(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.1N 128.1E,
APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAPA, PHILIPPINES. RECENT
MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS WEAK CYCLONIC TURNING IN THE LOW LEVELS
WITH A MORE EVIDENT CIRCULATION IN THE MID LEVEL CLOUDS. A 162116Z
QUICKSCAT PASS SHOWS UNFLAGGED WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE CONVECTION ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN AREA OF BROAD
TROUGHING. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIROMENT IS ALSO LIMITING
INTENSIFICATION WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR VALUES. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. DUE TO THE
UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND A WEAK VORTICITY SIGNATURE,
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
![Image](http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn/tc_pages/thumbs/tc08/WPAC/92W.INVEST/vis/geo/1km_zoom/sm20080118.0730.gms6.x.vis1km_high.92WINVEST.15kts-1010mb-104N-1277E.100pc.jpg)