EPAC Hurricane Season starts

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CrazyC83
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#21 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 15, 2008 3:41 pm

My thinking for the EPAC: somewhat slow start but picking up significantly in the second half to an above normal year. My EPAC prediction is 18/9/4.
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#22 Postby RL3AO » Thu May 15, 2008 3:51 pm

brunota2003 wrote:Karina is really close name to a monster..."Katrina"


Well, Karina replaced a monster in itself (Kenna).
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#23 Postby KWT » Thu May 15, 2008 4:08 pm

I'm not sure about the numbers but I don't think its going to be that active thanks to the below average temps in the ENSO regions (may not be la nina but temps still below normal there) as well as the -PDO present. Saying that I think we will still see 13-14 storms, not sure about hurricanes/M.hurricanes yet to be honest.
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Re: EPAC Hurricane Season starts

#24 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 15, 2008 4:15 pm

Lets have a poll here about the numbers for the EPAC.

I have 17/9/4.
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#25 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Thu May 15, 2008 4:19 pm

11/6/2
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#26 Postby KWT » Thu May 15, 2008 4:23 pm

Well may as well go for it I suppose, these would be my numbers:

14/8/3...marginally less active then the atlantic season IMO but pretty close...ACE=98
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#27 Postby Cyclone1 » Thu May 15, 2008 4:27 pm

12/6/2
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Re: EPAC Hurricane Season starts

#28 Postby StormScanWx » Thu May 15, 2008 4:29 pm

15/10/4
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#29 Postby HURAKAN » Thu May 15, 2008 4:37 pm

Image

Normal: 16/9/4

My forecast: 13/6/3
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#30 Postby KWT » Thu May 15, 2008 4:42 pm

I'd be interested to see what that average stands at between 1966-2007, I'd guess it would decrease a touch?
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#31 Postby Cyclone1 » Thu May 15, 2008 4:50 pm

Adding the the years 97-07 + 16.4 and averaging it, you get 15.6.

Down about a storm.
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#32 Postby RL3AO » Thu May 15, 2008 4:56 pm

1971-2007 average is

16.11/9.08/4.3
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