INVEST 92B BAY OF BENGAL
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- salmon123
- Tropical Storm
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- Age: 43
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- Location: karachi pakistan
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INVEST 92B BAY OF BENGAL
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (92B)
B. 15/0230Z
C. 19.2N
D. 90.6E
E. THREE/MET-7
F. T1.5/1.5/D1.5/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/QUIKSCAT
H. REMARKS...RECENT SCATTEROMETRY DATA SUGGESTS ELONGATED CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER SYSTEM IS CONTINUING TO ORGANIZE. DT IS 1.5 BASED ON BANDING
OF JUST OVER TWO TENTHS AND MET IS 1.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.
B. 15/0230Z
C. 19.2N
D. 90.6E
E. THREE/MET-7
F. T1.5/1.5/D1.5/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/QUIKSCAT
H. REMARKS...RECENT SCATTEROMETRY DATA SUGGESTS ELONGATED CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER SYSTEM IS CONTINUING TO ORGANIZE. DT IS 1.5 BASED ON BANDING
OF JUST OVER TWO TENTHS AND MET IS 1.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.
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- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
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Re: Re:
senorpepr wrote:HURAKAN wrote:A. 02B (NONAME)
Interesting... JTWC upgrade?
I had the same question but it still says POOR.
____________________
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 20.3N 90.1E,
APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTHEAST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA. RECENT ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF LOW TO MID-
LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. A 151158Z
QUIKSCAT IMAGE SECONDS A BROAD AND WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
WITH ENHANCED GRADIENT WINDS TO THE SOUTH. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM
CALCUTTA, INDIA, AS OF 151720Z, REVEAL 2 MB PRESSURE FALLS OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS AS WELL. A 151319Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS TWO
PRIMARY AREAS OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM, WITH THE
CONVECTION TO THE NORTH BEING ENHANCED BY TERRESTRIAL EFFECTS. THE
UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS HAMPERING LOW LEVEL ORGANIZATION WITH
MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR; HOWEVER, ADEQUATE UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE CONTINUES TO SUSTAIN DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. DUE TO THE RECENT
REBUILDING OF DEEP CONVECTION YET DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL, THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
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Re: INVEST 92B BAY OF BENGAL
Should give a good monsoon season dumping of rain where it goes inland.
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- senorpepr
- Military Met/Moderator
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- Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
- Location: Mackenbach, Germany
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Re: INVEST 92B BAY OF BENGAL
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- senorpepr
- Military Met/Moderator
- Posts: 12542
- Age: 41
- Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
- Location: Mackenbach, Germany
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Here's a 0450Z observation out of Chittagong (211mi NE of 92B):
Winds 120° at 15KT
Visibility 3/4 mi (1.2km) with heavy rain
Broken clouds at 700ft, few clouds of cumulonimbus at 2500ft, overcast clouds at 9000ft
Temperature 26°C, dewpoint 25°C
Pressure 995 hPa
(Raw ob: VGEG 160450Z 12015KT 1200 +RA BKN007 FEW025CB OVC090 26/25 Q0995 TEMPO TS;)
Winds 120° at 15KT
Visibility 3/4 mi (1.2km) with heavy rain
Broken clouds at 700ft, few clouds of cumulonimbus at 2500ft, overcast clouds at 9000ft
Temperature 26°C, dewpoint 25°C
Pressure 995 hPa
(Raw ob: VGEG 160450Z 12015KT 1200 +RA BKN007 FEW025CB OVC090 26/25 Q0995 TEMPO TS;)
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- salmon123
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 100
- Age: 43
- Joined: Mon Apr 28, 2008 1:56 pm
- Location: karachi pakistan
- Contact:
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (92B)
B. 16/0830Z
C. 21.1N
D. 89.8E
E. FIVE/MET-7
F. T2.0/2.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CONTINUES TO HAVE A BROAD AND POORLY DEFINED
CIRCULATION THAT SEEMS TO BE MOVING PRIMARILY NORTHWARD. ALTHOUGH THERE
HAS BEEN A SLIGHT DECREASE IN INTENSITY AND EXTENT OF THE DEEP CONVECTON
WEST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER, THERE IS NOW SOME CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF
THE CENTER. ALMOST ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS OFFSHORE. DT BASED
ON 5 TENTHS BANDING IS AN UNREPRESENTATIVE 2.5. PT AND MET ARE 2.0.
B. 16/0830Z
C. 21.1N
D. 89.8E
E. FIVE/MET-7
F. T2.0/2.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CONTINUES TO HAVE A BROAD AND POORLY DEFINED
CIRCULATION THAT SEEMS TO BE MOVING PRIMARILY NORTHWARD. ALTHOUGH THERE
HAS BEEN A SLIGHT DECREASE IN INTENSITY AND EXTENT OF THE DEEP CONVECTON
WEST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER, THERE IS NOW SOME CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF
THE CENTER. ALMOST ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS OFFSHORE. DT BASED
ON 5 TENTHS BANDING IS AN UNREPRESENTATIVE 2.5. PT AND MET ARE 2.0.
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- P.K.
- Professional-Met
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- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
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Re: INVEST 92B BAY OF BENGAL
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 16-06-2008
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 16 JUNE, 2008 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 16 JUNE 2008 (.)
A DEPRESSION FORMED OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL OFF BANGLADESH COAST AND LAY CENTRED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 16TH JUNE 2008, NEAR LAT. 21.50 N AND LONG 90.00 E ABOUT 220 KM, SOUTHEAST OF KOLKATA. THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO MOVE IN A NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION AND CROSS BANGLADESH COAST NEAR 89.50 E BY TODAY EVENING/NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEED IS 25-30 KNOTS AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. SEA CONDITION IS ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH.
THE STRONG LOW LEVEL WESTERLIES TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AND UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER, THE MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS NOT SUPPORTIVE FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SYSTEM, BROKEN INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 15.50N.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 16 JUNE, 2008 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 16 JUNE 2008 (.)
A DEPRESSION FORMED OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL OFF BANGLADESH COAST AND LAY CENTRED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 16TH JUNE 2008, NEAR LAT. 21.50 N AND LONG 90.00 E ABOUT 220 KM, SOUTHEAST OF KOLKATA. THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO MOVE IN A NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION AND CROSS BANGLADESH COAST NEAR 89.50 E BY TODAY EVENING/NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEED IS 25-30 KNOTS AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. SEA CONDITION IS ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH.
THE STRONG LOW LEVEL WESTERLIES TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AND UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER, THE MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS NOT SUPPORTIVE FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SYSTEM, BROKEN INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 15.50N.
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