MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0425
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0517 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NRN GA AND NWRN SC WITHIN WW 119
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 119...
VALID 152217Z - 152245Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 119
CONTINUES.
WW 119 MAY NEED TO BE LOCALLY EXTENDED BEYOND THE SCHEDULED 23Z
EXPIRATION TIME.
REGIONAL RADARS SHOWED A LINE OF TSTMS EXTENDING FROM FAR NERN GA
INTO NORTH CENTRAL/NWRN GA...WITH THIS ACTIVITY LOCATED ALONG A
PRIMARY SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT ATTENDANT TO UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW
MOVING EWD THROUGH THE UPPER TN VALLEY. CURRENT TRACK ON THESE
STORMS INDICATED ACTIVITY IN NWRN GA SHOULD MOVE INTO WW 120 BY
23Z...BUT ACTIVITY NEWD ALONG THE FRONT SHOULD REMAIN IN WW 119 FOR
AT LEAST 1 HOUR BEYOND 23Z ACROSS FAR NERN GA INTO NWRN SC.
TSTMS ACROSS NWRN GA HAVE INCREASED IN INTENSITY...AND SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DO SO AS THIS ACTIVITY TRACKS ESEWD INTO GREATER
INSTABILITY. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES ARE VERY STRONG FOR
ORGANIZED STORMS WITH LOW LEVEL SHEAR REMAINING SUPPORTIVE FOR
TORNADOES.
..PETERS.. 03/15/2008
ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...
35188104 34858082 34588199 34198286 34218371 34058430
33778465 33678535 34418543 34528506 34568443 34988335
35228246
Atlanta tornado aftermath, another tornado outbreak March 15
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
New watch, possibly another PDS, coming:
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0426
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0535 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY
VALID 152235Z - 152300Z
TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED SOON FOR ERN NC...TO THE EAST OF WW
120.
ASCENT ATTENDANT TO UPPER TN VALLEY SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD EWD THIS EVENING AND AID IN ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT
INTO SC AND PARTS OF CENTRAL/ERN NC...ALONG AND E OF WARM FRONT
WHICH CURRENTLY EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL SC INTO CENTRAL/NERN NC. AIR
MASS ACROSS ERN NC WILL CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE NNEWD. THIS
COMBINED WITH STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 60 KT WILL
MAINTAIN STORM ORGANIZATION...WITH LOW LEVEL SHEAR STRENGTHENING AS
WIND FIELDS INCREASE AND LOW LEVEL WINDS REMAIN BACKED AT THE
SURFACE AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH. THIS WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED
TORNADO THREAT WITH ANY SUPERCELL.
..PETERS.. 03/15/2008
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...
33987750 35047797 35817826 36287739 36557589 36257534
35337507 34937529 34277619
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0426
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0535 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY
VALID 152235Z - 152300Z
TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED SOON FOR ERN NC...TO THE EAST OF WW
120.
ASCENT ATTENDANT TO UPPER TN VALLEY SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD EWD THIS EVENING AND AID IN ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT
INTO SC AND PARTS OF CENTRAL/ERN NC...ALONG AND E OF WARM FRONT
WHICH CURRENTLY EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL SC INTO CENTRAL/NERN NC. AIR
MASS ACROSS ERN NC WILL CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE NNEWD. THIS
COMBINED WITH STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 60 KT WILL
MAINTAIN STORM ORGANIZATION...WITH LOW LEVEL SHEAR STRENGTHENING AS
WIND FIELDS INCREASE AND LOW LEVEL WINDS REMAIN BACKED AT THE
SURFACE AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH. THIS WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED
TORNADO THREAT WITH ANY SUPERCELL.
..PETERS.. 03/15/2008
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...
33987750 35047797 35817826 36287739 36557589 36257534
35337507 34937529 34277619
0 likes
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brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9476
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- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
- Contact:
Hmm...never been in a PDS watch before. I'm guessing it is issued at around 6:59 pm.
EDIT: They really cut things down, compared to the PDS.
EDIT: They really cut things down, compared to the PDS.
Last edited by brunota2003 on Sat Mar 15, 2008 6:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re:
Cyclenall wrote:I hope there are a lot of chasers getting the footage of all these systems, certainly a very good day for getting data.
It's difficult to chase in the Southeast due to trees, hills and HP supercells.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 121
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF ELIZABETH CITY
NORTH CAROLINA TO 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW BERN NORTH CAROLINA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 119...WW 120...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINES/SMALL CLUSTERS OF EMBEDDED SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELLS NOW OVER ERN PARTS OF THE NC PIEDMONT AND
SANDHILLS MAY MOVE/DEVELOP ENE ACROSS THE ERN NC CSTL PLN LATER THIS
EVENING AS 90+ KT TN MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX CONTINUES EWD. WHILE
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN WEAK...INTENSE SHEAR...INCREASING UVV IN
EXIT REGION OF JET STREAK...AND PRESENCE OF EXISTING STORMS SUGGEST
AN ENE SPREAD OF SVR WIND/ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...CORFIDI
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 121
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF ELIZABETH CITY
NORTH CAROLINA TO 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW BERN NORTH CAROLINA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 119...WW 120...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINES/SMALL CLUSTERS OF EMBEDDED SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELLS NOW OVER ERN PARTS OF THE NC PIEDMONT AND
SANDHILLS MAY MOVE/DEVELOP ENE ACROSS THE ERN NC CSTL PLN LATER THIS
EVENING AS 90+ KT TN MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX CONTINUES EWD. WHILE
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN WEAK...INTENSE SHEAR...INCREASING UVV IN
EXIT REGION OF JET STREAK...AND PRESENCE OF EXISTING STORMS SUGGEST
AN ENE SPREAD OF SVR WIND/ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...CORFIDI
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
WOUS64 KWNS 152255
WOU1
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 121
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008
TORNADO WATCH 121 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-053-055-061-065-073-079-091-095-103-
107-117-133-137-139-143-147-177-187-195-160500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0121.080315T2300Z-080316T0500Z/
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN
EDGECOMBE GATES GREENE
HERTFORD HYDE JONES
LENOIR MARTIN ONSLOW
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS
PITT TYRRELL WASHINGTON
WILSON
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ633-658-160500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0121.080315T2300Z-080316T0500Z/
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 121 TORNADO NC CW 152300Z - 160500Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
45W ECG/ELIZABETH CITY NC/ - 50SE EWN/NEW BERN NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM EITHER SIDE /39W ECG - 72E ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 36567569 34867516 34257769 35957826
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 121 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 121
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF ELIZABETH CITY
NORTH CAROLINA TO 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW BERN NORTH CAROLINA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 119...WW 120...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINES/SMALL CLUSTERS OF EMBEDDED SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELLS NOW OVER ERN PARTS OF THE NC PIEDMONT AND
SANDHILLS MAY MOVE/DEVELOP ENE ACROSS THE ERN NC CSTL PLN LATER THIS
EVENING AS 90+ KT TN MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX CONTINUES EWD. WHILE
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN WEAK...INTENSE SHEAR...INCREASING UVV IN
EXIT REGION OF JET STREAK...AND PRESENCE OF EXISTING STORMS SUGGEST
AN ENE SPREAD OF SVR WIND/ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...CORFIDI
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 121
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF ELIZABETH CITY
NORTH CAROLINA TO 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW BERN NORTH CAROLINA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 119...WW 120...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINES/SMALL CLUSTERS OF EMBEDDED SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELLS NOW OVER ERN PARTS OF THE NC PIEDMONT AND
SANDHILLS MAY MOVE/DEVELOP ENE ACROSS THE ERN NC CSTL PLN LATER THIS
EVENING AS 90+ KT TN MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX CONTINUES EWD. WHILE
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN WEAK...INTENSE SHEAR...INCREASING UVV IN
EXIT REGION OF JET STREAK...AND PRESENCE OF EXISTING STORMS SUGGEST
AN ENE SPREAD OF SVR WIND/ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...CORFIDI
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
WOUS64 KWNS 152255
WOU1
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 121
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008
TORNADO WATCH 121 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-053-055-061-065-073-079-091-095-103-
107-117-133-137-139-143-147-177-187-195-160500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0121.080315T2300Z-080316T0500Z/
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN
EDGECOMBE GATES GREENE
HERTFORD HYDE JONES
LENOIR MARTIN ONSLOW
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS
PITT TYRRELL WASHINGTON
WILSON
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ633-658-160500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0121.080315T2300Z-080316T0500Z/
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 121 TORNADO NC CW 152300Z - 160500Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
45W ECG/ELIZABETH CITY NC/ - 50SE EWN/NEW BERN NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM EITHER SIDE /39W ECG - 72E ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 36567569 34867516 34257769 35957826
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 121 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
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Really nasty line of tornadic thunderstorms advancing toward coastal SC right now. Bamberg, SC and Allendale, SC look like they may be in the direct path of two of the more intense supercells. Could be some long track tornados associated with this line as radar signature and doppler velocities continue to strongly suggest this possibility.
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wbug1
Re: Atlanta tornado aftermath, another tornado outbreak March 15
Strange text showing up on NWS page, shows horizontal line with National Weather Service since... 1870, I can't quite make it out. ?? It's weird, I saw an area of severe thunderstorm warnings covering an area in northeast US a few days ago, when I clicked on them, there were no warnings posted. Must have been a glitch in their system.
0 likes
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0427
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0641 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND ERN GA/SC/SRN NC
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 120...
VALID 152341Z - 160045Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 120 CONTINUES.
PARAMETERS REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE FOR LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS
ESPECIALLY ACROSS SRN AND ERN PARTS OF WW 120...WITH THESE STORMS
PRODUCING TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
UPPER TN VALLEY SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL PROGRESS EWD WITH STRONG
ASCENT WITHIN EXIT REGIONS OF ACCOMPANYING 90 KT 500 MB/110 KT 300
MB JETS MAINTAINING TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS MAINLY THE SRN AND ERN
PARTS OF WW 120. EARLY EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED PRIMARY
SYNOPTIC LOW ATTENDANT TO UPPER TN VALLEY WAVE LOCATED OVER WRN
NC...WITH AT LEAST TWO MESOLOWS...1) OVER EAST CENTRAL GA/SWRN SC
AND 2) OVER SRN NC. THESE MESOLOWS WERE LOCATED ALONG A SURFACE
BOUNDARY/WARM FRONT THAT EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL AL/GA INTO CENTRAL SC
TO NERN NC. SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS ALONG THE SC/NC COAST ARE
MAINTAINING BACKED SURFACE WINDS WHICH COMBINED WITH INCREASING WIND
FIELDS VEERING WITH HEIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR STRONG ROTATING
SUPERCELLS THIS EVENING.
..PETERS.. 03/15/2008
ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...
35787824 35487783 34727793 34237729 33497810 31818046
32208176 32148303 32258370 32078454 32338500 32758503
33428408 34528279 35108088 35478018
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0641 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND ERN GA/SC/SRN NC
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 120...
VALID 152341Z - 160045Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 120 CONTINUES.
PARAMETERS REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE FOR LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS
ESPECIALLY ACROSS SRN AND ERN PARTS OF WW 120...WITH THESE STORMS
PRODUCING TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
UPPER TN VALLEY SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL PROGRESS EWD WITH STRONG
ASCENT WITHIN EXIT REGIONS OF ACCOMPANYING 90 KT 500 MB/110 KT 300
MB JETS MAINTAINING TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS MAINLY THE SRN AND ERN
PARTS OF WW 120. EARLY EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED PRIMARY
SYNOPTIC LOW ATTENDANT TO UPPER TN VALLEY WAVE LOCATED OVER WRN
NC...WITH AT LEAST TWO MESOLOWS...1) OVER EAST CENTRAL GA/SWRN SC
AND 2) OVER SRN NC. THESE MESOLOWS WERE LOCATED ALONG A SURFACE
BOUNDARY/WARM FRONT THAT EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL AL/GA INTO CENTRAL SC
TO NERN NC. SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS ALONG THE SC/NC COAST ARE
MAINTAINING BACKED SURFACE WINDS WHICH COMBINED WITH INCREASING WIND
FIELDS VEERING WITH HEIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR STRONG ROTATING
SUPERCELLS THIS EVENING.
..PETERS.. 03/15/2008
ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...
35787824 35487783 34727793 34237729 33497810 31818046
32208176 32148303 32258370 32078454 32338500 32758503
33428408 34528279 35108088 35478018
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Re:
Bunkertor wrote:But . . . by the way: Isn´t a high risk a little to much ? Wouldn´t MDT do ?
If you mean today, a high risk was 100% correct IMO. There have been times when there was 14 tornado warnings at once, how can that not be a high risk day?
0 likes
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wbug1
Re: Atlanta tornado aftermath, another tornado outbreak March 15
A few days ago, I saw a large area of severe TS warnings up in an area 200 by 250 km or so in size, about 200 km south of lake Ontario, but when I clicked on it there were no warnings up and no precip in the area. Now I'm feeling a bit weird.
0 likes
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Atlanta tornado aftermath, another tornado outbreak March 15
wbug1 wrote:A few days ago, I saw a large area of severe TS warnings up in an area 200 by 250 km or so in size, about 200 km south of lake Ontario, but when I clicked on it there were no warnings up and no precip in the area. Now I'm feeling a bit weird.
Those were likely test warnings issued for storm drills.
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