bvigal wrote:Miami, some of us are talking about the wave, some are talking about the low currently on the wave. I wouldn't disagree this particular low (92L) will go north. The tropical wave, however, is not going to shoot off into the central Atlantic. It will continue west, just like every other tropical wave does, and a new low could develop on the wave further west. That's what we meant. Oh, and islands are land, you meant 'mainland' right?
I'm referring to the same area (92L). A new dominant surface low will likely develop SE of the Cape Verde islands. That will likely be the primary surface low, allowing slow development until it reaches the central Atlantic. When it reaches that vicinity, a more northward turn and a weakening trend is probable. It will likely be sheared, in my view. Additionally, I didn't forget the Caribbean islands; I don't expect a threat to your area as well.
