CrazyC83 wrote:wbug1 wrote:Whoa.. that tornado came out of nowhere. Uh.. I can't see significant reflectivity, not even 40 dbz.. dissipated completely?
Probably a classic low-topped supercell.
Also very small as well.
June 4-7: Severe wx (Omaha tornado update)
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wbug1
Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak
Also very small as well.
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CrazyC83
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak
wbug1 wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:wbug1 wrote:Whoa.. that tornado came out of nowhere. Uh.. I can't see significant reflectivity, not even 40 dbz.. dissipated completely?
Probably a classic low-topped supercell.
Also very small as well.
Yet they still did more damage than any of the big supercells yesterday (due to bad luck more than anything). Those sound like EF2-EF3.
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wbug1
Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak
Here's the radar imagery out of Fargo, ND around the time the storm reports came in. Definite rotation on the storm relative velocities, but if I were sitting at the local WFO, I probably wouldn't have thought too much of it given the broadness of it. The main problem is that all the NWS radars (Duluth, Minneapolis, Fargo) are fairly far from Hubbard County, so the low topped supercell was very hard to discern from radar imagery alone. This is why spotters are very important.
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wx247
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- Contact:
Tornado watch now out for my area... again. Yeesh.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 473
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1215 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
HARRISON ARKANSAS TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF MATTOON ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 472...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON FROM SOUTHWEST MO INTO
SOUTHERN/CENTRAL IL. MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS...COUPLED WITH STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PARAMETERS WILL PROMOTE
SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. SOME POTENTIAL
FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO EXIST WITH MORE ISOLATED STORMS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 473
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1215 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
HARRISON ARKANSAS TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF MATTOON ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 472...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON FROM SOUTHWEST MO INTO
SOUTHERN/CENTRAL IL. MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS...COUPLED WITH STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PARAMETERS WILL PROMOTE
SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. SOME POTENTIAL
FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO EXIST WITH MORE ISOLATED STORMS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
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CrazyC83
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- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
A warning in there:
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1251 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008
MOC105-169-061815-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0145.000000T0000Z-080606T1815Z/
LACLEDE MO-PULASKI MO-
1251 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
LACLEDE AND PULASKI COUNTIES...
AT 1247 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS CONTINUED TO TRACK A WALL
CLOUD 6 MILES SOUTH OF LAQUEY...OR 9 MILES WEST OF FORT LEONARD
WOOD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 38 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
FORT LEONARD WOOD AND 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WAYNESVILLE BY 100 PM
CDT.
6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST. ROBERT BY 105 PM CDT.
THIS ALSO INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 141 AND 165.
IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3798 9209 3766 9204 3756 9243 3774 9251
TIME...MOT...LOC 1751Z 247DEG 33KT 3770 9228
$$
TERRY
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1251 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008
MOC105-169-061815-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0145.000000T0000Z-080606T1815Z/
LACLEDE MO-PULASKI MO-
1251 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
LACLEDE AND PULASKI COUNTIES...
AT 1247 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS CONTINUED TO TRACK A WALL
CLOUD 6 MILES SOUTH OF LAQUEY...OR 9 MILES WEST OF FORT LEONARD
WOOD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 38 MPH.
THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
FORT LEONARD WOOD AND 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WAYNESVILLE BY 100 PM
CDT.
6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST. ROBERT BY 105 PM CDT.
THIS ALSO INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 141 AND 165.
IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3798 9209 3766 9204 3756 9243 3774 9251
TIME...MOT...LOC 1751Z 247DEG 33KT 3770 9228
$$
TERRY
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 474
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST ILLINOIS
NORTHWEST INDIANA
SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN
LAKE MICHIGAN
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL 600
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH OF MILWAUKEE
WISCONSIN TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MARSEILLES ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 472...WW 473...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED AND DISCRETE THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER
SOUTHEAST WI AND NORTHEAST IL...IN REGION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY
AND STRONG LOW/DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR. SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED
THAT WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO LAKE MI DURING THE AFTERNOON.
THREAT OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH STORMS AS THEY
MOVE EASTWARD...AS WELL AS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 474
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST ILLINOIS
NORTHWEST INDIANA
SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN
LAKE MICHIGAN
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL 600
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH OF MILWAUKEE
WISCONSIN TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MARSEILLES ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 472...WW 473...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED AND DISCRETE THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER
SOUTHEAST WI AND NORTHEAST IL...IN REGION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY
AND STRONG LOW/DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR. SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED
THAT WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO LAKE MI DURING THE AFTERNOON.
THREAT OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH STORMS AS THEY
MOVE EASTWARD...AS WELL AS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak
TORNADO WARNING
MOC055-061945-
/O.NEW.KLSX.TO.W.0052.080606T1851Z-080606T1945Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
151 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CRAWFORD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI
* UNTIL 245 PM CDT
* AT 148 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO 18 MILES
WEST OF STEELVILLE...OR ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROLLA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 32 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
STEELVILLE...
CUBA...
LEASBURG...
BOURBON...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
STATE POLICE REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR NEWBURG.
LAT...LON 3805 9154 3820 9118 3807 9110 3788 9111
3779 9154
TIME...MOT...LOC 1851Z 240DEG 28KT 3789 9164
$$
TILLY
MOC055-061945-
/O.NEW.KLSX.TO.W.0052.080606T1851Z-080606T1945Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
151 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CRAWFORD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI
* UNTIL 245 PM CDT
* AT 148 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO 18 MILES
WEST OF STEELVILLE...OR ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROLLA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 32 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
STEELVILLE...
CUBA...
LEASBURG...
BOURBON...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
STATE POLICE REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR NEWBURG.
LAT...LON 3805 9154 3820 9118 3807 9110 3788 9111
3779 9154
TIME...MOT...LOC 1851Z 240DEG 28KT 3789 9164
$$
TILLY
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1254
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0217 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MN
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 472...
VALID 061917Z - 062045Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 472 CONTINUES.
THE TORNADO POTENTIAL HAS DECREASED ACROSS THE SRN AND WRN PORTIONS
OF THE WATCH...WHERE COLD ADVECTION IS OCCURRING AT THE SURFACE. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR A TORNADO...WILL BE OVER FAR NRN MN...WHERE
TEMPERATURES NEAR 70 EXIST AHEAD OF ADVANCING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH.
NONETHELESS...INSTABILITY LEVELS ARE WEAK...AND THE THREAT WILL
LIKELY COMPLETELY END OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.
..JEWELL.. 06/06/2008
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
49489427 49469367 49359150 49149083 48669055 48239063
48059070 47629141 48079399 48509482 49029487 49199452
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0217 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MN
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 472...
VALID 061917Z - 062045Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 472 CONTINUES.
THE TORNADO POTENTIAL HAS DECREASED ACROSS THE SRN AND WRN PORTIONS
OF THE WATCH...WHERE COLD ADVECTION IS OCCURRING AT THE SURFACE. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR A TORNADO...WILL BE OVER FAR NRN MN...WHERE
TEMPERATURES NEAR 70 EXIST AHEAD OF ADVANCING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH.
NONETHELESS...INSTABILITY LEVELS ARE WEAK...AND THE THREAT WILL
LIKELY COMPLETELY END OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.
..JEWELL.. 06/06/2008
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
49489427 49469367 49359150 49149083 48669055 48239063
48059070 47629141 48079399 48509482 49029487 49199452
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1255
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NE AR...SRN INTO E CNTRL MO...CNTRL/SRN IL
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 473...
VALID 061927Z - 062100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 473 CONTINUES.
CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS...EXTENDING FROM THE ST. LOUIS AREA WEST
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO VICHY/ROLLA...APPEAR TO BE FORMING NEAR THE
TRANSITION FROM MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS...ON THE TAIL END OF UPPER
TROUGH LIFTING INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKE REGION...TO THE ONSET OF
MID-LEVEL HEIGHT RISES IN ITS WAKE. THIS ZONE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT
EAST NORTHEAST OF THE ST. LOUIS AREA...INTO THE VICINITY OF
SALEM/MATTOON IL BY 21-22Z. AS THIS OCCURS...IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT
ACTIVITY WILL CONSOLIDATE INTO A LARGER MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BECOMING A MORE PROMINENT THREAT
....AS EVAPORATIVE COOLING BEGINS TO ENHANCE DOWNWARD TRANSPORT OF
HIGH MOMENTUM AIR TO THE SURFACE. UNTIL THIS OCCURS...LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR BENEATH 40-50 KT SOUTHWESTERLY 850 FLOW...ASSOCIATED WITH THE
STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET SHIFTING INTO THE GREAT LAKES...WILL REMAIN
SIZABLE...AND SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADIC POTENTIAL IN DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS.
..KERR.. 06/06/2008
ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...LSX...
37919121 38329109 38669035 39168944 39568883 39408836
38818833 38438888 37659083
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NE AR...SRN INTO E CNTRL MO...CNTRL/SRN IL
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 473...
VALID 061927Z - 062100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 473 CONTINUES.
CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS...EXTENDING FROM THE ST. LOUIS AREA WEST
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO VICHY/ROLLA...APPEAR TO BE FORMING NEAR THE
TRANSITION FROM MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS...ON THE TAIL END OF UPPER
TROUGH LIFTING INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKE REGION...TO THE ONSET OF
MID-LEVEL HEIGHT RISES IN ITS WAKE. THIS ZONE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT
EAST NORTHEAST OF THE ST. LOUIS AREA...INTO THE VICINITY OF
SALEM/MATTOON IL BY 21-22Z. AS THIS OCCURS...IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT
ACTIVITY WILL CONSOLIDATE INTO A LARGER MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BECOMING A MORE PROMINENT THREAT
....AS EVAPORATIVE COOLING BEGINS TO ENHANCE DOWNWARD TRANSPORT OF
HIGH MOMENTUM AIR TO THE SURFACE. UNTIL THIS OCCURS...LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR BENEATH 40-50 KT SOUTHWESTERLY 850 FLOW...ASSOCIATED WITH THE
STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET SHIFTING INTO THE GREAT LAKES...WILL REMAIN
SIZABLE...AND SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADIC POTENTIAL IN DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS.
..KERR.. 06/06/2008
ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...LSX...
37919121 38329109 38669035 39168944 39568883 39408836
38818833 38438888 37659083
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wbug1
Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak
Whoa.. those cells just blew up and became tornadic. So quickly. St. Louis and the Kenosha-Milwaukee area are all highly built up areas.
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak
wbug1 wrote:Whoa.. those cells just blew up and became tornadic. So quickly. St. Louis and the Kenosha-Milwaukee area are all highly built up areas.
The Wheatland, WI, area is going to get it again this year. They had that tornado back during the heat wave in January.
Edit: Hwy. 50 and Cty. O, per http://www.wisn.com/weather/14996323/detail.html
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak
badger70 wrote:wbug1 wrote:Whoa.. those cells just blew up and became tornadic. So quickly. St. Louis and the Kenosha-Milwaukee area are all highly built up areas.
The Wheatland, WI, area is going to get it again this year. They had that tornado back during the heat wave in January.
Edit: Hwy. 50 and Cty. O, per http://www.wisn.com/weather/14996323/detail.html
I remember that one. This setup seems to be under-estimated by the SPC as well - an outbreak would not be surprising.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak
TORNADO WARNING
MIC113-165-062115-
/O.NEW.KAPX.TO.W.0001.080606T2011Z-080606T2115Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
411 PM EDT FRI JUN 6 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WEXFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
MISSAUKEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 515 PM EDT
* AT 404 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 12 MILES SOUTH OF MITCHELL STATE PARK...OR 14 MILES SOUTH
OF CADILLAC...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
* THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
LUCAS...CADILLAC...7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MCBAIN AND 12 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MEAUWATAKA AROUND 420 PM EDT...
JENNINGS AROUND 425 PM EDT...
LAKE CITY...9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MANTON AND 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF
FALMOUTH AROUND 430 PM EDT...
MOREY AROUND 435 PM EDT...
7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOORESTOWN AROUND 445 PM EDT...
THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. THIS
STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOES. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!
LAT...LON 4451 8552 4451 8485 4416 8509 4416 8520
4417 8520 4416 8561
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 214DEG 48KT 4414 8543
$$
MIC113-165-062115-
/O.NEW.KAPX.TO.W.0001.080606T2011Z-080606T2115Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
411 PM EDT FRI JUN 6 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WEXFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
MISSAUKEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 515 PM EDT
* AT 404 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 12 MILES SOUTH OF MITCHELL STATE PARK...OR 14 MILES SOUTH
OF CADILLAC...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
* THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
LUCAS...CADILLAC...7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MCBAIN AND 12 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MEAUWATAKA AROUND 420 PM EDT...
JENNINGS AROUND 425 PM EDT...
LAKE CITY...9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MANTON AND 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF
FALMOUTH AROUND 430 PM EDT...
MOREY AROUND 435 PM EDT...
7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOORESTOWN AROUND 445 PM EDT...
THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. THIS
STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOES. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!
LAT...LON 4451 8552 4451 8485 4416 8509 4416 8520
4417 8520 4416 8561
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 214DEG 48KT 4414 8543
$$
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wbug1
Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak
Here we go again.
1932 TORNADO, POPLAR GROVE BOONE IL 4237 8882 PUBLIC REPORT THROUGH WREX NEAR THE POPLAR GROVE AIRPORT. (LOT)
2000 5 E WATERFORD RACINE WI 4276 8812 TORNADO ON THE GROUND AT HIGHWAY 20 AND BRITTON ROAD. (MKX)
1932 TORNADO, POPLAR GROVE BOONE IL 4237 8882 PUBLIC REPORT THROUGH WREX NEAR THE POPLAR GROVE AIRPORT. (LOT)
2000 5 E WATERFORD RACINE WI 4276 8812 TORNADO ON THE GROUND AT HIGHWAY 20 AND BRITTON ROAD. (MKX)
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Still got tornado warnings coming out, not sure why its so queit in here lol!
TORNADO WARNING
MIC025-077-062230-
/O.NEW.KGRR.TO.W.0007.080606T2151Z-080606T2230Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
551 PM EDT FRI JUN 6 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MICHIGAN
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL KALAMAZOO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN
* UNTIL 630 PM EDT
* AT 549 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS
LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF BURLINGTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 63
MPH.
* THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MARENGO BY 605 PM EDT...
ALBION BY 610 PM EDT...
IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO THREAT...GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS OVER 75 MPH CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...
SONOMA... WEST LEROY... EAST LEROY...
ATHENS... STANLEY CORNERS... BURLINGTON...
BEADLE LAKE... WATTLES PARK... CERESCO...
MARSHALL... CONVIS TWP... CLARENDON...
ECKFORD... MARENGO... CONDIT...
LEE TWP... BABCOCK... RICE CREEK...
IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 4242 8497 4243 8481 4242 8472 4225 8472
4217 8473 4206 8522 4207 8525 4222 8532
TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 250DEG 54KT 4218 8513
$$
TORNADO WARNING
MIC025-077-062230-
/O.NEW.KGRR.TO.W.0007.080606T2151Z-080606T2230Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
551 PM EDT FRI JUN 6 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MICHIGAN
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL KALAMAZOO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN
* UNTIL 630 PM EDT
* AT 549 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS
LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF BURLINGTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 63
MPH.
* THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MARENGO BY 605 PM EDT...
ALBION BY 610 PM EDT...
IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO THREAT...GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS OVER 75 MPH CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...
SONOMA... WEST LEROY... EAST LEROY...
ATHENS... STANLEY CORNERS... BURLINGTON...
BEADLE LAKE... WATTLES PARK... CERESCO...
MARSHALL... CONVIS TWP... CLARENDON...
ECKFORD... MARENGO... CONDIT...
LEE TWP... BABCOCK... RICE CREEK...
IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 4242 8497 4243 8481 4242 8472 4225 8472
4217 8473 4206 8522 4207 8525 4222 8532
TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 250DEG 54KT 4218 8513
$$
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak
CrazyC83 wrote:badger70 wrote:wbug1 wrote:Whoa.. those cells just blew up and became tornadic. So quickly. St. Louis and the Kenosha-Milwaukee area are all highly built up areas.
The Wheatland, WI, area is going to get it again this year. They had that tornado back during the heat wave in January.
Edit: Hwy. 50 and Cty. O, per http://www.wisn.com/weather/14996323/detail.html
I remember that one. This setup seems to be under-estimated by the SPC as well - an outbreak would not be surprising.
True - the had it already scheduled, when the Day 2 was a MDT-day.
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wbug1
Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak
Looks like just a skipping weak tornado in the Milwaukee area. Some other tornado reports near St. Louis but no word on damage yet.
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