I'm back to tracking ULL for excitement

[HURAKAN]

Get ready.

[MiamiensisWx]

How can you even issue watches or warnings for an upper level feature? Tropical cyclogenesis occurs at the lower levels, where the formation of a defined low level circulation occurs.

[cycloneye]

Is only a snark/joke.

[psyclone]

Miami, he's just having fun during this dry spell with an upper level low. I have been loving it. the graphics are great. on a more serious note TBW seems quite bullish on convection firing on the west coast of Fl as a result of this feature and seabreeze collisions later today.

[AnnularCane]

haha oh dear we really are desperate for some sort of tropical activity!
Cool image though!

I don't want to think of what it will be like in here if nothing else happens until August.

[HURAKAN]

How can you even issue watches or warnings for an upper level feature? Tropical cyclogenesis occurs at the lower levels, where the formation of a defined low level circulation occurs.

If you read in the previous page, we have been joking and/or preparing for the season ahead. We're just kidding.

By the way, I think you know there is no "Low Pressure Warning!!!"

[MiamiensisWx]

Oh, I'm thoroughly aware of the fact that it is a parody before I even opened the thread - it still seemed a little ridiculous to me, but to each his own.

Regardless, as I mentioned on another site's thread involving the same upper low, strong upper level divergence has been shearing any SHRA/convection. The lack of low level convergence will not sustain any updrafts to result in further convection. Overall, even if convergence was sufficient, it would have remained an upper low. I do concur that it keeps the precip chances alive in southern Florida; I'm tired of days watching low level cumulus with no rain in sight because of the capping inversion. This upper low should finally erode the cap because of mid level cooling, as mentioned in the NWS Miami AFD.

[Recurve]

Oh, I'm thoroughly aware of the fact that it is a parody before I even opened the thread - it still seemed a little ridiculous to me, but to each his own.

Regardless, as I mentioned on another site's thread involving the same upper low, strong upper level divergence has been shearing any SHRA/convection. The lack of low level convergence will not sustain any updrafts to result in further convection. Overall, even if convergence was sufficient, it would have remained an upper low. I do concur that it keeps the precip chances alive in southern Florida; I'm tired of days watching low level cumulus with no rain in sight because of the capping inversion. This upper low should finally erode the cap because of mid level cooling, as mentioned in the NWS Miami AFD.

We can only hope. Tiny showers have been streaming in from the east but coverage has been very low.

From KWFO discussion:

...OUR MORNING SOUNDING REVEALS CONSIDERABLE COOLING OVER
THE LAST 24 HOURS BETWEEN 700 AND 500 MB...WITH A DEEP EASTERLY FLOW
PROVIDING AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE (PWAT 1.42 INCHES). OUTSIDE OF A
SHALLOW 1 DEGREE C INVERSION BASED AT 800 MB...OUR ATMOSPHERE IS
MODERATELY UNSTABLE.

.SHORT TERM (REST OF TODAY)...
THERE ARE MIXED SIGNALS ON WHETHER CLOUD LINES WILL BECOME
CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE NEAR THE ISLAND CHAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A GRADUAL INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE ALONG WITH SOME BACKING OF THE LOW AND MID LEVEL
FLOW...WHICH WOULD ENHANCE THE LIKELIHOOD OF CLOUD LINES TO FORM.
HOWEVER...A COUPLE OF POTENTIAL INHIBITORS ARE THE LOW LEVEL STABLE
LAYER AND WINDS BEING A TAD TOO FRESH IN THE LOW LEVELS. LOOKING
UPSTREAM AT THE NASSAU (MYNN) SOUNDING...LOW LEVEL MOISTENING HAS
OCCURRED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS AND THE EASTERLY TRAJECTORY SHOULD
ADVECT ADDITIONAL INTO OUR REGION. FURTHERMORE...SCATTERED SHOWERS
HAVE ALREADY IMPACTED THE UPPER KEYS OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO. WITH
THAT IN MIND...WILL MAINTAIN LOW CHANCE 30 PERCENT POPS
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S. SINCE THE CURRENT FORECAST
APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK...NO ADJUSTMENTS ARE PLANNED.

I'm trying to decide whether to put the shutters up.

[Category 5]

Man, you guys really need rain don't you.

But wouldn't this thread belong in the USA Weather forum?

[feederband]

Man, you guys really need rain don't you.

But wouldn't this thread belong in the USA Weather forum?

Test run...

[HURAKAN]

[feederband]

Thinking about throwing a ULL party tonite...

[flwxwatcher]

Thinking about throwing a ULL party tonite...

[Cyclone1]

*boards up windows*

[JonathanBelles]

LOL Sandy!!!!

[srainhoutx]

*boards up windows*

[MiamiensisWx]

I think I'll move one of my potted plants indoors. A leaf, anther, or stigma may ruffle from 1 mph wind gusts. The floral bracts may be seriously impacted from condensation or 0.0000001 inch of precip.

[Rainband]

you guys are bored

[MiamiensisWx]

you guys are bored

Precip starved, staved, and ravished

Honestly, I thought this thread was a frivolous and slightly silly exercise itself.

[cycloneye]

you guys are bored

Even the models dont show anything in the near future and that is why even an upper low is fun.