No Dice

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No Dice

#1 Postby Guest » Tue Jul 08, 2003 10:20 am

Its not a TD yet. Latest on the TWO says no closed circulation. Well folks another afternoon of watching and waiting. Recon is flying back in this evening.

Wonder what the delay was about?

patricia
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Rainband

#2 Postby Rainband » Tue Jul 08, 2003 10:21 am

This is an interesting situation!! :? :? :wink:
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Re: No Dice

#3 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Jul 08, 2003 10:23 am

ticka1 wrote:Its not a TD yet. Latest on the TWO says no closed circulation. Well folks another afternoon of watching and waiting. Recon is flying back in this evening.

Wonder what the delay was about?

patricia


Analysis and re analysis IMO, to make sure they are making the correct call. Playing it conservative I think. At 30 mph clip it is difficult at best to close off a circ center. Definitely getting it's act together!!! Looking better and better and outflow pattern is beginining to be established on N side.
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#4 Postby bfez1 » Tue Jul 08, 2003 10:36 am

Think it will be a TD this afternoon???
Taking bets!!!
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#5 Postby Guest » Tue Jul 08, 2003 10:38 am

I'll put my two cents in!!!!!! what's the payout?

Patricia
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#6 Postby bfez1 » Tue Jul 08, 2003 10:40 am

All of the free advice you'll ever need!!! lol
Come on ticka, give us your two cents worth!!!
Don't keep us waiting!
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Rainband

#7 Postby Rainband » Tue Jul 08, 2003 10:41 am

bfez1 wrote:Think it will be a TD this afternoon???
Taking bets!!!
I think it will be claudette..if it slows down a tad..it looks more and more impressive every hour..But what do I know lol :roll: :wink:
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#8 Postby Guest » Tue Jul 08, 2003 10:42 am

LOL - I've got to study the satellite pictures more during lunch and I'll get back to you OK.

Patricia
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#9 Postby Toni - 574 » Tue Jul 08, 2003 10:43 am

This is down right difficult anticipation :firedevil:
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A TD in 24hrs

#10 Postby galvbay » Tue Jul 08, 2003 10:54 am

My bet is that we have Claudette within 24 hrs. Forget the statistics...
my 2 cents. galvbay
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#11 Postby OtherHD » Tue Jul 08, 2003 11:24 am

I agree, in fact, I'm pretty sure it will "skip" TD status. It has the winds, just needs to complete the LLCC.
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Claudette

#12 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jul 08, 2003 11:29 am

That's the best looking wave I've ever seen! Recon found 45kts sustained just north of a 1009MB pressure reading. This is on the verge of being Claudette. Just have to find that west wind down south.
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Rainband

#13 Postby Rainband » Tue Jul 08, 2003 11:33 am

OtherHD wrote:I agree, in fact, I'm pretty sure it will "skip" TD status. It has the winds, just needs to complete the LLCC.
At this rate it may skip TS status :lol: :lol: :wink:
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#14 Postby Air Force Met » Tue Jul 08, 2003 11:43 am

Wxman57 wrote: That's the best looking wave I've ever seen! Recon found 45kts sustained just north of a 1009MB pressure reading. This is on the verge of being Claudette. Just have to find that west wind down south.

Amen to that. A buddy an I were just talking about that. This is the most impressive wave I can remember. Look like a 50 kt tropical storm. I can remember Cat 1's that looked less impressive. All it has to do is slow down by about 5-10 kts and the west wind will appear.
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#15 Postby JetMaxx » Tue Jul 08, 2003 11:45 am

I personally believe it's already a tropical storm ticka...based on visible satellite presentation. The fast forward movement may have masks the fact it had a closed circulation earlier when recon was on station...something I've seen occur before.

If I lived in Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and the Yucatan peninsula, I'd be getting prepared for some very stormy weather (possibly even hurricane conditions on some portion of the northeast Yucatan); and I'd keep a very wary eye on it if I lived along the Gulf Coast from Florida westward.

PW
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#16 Postby Air Force Met » Tue Jul 08, 2003 11:47 am

Wxman57 wrote: That's the best looking wave I've ever seen! Recon found 45kts sustained just north of a 1009MB pressure reading. This is on the verge of being Claudette. Just have to find that west wind down south.

Amen to that. A buddy an I were just talking about that. This is the most impressive wave I can remember. Look like a 50 kt tropical storm. I can remember Cat 1's that looked less impressive. All it has to do is slow down by about 5-10 kts and the west wind will appear.
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#17 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Jul 08, 2003 12:21 pm

I think it will skip TD status as well. This one is really starting to crank. I remember a few months back when we all thought Claudette would be the "big one", I sure hope that doesn't come true with the good possibility that she will be in the GOM!
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