SE TX/SW LA weather: Much cooler and WET after Tuesday

[Yankeegirl]

Nothing here but sun....

[Ed Mahmoud]

Nice little storm just North of downtown.

[srainhoutx]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
230 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

TXZ181-232000-
JASPER TX-
230 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHERN JASPER COUNTY UNTIL 300 PM
CDT...

AT 228 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 8 MILES NORTH OF JASPER...MOVING
SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH.
* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
SAM RAYBURN DAM BY 255 PM CDT
JASPER BY 300 PM CDT
PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Nice little storm just North of downtown.

Going to miss my yard again.


Went to other side of building, heard thunder twice in about 2 minutes, clouds dark to East and Northeast, but not particularly spooky looking.

[srainhoutx]

Good view of boundries from HGX Radar...

[jasons2k]

Yeah, I was in a meeting and we heard loud, booming thunder. I looked up and said "I thought it wasn't supposed to rain today" (which it isn't).

Maybe the outflow from this storm will create another one at the house - I hope....

[PTrackerLA]

Alot more rain around than originally expected, especially to the north and west of us. Lake Charles NWS mentioned how PW's are supposed to increase tomorrow with 30% of rain Tuesday upping to 40% chance Wednesday through the end of the week. Looks like a not so dry forecast after all!

[Yankeegirl]

I heard one boom of thunder, and its still sunny out.... missed out again...

[jasons2k]

Morning update from Jeff Lindner:

Moisture increasing off the Gulf of Mexico this morning as noted by enhanced cumulus field along the coast and showers/thunderstorms over the offshore waters and across the tier one coastal counties. Deep fetch of tropical moisture is noted by sounders over the Gulf of Mexico and is advecting toward the TX coast. With little to no capping and trigger temps in the mid to upper 80’s along with light surface winds a round of seabreeze convection is likely from late morning through mid afternoon.

Deeper moisture profiles arrive out of the Gulf on Wednesday and Thursday and feel at least 50% chances are needed..may need to go higher on Wednesday. Active seabreeze will be the main driving force in a weak wind flow and tropical type air mass. Storm motions will be on the slower side so where it does rain…it may rain 1-3 inches in an hour.

Typical summer pattern returns Friday into the weekend with climo 20-30% chances from afternoon seabreeze activity.

Models begin to diverge by Sunday as tropical wave moves into the southern Gulf of Mexico and strong H5 trough drops into the eastern US carving out a weakness in the height field over TX. GFS shows 300mb TUTT moving into the TX coast Monday June 30th with surface tropical wave moving WNW to NW right behind this feature next Mon-Tues. GFS goes even further and develops a closed surface reflection at 925mb while moving it northward along the S TX coast and then inland over the coastal bend on the east side of the 300mb TUTT by then inland over SW TX. For now will not jump on the tropical happy GFS train as the other models are not showing anything of concern. There is a westward moving tropical wave over the Caribbean Sea and the pattern described about could produce a surface spin up over the western Gulf early next week if the tropical wave and TUTT are in the correct positions allowing the TUTT to vent the tropical wave at the surface. Regardless…it all points toward a wetter pattern over TX. We shall see.

[srainhoutx]

Morning update from Jeff Lindner:

Moisture increasing off the Gulf of Mexico this morning as noted by enhanced cumulus field along the coast and showers/thunderstorms over the offshore waters and across the tier one coastal counties. Deep fetch of tropical moisture is noted by sounders over the Gulf of Mexico and is advecting toward the TX coast. With little to no capping and trigger temps in the mid to upper 80’s along with light surface winds a round of seabreeze convection is likely from late morning through mid afternoon.

Deeper moisture profiles arrive out of the Gulf on Wednesday and Thursday and feel at least 50% chances are needed..may need to go higher on Wednesday. Active seabreeze will be the main driving force in a weak wind flow and tropical type air mass. Storm motions will be on the slower side so where it does rain…it may rain 1-3 inches in an hour.

Typical summer pattern returns Friday into the weekend with climo 20-30% chances from afternoon seabreeze activity.

Models begin to diverge by Sunday as tropical wave moves into the southern Gulf of Mexico and strong H5 trough drops into the eastern US carving out a weakness in the height field over TX. GFS shows 300mb TUTT moving into the TX coast Monday June 30th with surface tropical wave moving WNW to NW right behind this feature next Mon-Tues. GFS goes even further and develops a closed surface reflection at 925mb while moving it northward along the S TX coast and then inland over the coastal bend on the east side of the 300mb TUTT by then inland over SW TX. For now will not jump on the tropical happy GFS train as the other models are not showing anything of concern. There is a westward moving tropical wave over the Caribbean Sea and the pattern described about could produce a surface spin up over the western Gulf early next week if the tropical wave and TUTT are in the correct positions allowing the TUTT to vent the tropical wave at the surface. Regardless…it all points toward a wetter pattern over TX. We shall see.

Looks like some rain for your yard Jason. I think that alot of folks will see showers/storms as this pattern evolves. Thanks for posting Jeff's thoughts.

[njweather]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1007 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2008

TXZ199-200-210>214-226-227-235>238-241830-
MONTGOMERY-LIBERTY-COLORADO-AUSTIN-WALLER-HARRIS-CHAMBERS-WHARTON-
FORT BEND-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-BRAZORIA-GALVESTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...THE WOODLANDS...CONROE...WILLIS...
LIBERTY...CLEVELAND...DAYTON...COLUMBUS...EAGLE LAKE...WEIMAR...
SEALY...BELLVILLE...HEMPSTEAD...PRAIRIE VIEW...BROOKSHIRE...
HOUSTON...PASADENA...KATY...TOMBALL...HUMBLE...WINNIE...
MONT BELVIEU...ANAHUAC...EL CAMPO...WHARTON...PIERCE...
SUGAR LAND...MISSOURI CITY...RICHMOND...ROSENBERG...EDNA...
BAY CITY...PALACIOS...PEARLAND...LAKE JACKSON...ALVIN...
ANGLETON...FREEPORT...LEAGUE CITY...TEXAS CITY...FRIENDSWOOD...
GALVESTON
1007 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2008

...FUNNEL CLOUDS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...

INTERSECTING BOUNDARIES UNDER RAPIDLY DEVELOPING CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL
LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF FUNNEL CLOUDS AND WATERSPOUTS THIS
MORNING. AT 10 AM...THERE WAS ONE REPORT OF A FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR
KEMAH AND ANOTHER REPORTED NEAR FM 518 AND I-45. CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FUNNEL CLOUDS THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TOMORROW
MORNING.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Screen pulled up, so I can look at dark clouds South of the Galleria.


No tropical funnels, yet.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Nice t-storm an hour ago, with what appears to be mammatus overhead at the Galleria, and, best of all, NWS radar indicates rain at my house.

[jasons2k]

Looks like some rain for your yard Jason. I think that alot of folks will see showers/storms as this pattern evolves. Thanks for posting Jeff's thoughts.

It looked so promising - a nice, solid N-S line along I-45 looked like it was going to train right over my house - but sure enough - just as it got to the Spring area, the whole southern end headed for me just evaporated - and once again, not a single drop at my house according to radar. Ugh!!

If you look at the storm totals on radar - that sliver of nothing just east of I-45 in Montgomery County - yeah, that's me, one of the very few dry places left on today's map

[Ed Mahmoud]

extreme Northern Montgomery county is in the severe t-storm warning.

[jasons2k]

extreme Northern Montgomery county is in the severe t-storm warning.

Yeah - that giant cell passed just to my west. The line it originated from was headed right for me and just went POOF.

Heck, I'd take some hail if it got the ground wet!

[srainhoutx]

Not to "rub it in", but got about an inch with two good storms and my yard is grateful.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Looked like the line was fizzling as it went through the 1960/Veterans area, but I would guess a couple of tenths, better than nothing.

Probably close to an inch here by the Galleria.

[southerngale]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC199-245-361-251815-
/O.NEW.KLCH.SV.W.0132.080625T1747Z-080625T1815Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1247 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN HARDIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES BEAUMONT...
NORTHWESTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES VIDOR...

* UNTIL 115 PM CDT

* AT 1241 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
BEAUMONT...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
ROSE CITY BY 1255 PM CDT...
VIDOR BY 100 PM CDT...
PINE FOREST BY 105 PM CDT...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3023 9419 3023 9387 2991 9412 2997 9421
TIME...MOT...LOC 1747Z 213DEG 7KT 3003 9412

[PTrackerLA]

Still waiting on the action to start in my area. Yesterday we ha some big storms all around but not a drop here. Lake Charles-Beaumont is really getting hammered right now, we shall see what the afternoon has in store.