NOLA area pm rush hour severe outbreak

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HarlequinBoy
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#41 Postby HarlequinBoy » Tue Jan 29, 2008 4:45 pm

Pretty crazy weather here today. Have had two heavy rains and one decent storm..

Also a Tornado Watch AND High Wind Warning are in effect.
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#42 Postby HarlequinBoy » Tue Jan 29, 2008 4:46 pm

Also, a 56 mph wind gust at the airport a few miles from my house.

29 15:20 SW 26 G 56 1.75 Heavy Rain and Windy SCT009 BKN018 OVC065 63 59 29.47 NA 0.15
29 15:00 S 24 G 33 10.00 Mostly Cloudy and Breezy SCT060 BKN075 BKN085 64 61 29.46 NA
29 14:40 S 28 G 35 10.00 Partly Cloudy and Windy SCT013 SCT020 SCT120
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: SPC sees Jan 29th & 31st severe outbreak

#43 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Jan 29, 2008 4:59 pm

HGX AFD snip
ONSHORE FLOW WILL BEGIN WED AFTN AS THE NEXT SYSTEM ORGANIZES OVER
THE ROCKIES/SRN PLAINS. INITIAL MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE IN THE
MID LEVELS SO THINK WE WILL STILL SEE A DECENT AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE.
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RETURN RAPIDLY TO THE AREA WED NIGHT AS
40-50 KT LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS. GFS FORECASTS PWS TO INCREASE TO
1.1-1.3 INCHES BY 12Z THURSDAY AREAWIDE. EXPECTING LOW CLOUDS TO
FILL IN WED EVENING WITH SHOWER(S) DEVELOPING DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. DIFFLUENCE ALOFT INCREASES LATE WED NIGHT AS SE TX GOES
INTO THE RIGHT REAR QUAD OF A 120 KT JET MAX. APPROACHING TROUGH
IS COLDER/ FURTHER SOUTH THAN TODAY`S SYSTEM...AND CAPPING SHOULD
BE MUCH LESS OF AN ISSUE. WILL SEE LINE OF CONVECTION TO ORGANIZE
JUST WEST OF THE AREA LATE WED NIGHT AND CROSS CWA 12-18Z
THURSDAY. GFS CONTINUES TO BE QUITE AGGRESSIVE PUSHING 60+ SFC
DEWPOINTS NORTH INTO THE SRN CWA EARLY THURSDAY...WITH BOUNDARY
LAYER LIS DROPPING TO -2 TO -6. WET BULB ZEROES DROP AS LOW AS
8KFT INDICATING AT LEAST A THREAT OF HAIL WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS. WILL CONTINUE MENTION OF STRONG/POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS THU
MORNING IN THE HWO. FRONT WILL SWEEP QUICKLY ACROSS CWA LATE
MORNING THU AND SHOULD BE OUT OF THE AREA 18-20Z.


Snip from NWS LCH
SPC HAS OUR AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
WITH MUCH OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. OF NOTE IS A STRONG JET MAX
IN THE POLAR STREAM IN PHASE WITH MOISTURE OVER OUR AREA WHICH IS
IN THE RIGHT REAR OR ENTRANCE REGION. GOOD SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL
INFLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT POINTS TO EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS
THE MOST FAVORABLE TIME FOR SEVERE ACTIVITY...MAX HEATING TIME.
IF YOUR OPERATIONS ARE IMPACTED BY THIS...ADVISE ALL HANDS ON DECK.
USE THIS AND FURTHER UPDATED STATEMENTS TO KEEP ABREAST.
REMEMBER...THOSE WHO FAIL TO PLAN...PLAN TO FAIL. WE WILL PROBABLY
BEGIN ISSUING STATEMENT ON THURSDAY`S WEATHER AFTER WE GET DONE
WITH TODAY`S.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: SPC sees Jan 29th & 31st severe outbreak

#44 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Jan 29, 2008 5:00 pm

I think 57 mph makes it an official severe t-storm...
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#45 Postby HarlequinBoy » Tue Jan 29, 2008 5:05 pm

Interestingly, the winds are pretty intense outside of the storms.

Little Rock AFB has had a 61 mph non-thunderstorm related gust.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: SPC sees Jan 29th & 31st severe outbreak

#46 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Jan 29, 2008 5:12 pm

New MD

Image

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0108
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AR...WRN TN...NWRN MS...SERN MO...WRN IL...WRN
KY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 24...

VALID 292156Z - 292300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 24 CONTINUES.

THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WITHIN WW THROUGH 23Z WILL BE
LOCATED ACROSS FAR SERN MO...EXTREME WRN KY AND SRN IL. WIND DAMAGE
IS THE MOST LIKELY THREAT...THOUGH BRIEF TORNADOES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.

STORMS HAVE RECENTLY INCREASE ALONG A COLD FRONT FROM NEAR SLO SWWD
TO EAST OF POF. THESE STORMS HAD DEVELOPED IN A REGION WHERE
SUNNY SKIES HAD WARMED TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 60S. ALSO...DEEP
LAYER ASCENT WAS INCREASING AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVED ENEWD
THROUGH CENTRAL MO. DESPITE WEAK INSTABILITY...MUCAPES AROUND 250
J/KG...DEEP LAYER SHEAR AT 50-60 KT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE STORMS THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. THE LINEAR NATURE OF THE STORMS AND INTENSE
PRESSURE RISES ARE SUGGESTIVE OF WIND DAMAGE. HOWEVER...1KM SHEAR
NEAR 30 KT ALSO FAVORS A TORNADO THREAT.

..IMY.. 01/29/2008


ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...
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#47 Postby RL3AO » Tue Jan 29, 2008 5:27 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
413 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN CAPE GIRARDEAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
NORTHERN ALEXANDER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
NORTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
UNION COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS

* UNTIL 445 PM CST.

* AT 412 PM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
NEAR REYNOLDSVILLE NEAR THE PROCTOR AND GAMBLE PLANT...MOVING EAST
AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WARE...
ELCO...KAOLIN...MILL CREEK...MOUNTAIN GLEN...JONESBORO...ANNA...
COBDEN...BALCOM...WETAUG...DONGOLA...WATER VALLEY...SARATOGA...
MOUNT PLEASANT...LICK CREEK AND WAYSIDE.
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#48 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Jan 29, 2008 5:41 pm

SEL5

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 25
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL INDIANA
CENTRAL KENTUCKY
PART OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 540 PM UNTIL
900 PM EST.

HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF MUNCIE INDIANA TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
CLARKSVILLE TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 24...

DISCUSSION...STRONG COLD FRONT IS DRIVING NARROW LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EWD ACROSS THE MS RIVER VALLEY LATE TODAY...WHICH WILL
CONTINUE RACING EWD AT OVER 50-60 MPH ACROSS WW THIS EVENING. WIND
DAMAGE MAY BECOME WIDESPREAD WITH CONVECTION/COLD FRONT...ALONG SOME
EXTREME WIND GUSTS. ALTHOUGH A BRIEF TORNADO MAY OCCUR GIVEN
INTENSE LOW LEVEL SHEAR...PRIMARY THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE DAMAGING
WINDS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26045.


...EVANS


SEL5

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 25
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL INDIANA
CENTRAL KENTUCKY
PART OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 540 PM UNTIL
900 PM EST.

HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF MUNCIE INDIANA TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
CLARKSVILLE TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 24...

DISCUSSION...STRONG COLD FRONT IS DRIVING NARROW LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EWD ACROSS THE MS RIVER VALLEY LATE TODAY...WHICH WILL
CONTINUE RACING EWD AT OVER 50-60 MPH ACROSS WW THIS EVENING. WIND
DAMAGE MAY BECOME WIDESPREAD WITH CONVECTION/COLD FRONT...ALONG SOME
EXTREME WIND GUSTS. ALTHOUGH A BRIEF TORNADO MAY OCCUR GIVEN
INTENSE LOW LEVEL SHEAR...PRIMARY THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE DAMAGING
WINDS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26045.


...EVANS


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 292236
WOU5

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 25
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2008

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 25 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EST
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

INC005-011-013-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-037-041-043-047-
055-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-
105-107-109-115-117-119-121-123-133-135-137-139-143-145-153-155-
159-161-167-175-177-300200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0025.080129T2240Z-080130T0200Z/

IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN
CLARK CLAY CLINTON
CRAWFORD DAVIESS DEARBORN
DECATUR DELAWARE DUBOIS
FAYETTE FLOYD FRANKLIN
GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HARRISON HENDRICKS HENRY
HOWARD JACKSON JEFFERSON
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MARTIN MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN OHIO ORANGE
OWEN PARKE PERRY
PUTNAM RANDOLPH RIPLEY
RUSH SCOTT SHELBY
SULLIVAN SWITZERLAND TIPTON
UNION VIGO WASHINGTON
WAYNE


KYC003-009-027-029-031-041-061-085-091-093-099-103-111-123-141-
163-179-183-185-211-213-215-223-227-300200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0025.080129T2240Z-080130T0200Z/

KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEN BARREN BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CARROLL
EDMONSON GRAYSON HANCOCK
HARDIN HART HENRY
JEFFERSON LARUE LOGAN
MEADE NELSON OHIO
OLDHAM SHELBY SIMPSON
SPENCER TRIMBLE WARREN


TNC005-021-037-043-081-083-085-111-125-147-149-161-165-169-187-
189-300200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0025.080129T2240Z-080130T0200Z/

TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENTON CHEATHAM DAVIDSON
DICKSON HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS MACON MONTGOMERY
ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD STEWART
SUMNER TROUSDALE WILLIAMSON
WILSON


ATTN...WFO...IND...OHX...LMK...ILN...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW5
WW 25 SEVERE TSTM IN KY TN 292240Z - 300200Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20WNW MIE/MUNCIE IN/ - 50SSW CKV/CLARKSVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /44NE IND - 54WSW BNA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26045.

LAT...LON 40348441 35938651 35938901 40348708

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.


Watch 25 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
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HarlequinBoy
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#49 Postby HarlequinBoy » Tue Jan 29, 2008 5:56 pm

I can confirm trees down and powerlines blocking roads in Tunica, Mississippi. They're literally just falling over.
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#50 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Jan 29, 2008 5:57 pm

Almost worthy of a PDS there:

Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Low (20%)


Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
Low (5%)


Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
High (90%)


Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (60%)


Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Low (<5%)


Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (<5%)


Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)
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Re: SPC sees Jan 29th & 31st severe outbreak

#51 Postby wall_cloud » Tue Jan 29, 2008 5:59 pm

Ed Mahmoud wrote:I think 57 mph makes it an official severe t-storm...


50 kts (58 mph)
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#52 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Jan 29, 2008 5:59 pm

SEL6

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 26
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
450 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN INDIANA
WESTERN KENTUCKY

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 450 PM UNTIL
700 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 30 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
EVANSVILLE INDIANA TO 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF FORT CAMPBELL
KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 24...WW 25...

DISCUSSION...EXTENSION OF TORNADO WATCH 24. INCREASING STORMS WILL
CONTINUE EWD ACROSS WW IN FORM OF SMALL LINES/SUPERCELLS WITH
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED EXTREME WIND DAMAGE AND/OR
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.


...EVANS


SEL6

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 26
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
450 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN INDIANA
WESTERN KENTUCKY

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 450 PM UNTIL
700 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 30 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
EVANSVILLE INDIANA TO 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF FORT CAMPBELL
KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 24...WW 25...

DISCUSSION...EXTENSION OF TORNADO WATCH 24. INCREASING STORMS WILL
CONTINUE EWD ACROSS WW IN FORM OF SMALL LINES/SUPERCELLS WITH
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED EXTREME WIND DAMAGE AND/OR
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.


...EVANS


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 292248
WOU6

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 26
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
450 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

TORNADO WATCH 26 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

INC051-125-129-147-163-173-300100-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0026.080129T2250Z-080130T0100Z/

IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK


KYC033-035-047-055-059-101-107-143-149-157-177-219-221-225-233-
300100-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0026.080129T2250Z-080130T0100Z/

KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN
CRITTENDEN DAVIESS HENDERSON
HOPKINS LYON MARSHALL
MCLEAN MUHLENBERG TODD
TRIGG UNION WEBSTER


ATTN...WFO...PAH...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW6
WW 26 TORNADO IN KY 292250Z - 300100Z
AXIS..30 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NNE EVV/EVANSVILLE IN/ - 25WSW HOP/FORT CAMPBELL KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 25NM E/W /41NNE PXV - 63WNW BNA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.

LAT...LON 38508673 36528736 36528844 38508783

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.


Watch 26 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
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HarlequinBoy
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#53 Postby HarlequinBoy » Tue Jan 29, 2008 6:40 pm

0227 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KENNETT 36.24N 90.05W
01/29/2008 M53.00 MPH DUNKLIN MO EMERGENCY MNGR

0240 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 E KEISER 35.67N 90.06W
01/29/2008 MISSISSIPPI AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

18 WHEELER BLOWN OFF INTERSTATE 55 AT MILE MARKER 45 IN
MISSISSIPPI COUNTY...ARKANSAS. LEAKING DIESEL FUEL.

0311 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG POCAHONTAS 36.26N 90.97W
01/29/2008 RANDOLPH AR BROADCAST MEDIA

POWER OUTAGES THROUGHOUT RANDOLPH COUNTY...SPARKED A
GRASS FIRE

0311 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CORNING 36.41N 90.59W
01/29/2008 CLAY AR UTILITY COMPANY

POWER OUTAGES THROUGHOUT CLAY COUNTY

0315 PM NON-TSTM WND GST WALNUT RIDGE 36.07N 90.96W
01/29/2008 M58.00 MPH LAWRENCE AR AWOS

SUSTAINED AT 44 MPH

0315 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WALNUT RIDGE 36.07N 90.96W
01/29/2008 LAWRENCE AR PUBLIC

ESTIMATED GUSTS TO 70 MPH...DAMAGE TO FARM BUILDING

0328 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG IMBODEN 36.20N 91.18W
01/29/2008 LAWRENCE AR BROADCAST MEDIA

TIN RIPPED OFF A BARN

0333 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG POCAHONTAS 36.26N 90.97W
01/29/2008 RANDOLPH AR BROADCAST MEDIA

TREE UPROOTED...BUSTED OUT SOME WINDOWS ON NEARBY HOUSE

0336 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WALNUT RIDGE 36.07N 90.96W
01/29/2008 LAWRENCE AR BROADCAST MEDIA

POWER LINE DOWN NEAR HOSPITAL

0342 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PARAGOULD 36.06N 90.51W
01/29/2008 GREENE AR CO-OP OBSERVER

SMALL BRANCHES BREAKING OFF OF TREES...WND ESTIMATED
SUSTAINED AT 35 MPH

0345 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 6 NE JONESBORO 35.88N 90.61W
01/29/2008 CRAIGHEAD AR PUBLIC

LARGE LIMBS DOWN...ROOF DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS...SIDING AND
ROOF BLOWN OFF OLDER HOUSE

0348 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG POCAHONTAS 36.26N 90.97W
01/29/2008 RANDOLPH AR BROADCAST MEDIA

HEAVY ROOF DAMAGE TO POCAHONTAS HIGH SCHOOL GYM

0349 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG HOXIE 36.04N 90.98W
01/29/2008 LAWRENCE AR BROADCAST MEDIA

18 WHEELER BLOWN OFF ROAD SOUTH OF HOXIE...50 GALLONS OF
DIESEL SPILLED

0350 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PARAGOULD 36.06N 90.51W
01/29/2008 GREENE AR TRAINED SPOTTER

DAMAGE TO ROOFS...FENCES. POWER OUTAGES...SMALL LIMBS
DOWN

0355 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MALDEN 36.58N 89.98W
01/29/2008 M63.00 MPH DUNKLIN MO AWOS

SUSTAINED AT 46 MPH

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG GOSNELL 35.96N 89.97W
01/29/2008 MISSISSIPPI AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER...TELEPHONE LINES DOWN. LARGE LIMBS DOWN. MINOR
DAMAGE TO ROOFS. WND GUSTS ESTIMATED AT 70 MPH.

0405 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG KENNETT 36.24N 90.05W
01/29/2008 DUNKLIN MO EMERGENCY MNGR

SHEDS BLOWN DOWN...TIN ROOFS BLOWN OFF

0415 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 S MARMADUKE 36.15N 90.39W
01/29/2008 GREENE AR TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREES BLOWN DOWN OVER HWY 49N

0420 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CARUTHERSVILLE 36.18N 89.67W
01/29/2008 PEMISCOT MO EMERGENCY MNGR

ROOF DAMAGE...GARAGE DOOR DAMAGE...NUMEROUS TREES DOWN

0420 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 N THREE WAY 35.74N 90.25W
01/29/2008 MISSISSIPPI AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES...TELEPHONE...POWER LINES DOWN. DAMAGE TO ROOFS

0430 PM HAIL TIPTONVILLE 36.38N 89.47W
01/29/2008 E0.25 INCH LAKE TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

0450 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG GERMANTOWN 35.09N 89.79W
01/29/2008 SHELBY TN TRAINED SPOTTER

SEVERAL TREE LIMBS DOWN...GUST ESTIMATED TO 60 MPH

0450 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 6 NE JONESBORO 35.88N 90.61W
01/29/2008 CRAIGHEAD AR BROADCAST MEDIA

IN GOOBERTOWN...TELEPHONE POLES DOWN ON GOOBERTOWN ROAD

0450 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SOUTHAVEN 34.97N 90.00W
01/29/2008 DESOTO MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES DOWN

0450 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BARTLETT 35.22N 89.84W
01/29/2008 SHELBY TN AMATEUR RADIO

SEVERAL 3 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWN ON BILLY MAYER
ROAD...BETWEEN EGYPT CENTRAL AND OLD BROWNSVILLE ROADS

0452 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG COVINGTON 35.57N 89.65W
01/29/2008 TIPTON TN PUBLIC

SHINGLES OFF ROOFS...TREES UPROOTED

0457 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG TUNICA 34.69N 90.38W
01/29/2008 TUNICA MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

SIGN BLOWN DOWN AT CASINO. TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
THROUGHOUT COUNTY

0457 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 SE OLIVE BRANCH 34.93N 89.80W
01/29/2008 DESOTO MS TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREE BRANCHES DOWN

0505 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 NE NEWBERN 36.15N 89.23W
01/29/2008 DYER TN TRAINED SPOTTER

18 WHEELER BLOWN OVER ON THE FOUR LANE ON HWY 51

0509 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 S HALLS 35.79N 89.40W
01/29/2008 HAYWOOD TN PUBLIC

LARGE TREES AND POWER POLE DOWN

0527 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG HUMBOLDT 35.82N 88.91W
01/29/2008 GIBSON TN TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
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HarlequinBoy
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Posts: 1400
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Location: Memphis

#54 Postby HarlequinBoy » Tue Jan 29, 2008 7:13 pm

Media is reporting gas line ruptures in Gibson County, TN.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: SPC sees Jan 29th & 31st severe outbreak

#55 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Jan 29, 2008 8:08 pm

wall_cloud wrote:
Ed Mahmoud wrote:I think 57 mph makes it an official severe t-storm...


50 kts (58 mph)



So close, yet so far...
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: SPC sees Jan 29th & 31st severe outbreak

#56 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Jan 29, 2008 8:12 pm

Image

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0111
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0630 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...OH...KY...MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 300030Z - 300130Z

INTENSE...FAST MOVING SQUALL LINE IS RACING EWD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY
AT ROUGHLY 50KT WHILE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH HAVE BEEN
NOTED ALONG THIS LINE
. DESPITE MEAGER INSTABILITY...SHARP FRONTAL
CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE COMPENSATING FOR WEAK BUOYANCY. STRONGEST
SURGE WILL OCCUR ALONG THE OH RIVER INTO ERN PORTIONS OF IND OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS MID LEVEL SPEED MAX IN EXCESS OF 100KT EJECTS
ACROSS THIS REGION. NEEDLESS TO SAY...DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE
ALONG THIS SQUALL LINE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE REQUIRED DOWNSTREAM SHORTLY AS LEADING
EDGE OF CONVECTION SHOULD MOVE EAST OF ONGOING WATCH BY 02Z.

..DARROW.. 01/30/2008


ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...OHX...
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: SPC sees Jan 29th & 31st severe outbreak

#57 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Jan 29, 2008 8:33 pm

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
625 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0622 PM TSTM WND DMG HOPKINSVILLE 36.85N 87.49W
01/29/2008 CHRISTIAN KY EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERE DAMAGE TO LOCAL MALL. GLASS BLOWN INTO BUILDING.
SEVERAL INJURIES REPORTED THE TOTAL IS UNKNOWN AT THIS
TIME. WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED 60 TO 70 MPH. TRACTOR-TRAILER
BLOWN OVER ALONG INTERSTATE 24. MULTIPLE POWER
TRANSFORMERS BLOWN.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re:

#58 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Jan 29, 2008 8:35 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Still quite a bold forecast for mid-winter. At least this doesn't have the penetration of the incredible January 7-10 outbreak...



Not as many tornadoes, but straight line wind damage looks pretty impressive.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: SPC sees Jan 29th & 31st severe outbreak

#59 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Tue Jan 29, 2008 8:51 pm

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
740 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW POSEYVILLE 38.19N 87.81W
01/29/2008 POSEY IN LAW ENFORCEMENT

*** 2 FATAL *** LATE REPORT. TIME ESTIMATED. ONE MOBILE
HOME DESTROYED WITH 2 FATALITIES
. TWO HOMES AND A CHURCH
DAMAGED. AT LEAST 3 BARNS DESTROYED. DAMAGE REPORTED FROM
NEAR GRIFFIN TO POSEYVILLE.
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Squarethecircle
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Location: Fairfax, VA

#60 Postby Squarethecircle » Tue Jan 29, 2008 8:59 pm

Who woulda thunk it. This certainly hasn't the best way to kick off the thunderstorm year.
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