INVEST 93L in Central Caribbean
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INVEST 93L in Central Caribbean
Last edited by RL3AO on Wed Jul 02, 2008 3:30 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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- Matt-hurricanewatcher
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- cycloneye
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Re: INVEST 93L Near Windward Islands
BEGIN
NHC
invest_al932008.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200807022016
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 93, 2008, DB, O, 2008070218, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL932008
AL, 93, 2008070218, , BEST, 0, 134N, 597W, 20, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
NHC
invest_al932008.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200807022016
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 93, 2008, DB, O, 2008070218, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL932008
AL, 93, 2008070218, , BEST, 0, 134N, 597W, 20, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
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- brunota2003
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Re: INVEST 93L Near Windward Islands
Nice distrabance but heading into the jaws of the TUTT.
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- cycloneye
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Re: INVEST 93L Near Windward Islands
I really didnt thought that this tiny system would get invest status,but NHC may see something that merits it.
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Re: INVEST 93L Near Windward Islands
cycloneye wrote:I really didnt thought that this tiny system would get invest status,but NHC may see something that merits it.
Maybe they like messing with us weather geeks.
Second note to 93L: GO EAST!!!!
Last edited by RL3AO on Wed Jul 02, 2008 3:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- brunota2003
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Re: INVEST 93L: Near Windward Islands
You can see nice low level inflow on the southern side. But it's most likely above the surface, but anyways this is dead invest moving!
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Re: INVEST 93L: Near Windward Islands
No west wind at Grantley Adams just a NE to S shift with a few showers. Kind of cute while it was in a better environment though.
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- cycloneye
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Re: INVEST 93L Models Thread
552
WHXX01 KWBC 022031
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2031 UTC WED JUL 2 2008
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932008) 20080702 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
080702 1800 080703 0600 080703 1800 080704 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 13.4N 59.7W 14.5N 62.6W 15.9N 65.5W 16.9N 68.2W
BAMD 13.4N 59.7W 14.6N 62.2W 15.8N 64.5W 16.8N 66.6W
BAMM 13.4N 59.7W 14.6N 62.6W 15.9N 65.3W 16.9N 67.7W
LBAR 13.4N 59.7W 14.5N 62.6W 15.9N 65.4W 17.3N 68.1W
SHIP 20KTS 23KTS 28KTS 32KTS
DSHP 20KTS 23KTS 28KTS 32KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
080704 1800 080705 1800 080706 1800 080707 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 18.0N 71.1W 19.6N 76.6W 21.5N 82.0W 24.1N 87.0W
BAMD 17.3N 68.5W 17.9N 72.6W 18.6N 76.6W 19.3N 80.6W
BAMM 17.7N 70.1W 19.2N 75.0W 20.9N 79.6W 22.5N 83.6W
LBAR 18.2N 70.4W 20.2N 74.0W 22.7N 76.7W 25.4N 78.9W
SHIP 35KTS 41KTS 44KTS 46KTS
DSHP 35KTS 36KTS 38KTS 36KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 13.4N LONCUR = 59.7W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 17KT
LATM12 = 12.3N LONM12 = 56.1W DIRM12 = 278DEG SPDM12 = 18KT
LATM24 = 11.9N LONM24 = 52.8W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1013MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
$$
WHXX01 KWBC 022031
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2031 UTC WED JUL 2 2008
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932008) 20080702 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
080702 1800 080703 0600 080703 1800 080704 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 13.4N 59.7W 14.5N 62.6W 15.9N 65.5W 16.9N 68.2W
BAMD 13.4N 59.7W 14.6N 62.2W 15.8N 64.5W 16.8N 66.6W
BAMM 13.4N 59.7W 14.6N 62.6W 15.9N 65.3W 16.9N 67.7W
LBAR 13.4N 59.7W 14.5N 62.6W 15.9N 65.4W 17.3N 68.1W
SHIP 20KTS 23KTS 28KTS 32KTS
DSHP 20KTS 23KTS 28KTS 32KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
080704 1800 080705 1800 080706 1800 080707 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 18.0N 71.1W 19.6N 76.6W 21.5N 82.0W 24.1N 87.0W
BAMD 17.3N 68.5W 17.9N 72.6W 18.6N 76.6W 19.3N 80.6W
BAMM 17.7N 70.1W 19.2N 75.0W 20.9N 79.6W 22.5N 83.6W
LBAR 18.2N 70.4W 20.2N 74.0W 22.7N 76.7W 25.4N 78.9W
SHIP 35KTS 41KTS 44KTS 46KTS
DSHP 35KTS 36KTS 38KTS 36KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 13.4N LONCUR = 59.7W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 17KT
LATM12 = 12.3N LONM12 = 56.1W DIRM12 = 278DEG SPDM12 = 18KT
LATM24 = 11.9N LONM24 = 52.8W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1013MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
$$
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Re: INVEST 93L: Near Windward Islands
It looks like a small MCV (Mesoscale Convective Vortex) that may have been partially spawned by increased low level convergence associated with the tropical wave axis to the east. A prolonged and localized heavy precipitation threat over the next ~24 hours is possible because of the ascent in the vicinity. Islanders would probably be prudent to watch for flash flooding, especially in areas with elevated topography. Although this will not develop to a TC and was clearly nothing from the start, this actually poses a slight threat, unlike 92L.
Although everyone will focus on 92L, most of the "land lubbers" in the E Caribbean will watch this one.
Although everyone will focus on 92L, most of the "land lubbers" in the E Caribbean will watch this one.
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