as well. And I don't normally get headaches.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L near Southeast U.S

#448 Postby Scott_inVA » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:02 pm

invest_RENUMBER_al962008_al032008.ren

Forecast/Advisories at 11PM :)

Scott
Mid-Atlantic WX.com
Lexington, VA
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L near Southeast U.S

#449 Postby wzrgirl1 » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:06 pm

what does this mean....scroll to the bottom

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 008.invest
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L near Southeast U.S

#450 Postby RL3AO » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:07 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:what does this mean....scroll to the bottom

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 008.invest


That it will be tropical depression three at 11.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L near Southeast U.S

#451 Postby OuterBanker » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:08 pm

First local statement I've seen. Here we go.


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
836 PM EDT FRI JUL 18 2008
NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-190400-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE...
GREENVILLE...PLYMOUTH...COLUMBIA...SNOW HILL...HOOKERTON...
WASHINGTON...RIVER ROAD...WALLACE...WARSAW...ROSE HILL...
KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...MAGNOLIA...KINSTON...MAYSVILLE...
POLLOCKSVILLE...NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...ORIENTAL...ALLIANCE...
BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...MINNESOTT BEACH...VANDEMERE...STONEWALL...
MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT...EMERALD ISLE...NEWPORT...
JACKSONVILLE...KILL DEVIL HILLS...KITTY HAWK...NAGS HEAD...
SOUTHERN SHORES
836 PM EDT FRI JUL 18 2008
...LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED...

SATELLITE SHOWS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OFF THE GEORGIA COAST IS
BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH
NORTHEAST TOWARD THE CAROLINAS. IF PRESENT TRENDS CONTINUE THIS
SYSTEM HAS POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVERNIGHT.

ALL INTEREST ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. RESIDENTS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA SHOULD PREPARE FOR DETERIORATING WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER
THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST.

THIS IS THE TIME TO REVIEW YOUR FAMILY DISASTER PLAN.
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#452 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:09 pm

*claps hands* I love MHX...Wonder who the Forecasters on duty right now are
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L near Southeast U.S

#453 Postby wzrgirl1 » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:09 pm

RL3AO wrote:
wzrgirl1 wrote:what does this mean....scroll to the bottom

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 008.invest


That it will be tropical depression three at 11.


so is it official yet?
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L near Southeast U.S

#454 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:11 pm

If JB is right, might even hoist a hurricane watch tonight for parts of North Carolina. I think because of the dry air inland this storm will be more heavily weighted than usual on its East side, and the most weather will be along and East of the center.


None of that is official, of course.
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RL3AO
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L near Southeast U.S

#455 Postby RL3AO » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:12 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:
RL3AO wrote:
wzrgirl1 wrote:what does this mean....scroll to the bottom

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 008.invest


That it will be tropical depression three at 11.


so is it official yet?



Not till 11. But thats straight from the NHC saying the best track was a 1011mb 25kt tropical depression at 0z.
Last edited by RL3AO on Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#456 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:12 pm

Im starting to see some tell tale signs of this thing about to intensifies .. the next couple of hours are going to be interesting to watch this evolve on radar..

the next sat image should show another large burst of convection starting..
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L near Southeast U.S

#457 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:12 pm

A useful link for those of you using radar to locate the LLC - a radar beam height calculator:

http://www.wdtb.noaa.gov/tools/misc/bea ... width.html

Using 60nm from Charleston and a 0.5 beam angle, the radar is actually looking at around 6000 feet above the surface.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L near Southeast U.S

#458 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:14 pm

wxman57 wrote:A useful link for those of you using radar to locate the LLC - a radar beam height calculator:

http://www.wdtb.noaa.gov/tools/misc/bea ... width.html

Using 60nm from Charleston and a 0.5 beam angle, the radar is actually looking at around 6000 feet above the surface.


could have used a few years ago...

but the radar program i have does that for me
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Mecklenburg

Re: ATL: INVEST 96L near Southeast U.S

#459 Postby Mecklenburg » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:15 pm

could this become another alex?

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L near Southeast U.S

#460 Postby storms in NC » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:16 pm

OuterBanker wrote:First local statement I've seen. Here we go.


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
836 PM EDT FRI JUL 18 2008
NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-190400-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE...
GREENVILLE...PLYMOUTH...COLUMBIA...SNOW HILL...HOOKERTON...
WASHINGTON...RIVER ROAD...WALLACE...WARSAW...ROSE HILL...
KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...MAGNOLIA...KINSTON...MAYSVILLE...
POLLOCKSVILLE...NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...ORIENTAL...ALLIANCE...
BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...MINNESOTT BEACH...VANDEMERE...STONEWALL...
MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT...EMERALD ISLE...NEWPORT...
JACKSONVILLE...KILL DEVIL HILLS...KITTY HAWK...NAGS HEAD...
SOUTHERN SHORES
836 PM EDT FRI JUL 18 2008
...LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED...

SATELLITE SHOWS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OFF THE GEORGIA COAST IS
BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH
NORTHEAST TOWARD THE CAROLINAS. IF PRESENT TRENDS CONTINUE THIS
SYSTEM HAS POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVERNIGHT.

ALL INTEREST ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. RESIDENTS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA SHOULD PREPARE FOR DETERIORATING WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER
THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST.

THIS IS THE TIME TO REVIEW YOUR FAMILY DISASTER PLAN.



Would be Me. I hope the Model GFD is right and go inland for all to get rain.
Last edited by storms in NC on Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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