Daily tropical updates and advisories

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#181 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Jul 05, 2003 4:10 pm

The 5 pm Tropical Weather Outlook can be found at
http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

Have a Safe Weekend!!

SF
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145322
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#182 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 05, 2003 8:30 pm

Tropical weather outlook 9:30 Pm EDT
7/5/03 Atlantic basin Luis Martinez
Storm2k forecaster

Read outlook at link below.

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145322
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#183 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 06, 2003 6:06 am

Tropical weather outlook 5:00 AM EDT 7/6/03
Atlantic Luis Martinez (Cycloneye)
Storm2k forecaster

Read outlook at link below

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145322
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#184 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 06, 2003 11:32 am

Tropical weather ootlook 12:00 PM EDT 7/6/03
Atlantic Luis Martinez (Cycloneye)
Storm2k forecaster

Read outlook at link below.

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#185 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Jul 06, 2003 3:45 pm

The 7/6/03 - 5 pm Tropical Weather Outlook can be found at
http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

Have a Safe Week!!

SF
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145322
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#186 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 06, 2003 9:06 pm

You can read the tropical weather outlook of 10:00 PM EDT from the storm2k forecast center at link below. :darrow: Luis Martinez (Cycloneye)

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29112
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

#187 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jul 07, 2003 7:22 am

The 6:30 AM CDT Special Atlantic Basin Tropical update for Monday July 7, 2003 can be found at http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

Although there is no official call at this time, IMO TS Claudette has formed just E of the Southern Windward islands. Although she would be a minimal tropical storm as she crosses the island chain tropical storm force winds should be expected in both Barbados and St. Lucia in the stronger squalls.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145322
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#188 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 07, 2003 5:02 pm

Tropical weather outlook 5:00 PM July 7 2003

Read link below for the outlook.

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145322
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#189 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 07, 2003 8:47 pm

Tropical weather outlook 10:00 PM EDT 7/7/03
Atlantic Luis Martinez (Cycloneye)
Storm2k forecaster

Read outlook at link below.

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145322
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#190 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 08, 2003 2:12 pm

Special update on tropical storm Claudette 3:00 PM EDT Luis Martinez (Cycloneye) storm2k forecaster.

Read update at link below. :darrow:

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

wrkh99

#191 Postby wrkh99 » Tue Jul 08, 2003 7:29 pm

time for an update :)
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29112
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

#192 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Jul 09, 2003 3:12 am

The 3:00AM CDT Special Atlantic Basin Tropical update for Wednesday July 9, 2003 can be found at http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

Tropical Storm Claudette is continuing to strengthen and will likely reach Hurricane Status later today. Keep checking Storm2k for updates all day long.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29112
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

#193 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Jul 09, 2003 9:11 am

The 9:00AM CDT Special Atlantic Basin Tropical update for Wednesday July 9, 2003 can be found at http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

Tropical Storm Claudette has slowed her strengthening but will still probably reach Hurricane Status later today. Keep checking Storm2k WeatrherCental for updates all day long.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image

wrkh99

#194 Postby wrkh99 » Wed Jul 09, 2003 9:39 am

Tropical Storm Claudette Forecast/Advisory Number 4


Statement as of 15:00Z on July 09, 2003



at 11 am EDT...1500 UTC...the government of Mexico has issued a
Hurricane Watch for the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from
Chetumal to Cabo Catoche.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Jamaica and Grand
Cayman. A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Little Cayman
and Cayman Brac.

Tropical storm center located near 15.5n 77.6w at 09/1500z
position accurate within 30 nm

present movement toward the west or 275 degrees at 21 kt

estimated minimum central pressure 1004 mb
Max sustained winds 55 kt with gusts to 65 kt.
50 kt....... 40ne 0se 0sw 40nw.
34 kt.......140ne 25se 25sw 140nw.
12 ft seas..250ne 200se 100sw 140nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.

Repeat...center located near 15.5n 77.6w at 09/1500z
at 09/1200z center was located near 15.4n 76.5w

forecast valid 10/0000z 16.3n 80.5w
Max wind 55 kt...gusts 65 kt.
50 kt... 40ne 0se 0sw 40nw.
34 kt...140ne 25se 25sw 140nw.

Forecast valid 10/1200z 17.6n 83.8w
Max wind 55 kt...gusts 65 kt.
50 kt... 40ne 0se 0sw 40nw.
34 kt...140ne 25se 25sw 140nw.

Forecast valid 11/0000z 19.1n 86.7w
Max wind 60 kt...gusts 75 kt.
50 kt... 50ne 25se 25sw 50nw.
34 kt...140ne 75se 75sw 140nw.

Forecast valid 11/1200z 20.5n 89.0w...inland
Max wind 40 kt...gusts 50 kt.
34 kt...125ne 75se 75sw 125nw.

Forecast valid 12/1200z 22.5n 91.5w...over water
Max wind 45 kt...gusts 55 kt.
34 kt...125ne 75se 75sw 125nw.

Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 275 nm
on day 4 and 375 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day

outlook valid 13/1200z 24.0n 93.0w
Max wind 50 kt...gusts 60 kt.

Outlook valid 14/1200z 25.5n 94.0w
Max wind 60 kt...gusts 75 kt.

Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 15.5n 77.6w

next advisory at 09/2100z

forecaster Beven
0 likes   

User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#195 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Jul 09, 2003 4:11 pm

The 7/9/03 - 5 pm Tropical Weather Outlook can be found at
http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

Everyone try to stay cool!

SF
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145322
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#196 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 09, 2003 9:55 pm

Tropical weather outlook 11:00 PM EDT
Luis Martinez (Cycloneye) storm2k forecaster
7/9/03

Read outlook for Claudette at link below.

http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

wrkh99

#197 Postby wrkh99 » Thu Jul 10, 2003 9:46 am

Tropical Storm Claudette Advisory Number 8


Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on July 10, 2003


...Claudette strengthens...hurricane warnings issued for the Yucatan
Peninsula...

at 11 am EDT...1500 UTC...the government of Mexico has issued a
Hurricane Warning on the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from
Chetumal to Cabo Catoche...and a Tropical Storm Warning along the
northern and western coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula from Cabo
Catoche to Campeche.

At 11 am EDT...1500 UTC...the government of Belize has issued a
Tropical Storm Warning from Belize City northward to the
Belize-Mexico border.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Grand Cayman. A
tropical storm watch remains in effect for Little Cayman and Cayman
Brac. These warnings could be discontinued later today.

Interests elsewhere in Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula should
monitor the progress of Claudette.
Reports from an Air Force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
that Claudette has strengthened and re-organized a little to the
north of the previous advisory position.

At 11 am EDT...1500z...the center of Tropical Storm Claudette was
located near latitude 17.8 north...longitude 83.6 west or about
275 miles...445 km...southeast of Cozumel Mexico.

Claudette is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph
...26 km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue for
the next 24 hours. This motion could bring the center of Claudette
near or over the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula late tonight or
Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph...110
km/hr...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast
during the next 24 hours and Claudette could become a hurricane
later today or tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
...260 km mainly to the north the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb...29.32 inches.
Above normal tides accompanied by dangerous waves along the south
coasts of the Cayman Islands should begin to subside later today.

Storm total rainfalls of 4 to 8 inches are likely in association
with Claudette. Satellite imagery shows outer rainbands over the
Cayman Islands and portions of Cuba at this time.
Repeating the 11 am EDT position...17.8 N... 83.6 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 16 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 993 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 2 PM EDT followed by the next
complete advisory at 5 PM EDT.

Forecaster Beven
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29112
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

#198 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Jul 10, 2003 11:44 am

The 11:00AM CDT Special Atlantic Basin Tropical update for Thursday, July 10, 2003 can be found at http://storm2k.org/Weather-Central/Trop ... ropics.htm

Tropical Storm Claudette continues her strengthening and will reach Hurricane Status later today. Keep checking Storm2k WeatrherCental for updates all day long.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image

wrkh99

#199 Postby wrkh99 » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:01 pm

...Claudette moving northwestward at just under hurricane
strength...

a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the east coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula from Chetumal to Cabo Catoche.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect along the northern and
western coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula from Cabo Catoche to
Campeche...and along the coast of Belize from Belize City to the
Belize Mexico border.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Grand Cayman. A
tropical storm watch remains in effect for Little Cayman and Cayman
Brac. These warnings could be discontinued later today.

Interests elsewhere in Belize...the Yucatan Peninsula...and western
Cuba should monitor the progress of Claudette.
At 2 PM EDT...1800z...the center of Tropical Storm Claudette was
located near latitude 18.3 north...longitude 83.6 west or about
255 miles...410 km...southeast of Cozumel Mexico.

Claudette is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph...23 km/hr...
and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24
hours. This motion could bring the center of Claudette near or
over the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula late tonight or Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with
higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours
and Claudette could become a hurricane later today or tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
...260 km mainly to the north the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb...29.32 inches.
Above normal tides accompanied by dangerous waves along the south
coasts of the Cayman Islands should begin to subside later today.

Storm total rainfalls of 4 to 8 inches are likely in association
with Claudette. Satellite imagery shows outer rainbands over the
Cayman Islands and portions of Cuba at this time.
Repeating the 2 PM EDT position...18.3 N... 83.6 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 14 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 993 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
5 PM EDT.
0 likes   

wrkh99

#200 Postby wrkh99 » Thu Jul 10, 2003 3:42 pm

Tropical Storm Claudette Advisory Number 9


Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on July 10, 2003


...Claudette moving northwestward and becoming somewhat
disorganized...

at 5 om EDT...2100 UTC...the government of Mexico has changed the
Tropical Storm Warning to a Hurricane Warning from Cabo Catoche to
progreso. A Hurricane Warning is now in effect on the eastern and
northern coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula from Chetumal to
progreso.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect along the northern and
western coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula from progreso to Campeche...
and along the Belize coast from Belize City northward to the
Belize-Mexico border.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Grand Cayman. A
tropical storm watch remains in effect for Little Cayman and Cayman
Brac. These warnings could be discontinued tonight.

Interests elsewhere in Belize...the Yucatan Peninsula...and western
Cuba should monitor the progress of Claudette.

At 5 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Tropical Storm Claudette was
located near latitude 18.6 north...longitude 84.2 west or about
210 miles...340 km...southeast of Cozumel Mexico.

Claudette is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph...22 km/hr...
and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24
hours. This motion should bring the center over or near the
northeastern Yucatan Peninsula tonight or Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Reports from an Air Force reserve hurricane hunter and
satellite imagery suggest that Claudette has become less organized
this afternoon. However...there is still the potential for it to
become a hurricane as it approaches the Yucatan Peninsula.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles
...260 km mainly to the north of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb...29.32 inches.
Tides of 4 to 6 ft above normal...accompanied b crosses the coast. Above
normal tides accompanied by dangerous waves along the south coasts
of the Cayman Islands should begin to subs coast. Above
normal tides accompanied by dangerous waves along the south coasts
of the Cayman Islands should begin to subside later today.

Storm total rainfalls of 4 to 8 inches are likely in association
with Claudette. Satellite imagery shows outer rainbands over the
Cayman Islands and portions of Cuba at this time...and rainbands
should spread over the Yucatan Peninsula tonight.
Repeating the 5 PM EDT position...18.6 N... 84.2 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 14 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 993 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 8 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 11 PM
EDT.

Forecaster Beven
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cdenton12, rolltide, StormWeather, TheBurn and 57 guests