GFS + NOGAPS (Carolina Coastline) Disturbance 4-5 Days

[USTropics]

18Z run of the GFS is changing its tune to go along with the NOGAPS 12z run, with a low pressure area forming off the Carolina coastline in 4-5 days:

18Z108HRGFS http://eyecandy.ulmb.com/upload/sgtmeat ... S108HR.gif
12Z108HRNOGAPS http://eyecandy.ulmb.com/upload/sgtmeat ... S108HR.png

[HURRICANELONNY]

I know the local S. FL forecast has an unusual backdoor front coming through sometime Saturday. That must be from that low pressure trough:
"Friday and beyond, the pattern is expected to finally shift as a
large ridge pushes north into the center of the country and as
the upper trough shifts south along the Atlantic coast and over
the open Atlantic waters. This may possibly allow a late season
cold front to move through S Florida this weekend. This scenario would allow
for an increase in convection Saturday while drier air moves in
behind the boundary for Sunday into early next week decreasing
rainfall once again and shifting the surface flow to northeast by Sunday"

[Category 5]

This doesn't look like a tropical system.

[george_r_1961]

This doesn't look like a tropical system.

No but it does look like trouble for the east coast as the pressure gradient between that low and that big high over SE Canada could produce strong onshore winds.

[Category 5]

This doesn't look like a tropical system.

No but it does look like trouble for the east coast as the pressure gradient between that low and that big high over SE Canada could produce strong onshore winds.

I agree, hopefully not as bad as last mondays storm.