000
ABNT20 KNHC 160535
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED JUL 16 2008
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM BERTHA...LOCATED ABOUT 360 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OFF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST
IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY
TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA AS IT MOVES EASTWARD OR NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO THE
PROXIMITY OF THE SYSTEM TO LAND.
THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED. HOWEVER...
THERE IS STILL A SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR THIS SYSTEM TO
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TODAY BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
BRING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN
GOM low noted in NHC TWO
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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dixiebreeze
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GOM low noted in NHC TWO
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dixiebreeze
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ftolmsteen
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Re: GOM low noted in NHC TWO
I doubt that low has any shot at developing since you can see on radar that it's right off the coast of St. Pete. A big rain maker for some I'm sure but that'll be it.
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Brent
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Re: GOM low noted in NHC TWO
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dixiebreeze
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Re: GOM low noted in NHC TWO
Someone said its "not an official invest," but I guess it's enough to get on the Dvorak list:
DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
16/1145 UTC 13.0N 56.1W T2.5/2.5 94L
16/1145 UTC 36.7N 61.3W T3.0/3.5 BERTHA
16/1145 UTC 27.8N 83.4W TOO WEAK INVEST
DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
16/1145 UTC 13.0N 56.1W T2.5/2.5 94L
16/1145 UTC 36.7N 61.3W T3.0/3.5 BERTHA
16/1145 UTC 27.8N 83.4W TOO WEAK INVEST
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lrak
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Re: GOM low noted in NHC TWO
you can definitely see it spinning at about 25N 86W. WEAK...but its spinning and the NHC satellite has placed a Low of 1015 right over the spin with a trough extending to the west.
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Ed Mahmoud
Re: GOM low noted in NHC TWO
lrak wrote:you can definitely see it spinning at about 25N 86W. WEAK...but its spinning and the NHC satellite has placed a Low of 1015 right over the spin with a trough extending to the west.
The show has exited stage right to East of JAX...
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