Next big severe outbreak starts Monday?

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#161 Postby RL3AO » Tue Mar 18, 2008 4:56 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
442 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
NORTH CENTRAL CRAIGHEAD COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
GREENE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
SOUTHERN DUNKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 442 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR FONTAINE...OR NEAR
BONO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WALCOTT...BEECH GROVE...PARAGOULD...OAK GROVE HEIGHTS...LAFE...
CARDWELL...MARMADUKE...ARBYRD...RECTOR...SENATH...GREENWAY AND
PIGGOTT.
0 likes   

User avatar
gboudx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4080
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:39 pm
Location: Rockwall, Tx but from Harvey, La

Re: Next big severe outbreak starts Monday?

#162 Postby gboudx » Tue Mar 18, 2008 4:57 pm

Ed Mahmoud wrote:So far, the severe weather is generally 'a bust'.


But flooding around DFW area is getting serious.

Radar rainfall estimates for DFW area


I have a rain gauge at my house in Rockwall. I'll post what it shows when I check it later.

It's been raining since this morning and hasn't stopped. I haven't seen it like this in a long time.
0 likes   

Ed Mahmoud

Re: Next big severe outbreak starts Monday?

#163 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:00 pm

The severe weather may not bust in Arkansas, Western Tennesee and Western Kentucky, per SPC MCD.
0 likes   

User avatar
TxWxFrisco
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 49
Joined: Tue Jan 08, 2008 4:25 pm
Location: Frisco, Tx.
Contact:

#164 Postby TxWxFrisco » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:00 pm

3.30 inches in my back yard here in Frisco and still coming down...

My father who lives in Greenville did the tornado drill with my kids last night when that potentially tornadic cell moved through Hunt county. That had to have been one of the most classic examples of a hook echo radar signature I have ever seen...
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re: Next big severe outbreak starts Monday?

#165 Postby RL3AO » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:02 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
459 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

ARC021-031-055-MOC069-182230-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0069.000000T0000Z-080318T2230Z/
CRAIGHEAD AR-CLAY AR-GREENE AR-DUNKLIN MO-
459 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
DUNKLIN...GREENE...SOUTHEASTERN CLAY AND NORTH CENTRAL CRAIGHEAD
COUNTIES...

AT 459 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A ROTATING
WALLCLOUD APPROACHING MARMADUKE. THE POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS LOCATED
NEAR WALCOTT...OR ABOUT NEAR PARAGOULD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.


OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO OAK
GROVE HEIGHTS...LAFE...CARDWELL...MARMADUKE...ARBYRD...RECTOR...
SENATH...GREENWAY AND PIGGOTT.

.IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS IN EXCESS OF
80 MPH.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: Next big severe outbreak starts Monday?

#166 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:12 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
508 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

ARC021-031-055-MOC069-182230-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0069.000000T0000Z-080318T2230Z/
CRAIGHEAD AR-CLAY AR-GREENE AR-DUNKLIN MO-
508 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
DUNKLIN...GREENE...SOUTHEASTERN CLAY AND NORTH CENTRAL CRAIGHEAD
COUNTIES...

AT 508 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A ROTATING
WALLCLOUD AND FUNNEL CLOUD IN PARAGOULD. THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF
TREES DOWN IN PARAGOULD.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM...TAKE COVER
IMMEDIATELY. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PARAGOULD...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
CARDWELL...MARMADUKE...ARBYRD...RECTOR...SENATH...GREENWAY AND
PIGGOTT.

.IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS IN EXCESS OF
80 MPH.


.THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER
A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

.IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3608 8999 3586 9081 3595 9087 3596 9086
3601 9086 3603 9084 3605 9084 3608 9082
3643 9016
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 239DEG 47KT 3611 9041

$$
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#167 Postby RL3AO » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:26 pm

Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 132
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
520 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN...CENTRAL...AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
FAR SOUTHWEST INDIANA
WESTERN KENTUCKY
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
FAR NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WEST TENNESSEE
NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 520
PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF TYLER
TEXAS TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF FORT CAMPBELL KENTUCKY. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 130. WATCH NUMBER 130 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
520 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 131...

DISCUSSION...EXTENSIVE WSW/ENE-ORIENTED QLCS WITH EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY ALONG AND N
OF STALLING FRONT. EJECTION OF SW TX UPR SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR ADDITIONAL SUPERCELLS GIVEN STRENGTH OF
BOTH LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP SHEAR. WHILE ANA NATURE OF FRONT WILL KEEP
SOME OF THE STORMS SLIGHTLY ELEVATED...INCREASINGLY RICH MOISTURE
INFLOW AND DEGREE OF NEAR-SFC DIRECTIONAL SHEAR SUGGEST CONTINUED
RISK FOR TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY DMGG WIND.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#168 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:26 pm

SEL2
0-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 132
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
520 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN...CENTRAL...AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
FAR SOUTHWEST INDIANA
WESTERN KENTUCKY
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
FAR NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WEST TENNESSEE
NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 520
PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF TYLER
TEXAS TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF FORT CAMPBELL KENTUCKY. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 130. WATCH NUMBER 130 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
520 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 131...

DISCUSSION...EXTENSIVE WSW/ENE-ORIENTED QLCS WITH EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY ALONG AND N
OF STALLING FRONT. EJECTION OF SW TX UPR SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR ADDITIONAL SUPERCELLS GIVEN STRENGTH OF
BOTH LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP SHEAR. WHILE ANA NATURE OF FRONT WILL KEEP
SOME OF THE STORMS SLIGHTLY ELEVATED...INCREASINGLY RICH MOISTURE
INFLOW AND DEGREE OF NEAR-SFC DIRECTIONAL SHEAR SUGGEST CONTINUED
RISK FOR TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY DMGG WIND.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.


...CORFIDI
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#169 Postby RL3AO » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:27 pm

Too slow Crazy. :D
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re:

#170 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:29 pm

RL3AO wrote:Too slow Crazy. :D


Yep I know. At least this one has more sensible numbers.
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#171 Postby RL3AO » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:29 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
524 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CRAIGHEAD COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 524 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES SOUTH OF BONO...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
JONESBORO...BROOKLAND...PARAGOULD AND MONETTE.

.IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS IN EXCESS OF
80 MPH.
0 likes   

User avatar
Bunkertor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3397
Joined: Tue May 09, 2006 3:48 pm

#172 Postby Bunkertor » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:29 pm

:lol: :lol: :lol:
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#173 Postby RL3AO » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:33 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
530 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
EAST CENTRAL GREENE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
SOUTHERN DUNKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
PEMISCOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 530 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR CARDWELL...OR 7 MILES
SOUTH OF MARMADUKE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
HORNERSVILLE...SENATH...KENNETT...DENTON...DEERING...HAYTI
HEIGHTS...HAYTI...WARDELL...BOLTON AND CARUTHERSVILLE.

.IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS IN EXCESS OF
80 MPH.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#174 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Mar 18, 2008 6:55 pm

SEL3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 133
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 645 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 135 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
HOUSTON TEXAS TO 35 MILES SOUTH OF MONROE LOUISIANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 131. WATCH NUMBER 131 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
645 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 132...

DISCUSSION...LINE OF FORCED STORMS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS SHOULD
ACCELERATE ENE ACROSS WW THROUGH THE EVENING...AS INDIVIDUAL STORMS
MOVE MORE RAPIDLY NNE ALONG IT. HEIGHT FALLS/UVV ASSOCIATED WITH
EJECTING SW TX UPR VORT EXPECTED TO REMAIN LARGELY W OF SQLN...THUS
ASSOCIATED WARM SECTOR DESTABILIZATION SHOULD BE MINIMAL.
NEVERTHELESS... COMBINATION OF EXISTING VERY STRONG LOW- TO
MID-LEVEL WIND FIELD...AXIS OF RICH MOISTURE IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF
LINE...AND ENHANCED CONVERGENCE INVOF DEVELOPING SFC WAVE IN SRN AR
WILL YIELD A CONTINUED RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES. THE TORNADOES MAY
BE RAIN-WRAPPED...AND ACCOMPANIED BY LOCALLY DMGG WIND/MARGINALLY
SVR HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.


...CORFIDI


SEL3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 133
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 645 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 135 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
HOUSTON TEXAS TO 35 MILES SOUTH OF MONROE LOUISIANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 131. WATCH NUMBER 131 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
645 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 132...

DISCUSSION...LINE OF FORCED STORMS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS SHOULD
ACCELERATE ENE ACROSS WW THROUGH THE EVENING...AS INDIVIDUAL STORMS
MOVE MORE RAPIDLY NNE ALONG IT. HEIGHT FALLS/UVV ASSOCIATED WITH
EJECTING SW TX UPR VORT EXPECTED TO REMAIN LARGELY W OF SQLN...THUS
ASSOCIATED WARM SECTOR DESTABILIZATION SHOULD BE MINIMAL.
NEVERTHELESS... COMBINATION OF EXISTING VERY STRONG LOW- TO
MID-LEVEL WIND FIELD...AXIS OF RICH MOISTURE IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF
LINE...AND ENHANCED CONVERGENCE INVOF DEVELOPING SFC WAVE IN SRN AR
WILL YIELD A CONTINUED RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES. THE TORNADOES MAY
BE RAIN-WRAPPED...AND ACCOMPANIED BY LOCALLY DMGG WIND/MARGINALLY
SVR HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.


...CORFIDI


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 182344
WOU3

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 133
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

TORNADO WATCH 133 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ARC139-190700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0133.080318T2345Z-080319T0700Z/

AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

UNION


LAC001-003-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-027-031-039-043-045-
049-053-055-059-061-069-073-079-081-085-097-099-101-111-113-115-
119-127-190700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0133.080318T2345Z-080319T0700Z/

LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE BOSSIER
CADDO CALCASIEU CALDWELL
CAMERON CLAIBORNE DE SOTO
EVANGELINE GRANT IBERIA
JACKSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE
LA SALLE LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RAPIDES RED RIVER
SABINE ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN
ST. MARY UNION VERMILION
VERNON WEBSTER WINN


TXC001-005-039-071-073-167-199-201-225-241-245-291-339-347-351-
361-365-373-403-405-407-419-455-457-471-190700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0133.080318T2345Z-080319T0700Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANDERSON ANGELINA BRAZORIA
CHAMBERS CHEROKEE GALVESTON
HARDIN HARRIS HOUSTON
JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY
MONTGOMERY NACOGDOCHES NEWTON
ORANGE PANOLA POLK
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO
SHELBY TRINITY TYLER
WALKER


GMZ335-355-450-452-455-190700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0133.080318T2345Z-080319T0700Z/

CW

. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

GALVESTON BAY

COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM

COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM

ATTN...WFO...SHV...LCH...HGX...FWD...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW3
WW 133 TORNADO AR LA TX CW 182345Z - 190700Z
AXIS..135 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30WNW HOU/HOUSTON TX/ - 35S MLU/MONROE LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 115NM N/S /22WSW IAH - 30S MLU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.

REPLACES WW 131..AR LA TX CW

LAT...LON 31779573 33979202 30059202 27869573

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.


Watch 133 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#175 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Mar 18, 2008 6:57 pm

the PDS's are gone...totally busted...
0 likes   

Ed Mahmoud

Re:

#176 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Mar 18, 2008 9:10 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:the PDS's are gone...totally busted...



Parts of Arkansas in a PDS watch did get some tornadoes, at least radar indicated.

Second time in about a month very spooky looking model forecasts around SE Texas didn't verify.
0 likes   

Ed Mahmoud

Re: Next big severe outbreak starts Monday?

#177 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Mar 18, 2008 9:23 pm

Not the classic definition of severe, but the set-up did prove favorable for excessive rainfall totals.
0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#178 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Mar 18, 2008 9:26 pm

yea, looks like VERY heavy rain in some areas.
0 likes   

Ed Mahmoud

Re: Next big severe outbreak starts Monday?

#179 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Mar 18, 2008 9:51 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
932 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

TXC203-315-190300-
/O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-080319T0300Z/
MARION TX-HARRISON TX-
932 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN HARRISON AND WESTERN MARION COUNTIES...

AT 927 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A POSSIBLE TORNADO ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWESTERN HARRISON
COUNTY...ABOUT 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF LONGVIEW...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 30 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
JUST WEST OF JEFFERSON AT 950 PM CDT
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

Re: Next big severe outbreak starts Monday?

#180 Postby HurricaneBill » Wed Mar 19, 2008 2:48 am

Tornado warnings popping up across Mississippi.
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 34 guests