Sanibel wrote:Still weak persistence like the other wave that looked like it was spinning in the BOC.
That rain today was from a front over northern Florida colliding with southwest winds. We had morning showers because of it instead of the afternoon rains that come on the fair weather trades.
conditions for rain event still looking good
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
255 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2008
..HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE EAST COAST AREAS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY
DISCUSSION
LOCAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A GUST FRONT MOVING INTO
EXTREME S FLA FROM CONVECTION MON AFTERNOON OVER CUBA. THIS WILL
STALL AND LAY ACROSS THE AREA. ROABS AND MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATE
THAT WINDS FROM 2K FT ON UP NOW SW AS DEEP TROUGH CONTINUES TO
DEVELOP ALONG E COAST WHICH EXTENDS SW INTO THE GULF OF MEX WITH
HIGH PRES AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT TO THE SE. TAFB ANALYZES A LOW
LEVEL TROUGH ROUNDING THE RIDGE TO THE SE AND TRAJECTORY BRINGS THIS
SYSTEM OVER S FLA. THE W COAST SEA BREEZE SHOULD DEVELOP AND MOVE
INLAND AND THOUGH LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE SW...AN E COAST SEA BREEZE
SHOULD DEVELOP BUT HOVER NEAR THE E COAST. ADD TO THIS...AN INCREASE
IN PRECIPITABLE WATER TO ABOVE 2 INCHES TODAY...WHICH WILL PERSIST
INTO THU...HENCE THERE ARE SEVERAL FACTORS COMING TOGETHER TO LEAD
TOWARD A WET PERIOD TODAY AND WED...POSSIBLY INTO THU...MAINLY FOR
THE E HALF OF S FLA BUT THE E COAST SPECIFICALLY.
FOR THE SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WED NIGHT...ACTIVITY WILL BE
MAINLY EARLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING INTERIOR AND E WITH NOCTURNAL
ACTIVITY ON THE W COAST. THUS EACH DAY/EVE WILL BE WET BUT NOT A
CONTINUOUS ALL DAY WASHOUT EXPECTED. ONE TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN CAN
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS IN THE E HALF
OF S FLA. WITH ALL THE CONVERGENCE POSSIBILITIES FROM THE SYNOPTIC
FEATURES...LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH FLOOD
PRONE AND LOW LYING AREAS SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING.
