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Scorpion

#701 Postby Scorpion » Sun Jan 20, 2008 7:08 pm

46 here now
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jinftl
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Re: Florida Weather Thread-cooler weather ahead

#702 Postby jinftl » Sun Jan 20, 2008 8:34 pm

Temp up to 68 deg at 8pm in fort lauderdale...a breeze coming off of 74 degree water will do it every time down here!
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Re:

#703 Postby CajunMama » Mon Jan 21, 2008 12:24 am

Scorpion wrote:46 here now


Hey Scorpion...i braved this cold and went to animal kingdom tonight. UDA/UCA rented a portion of the park out. That cold here goes just right thru to the bone. I can't get my legs and feet warmed up even after being back in the hotel room for the past 30 minutes.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread-cooler weather ahead

#704 Postby jinftl » Mon Jan 21, 2008 2:36 am

Amazing temperature spread in just a few hundred miles....it is quite clear who is getting a moderating flow off of the ocean and who isn't!

also, note the latest winds at Miami Beach...sustained at 32mph and gusting to 40mph!!!

FLORIDA REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
200 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008

CITY TMP
JAX NAS 37
ORLANDO INTL 45
TAMPA 42

compared to:
CITY TMP
FT LAUDERDALE 68
MIAMI BEACH 68
HOMESTEAD 67
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Re:

#705 Postby BreinLa » Mon Jan 21, 2008 12:04 pm

CajunMama wrote:i can join in the florida thread! i'm in orlando thru monday :D

Hey Mama I just called you at work they told me you were out of town, figured I knew where you were, have fun and call me when you get back
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Re: Florida Weather Thread-cooler weather ahead

#706 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Jan 21, 2008 3:27 pm

jinftl wrote:Amazing temperature spread in just a few hundred miles....it is quite clear who is getting a moderating flow off of the ocean and who isn't!

also, note the latest winds at Miami Beach...sustained at 32mph and gusting to 40mph!!!

FLORIDA REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
200 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008

CITY TMP
JAX NAS 37
ORLANDO INTL 45
TAMPA 42

compared to:
CITY TMP
FT LAUDERDALE 68
MIAMI BEACH 68
HOMESTEAD 67

The cloud cover has contributed to the stable temperatures across south Florida, in addition to recent temperature inversion and the ENE onshore winds. There's a strong surface high over the area (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/UA/Mexico.gif).

Personally, what is your opinion as to why south Florida has experienced above average temperatures during recent winters? Obviously, the La Nina-esque SE ridge affected this winter via the borderline moderate/strong Nina, but 2006-2007 was above average during December-January despite a weak El Nino. Do you think climate change is playing a role? It's certainly warmer than the 1990s across the southern half of the state, especially along the east and west coasts.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread-cooler weather ahead

#707 Postby jinftl » Mon Jan 21, 2008 5:40 pm

I took a look at the max/min daily temperature records for Fort Lauderdale for Dec/Jan/Feb (links below, records all contain 100+ yrs of data)...

...and what the data shows is that nightime minimum temps have been extremely warm...disproportionately warm...since 1990. Out of the 91 days of records (Dec-31 days, Jan-31 days, Feb-29 Days, 31+31+29=91), there have been 71 Record High Minimum Temps in Fort Lauderdale since 1990 (23 in Dec, 24 both in Jan & Feb)!!!

In comparison, there have been 4 Record Low Min Temps during the same 91 days of records.

What is also interesting is that there haven't been nearly as many Record High Daily Max Temps...only 14 Record High Max Temps for the Dec-Jan-Feb period in Fort Lauderdale since 1990.

Warm, tropical nights suggest a stronger, or more prevelant, easterly flow, even during the winter. Also, with an easterly flow it is going to be harder to have a record high temp during the day in Fort Lauderdale (with ocean in the 70's)...which is supported by the data above.

Are we seeing cyclical patterns of location of high pressures in the winter...interesting to hear any thoughts from the experts on this.


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mfl/newpage/climate/Fort-Lauderdale_December_Climat.html

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mfl/newpage/climate/Fort-Lauderdale_January_Climat.html

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mfl/newpage/climate/Fort-Lauderdale_February_Climat.html





MiamiensisWx wrote:
jinftl wrote:Amazing temperature spread in just a few hundred miles....it is quite clear who is getting a moderating flow off of the ocean and who isn't!

also, note the latest winds at Miami Beach...sustained at 32mph and gusting to 40mph!!!

FLORIDA REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
200 AM EST MON JAN 21 2008

CITY TMP
JAX NAS 37
ORLANDO INTL 45
TAMPA 42

compared to:
CITY TMP
FT LAUDERDALE 68
MIAMI BEACH 68
HOMESTEAD 67

The cloud cover has contributed to the stable temperatures across south Florida, in addition to recent temperature inversion and the ENE onshore winds. There's a strong surface high over the area (http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/UA/Mexico.gif).

Personally, what is your opinion as to why south Florida has experienced above average temperatures during recent winters? Obviously, the La Nina-esque SE ridge affected this winter via the borderline moderate/strong Nina, but 2006-2007 was above average during December-January despite a weak El Nino. Do you think climate change is playing a role? It's certainly warmer than the 1990s across the southern half of the state, especially along the east and west coasts.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread-cooler weather ahead

#708 Postby dizzyfish » Mon Jan 21, 2008 6:19 pm

dizzyfish wrote:Small branches down in the yard and a fairly decent limb that just missed
hubbys car. :eek:


Nix that.....the limb did hit his car. Scratch and dent at the top of the drivers door. :(
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#709 Postby psyclone » Tue Jan 22, 2008 9:41 pm

vigorous thunderstorm development has taken place just off the pasco/hernando county coast. individual cells seem to be headed north or northeast but it seems like this stuff is trying to build south. hopefully it does. I've got an almost july like lightshow off to my northwest. Pasco county has sure been a storm magnet lately. dizzyfish.... they could be gunning for ya again!
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#710 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Jan 22, 2008 9:51 pm

SVR warning NW Pinellas and W Pasco! Poor Dizzy! This is getting old.
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#711 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Jan 22, 2008 10:00 pm

Its sprinkling outside!!! I wasnt expecting it.
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#712 Postby psyclone » Tue Jan 22, 2008 10:02 pm

very impressive cell. it's clearly headed north of east so it looks it will miss pinellas completely but other less intense (but still heavy) cells are forming farther south so the sponge docks look to get a soaking eventually.
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#713 Postby psyclone » Tue Jan 22, 2008 10:27 pm

Jackpot! I just picked up almost an inch of rain inside of 20 minutes. a few rumbles of thunder but the wind was dead still through the whole event. still dumping at a good clip.
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#714 Postby psyclone » Wed Jan 23, 2008 1:22 am

up over 2 inches now and still dumping heavily at times. with more activity approaching the coast a 3 inch tally appears possible. this is awesome and totally unexpected.
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#715 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Jan 23, 2008 7:30 am

I got 1.09"!!! mostly unexpected rain too!
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#716 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Jan 23, 2008 4:00 pm

ST PETE/ALBERT WHITTED :SPG 1.63 73 63
ST PETE/CLEARWATER APT : PIE 1.18 79 64

PINELLAS COUNTY
CLEARWATER :ALLF1 1.64
DUNEDIN :CCKF1 2.17
DUNEDIN 1SE :CRCF1 1.93
LARGO :ALNF1 MSG
LARGO :MKYF1 1.11
PINELLAS PARK :SJOF1 0.87
PINELLAS PARK 2N :RRCF1 0.98
PINELLAS PARK : PNBF1 0.86
TARPON SPRINGS 5E :TSPF1 MSG

My college's gauge had .84" from last night.

For something I completely didn't expect, I got about 1.07" here. There were reports of flooding in the county.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread-cooler weather ahead

#717 Postby dizzyfish » Wed Jan 23, 2008 4:14 pm

Approx. 2" from yesterday evening/night and this morning.

Guess I slept right through the svr stuff. :roll: Must be getting used to it. LOL

Kinda cloudy up here now. Not sure if it is clouds or sea fog.
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#718 Postby Cyclone1 » Wed Jan 23, 2008 4:19 pm

A few rainclouds looming in central Florida. No rain from them yet... which would just make them... clouds, but they're big and have vertical development.

Hopefully it'll rain. Not that we really need it anymore, I just like rain. :wink:
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#719 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Jan 24, 2008 2:56 pm

Looks like a low pressure is going to be coming in in the next few hours with some scattered showers.
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#720 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Jan 24, 2008 5:53 pm

Its raining here now, very Londonish.
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