TX winter wx thread: Spring-like pattern

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southerngale
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Re:

#921 Postby southerngale » Fri Jan 18, 2008 6:30 pm

Diva wrote:Yep, my friend called from Tyler and said it was snowing BIGTIME up there. I told her I was hanging up on her.... :roll:
Orange NEVER gets any fun!! :cry:

Just hurricanes, excessive heat and humidity, and lots of rain. :roll:

Now, WHY do we live down here? :lol:
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#922 Postby Yankeegirl » Fri Jan 18, 2008 6:31 pm

5 pm news said reports of sleet in Sugarland!!
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#923 Postby southerngale » Fri Jan 18, 2008 7:09 pm

It's already 36F and 37F at the two nearest weather stations to me. My low is only supposed to be 36F. It's been dropping pretty steadily though and I don't see what would stop that right now.

Come on... get cold enough for a little snow... lots of precip out there. Purty please.

Image
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#924 Postby Yankeegirl » Fri Jan 18, 2008 7:51 pm

Its 40 here and cold... but no rain... i would like some snow too!!
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#925 Postby serenata09 » Fri Jan 18, 2008 7:58 pm

It is 32.0 degrees in my parts. Just some light mist right now. Wondering if all the rain from today will freeze on the overpasses and bridges/flyovers tonight...? Perhaps some issues with freezing fog for the ATX area tonight? :cold:
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Re:

#926 Postby Portastorm » Fri Jan 18, 2008 8:09 pm

serenata09 wrote:It is 32.0 degrees in my parts. Just some light mist right now. Wondering if all the rain from today will freeze on the overpasses and bridges/flyovers tonight...? Perhaps some issues with freezing fog for the ATX area tonight? :cold:


Unlikely. The precip will end prior here to temps going below freezing. And I don't think the fog is heavy enough to merit a "freezing fog." But it sure would be cool if it happened!

Our next hope is next week and right now ... that hope is slim. Modeling suggests we'll get what looks like what we just went through.
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Re: TX winter weather thread: Colder pattern setting up

#927 Postby pwrdog » Fri Jan 18, 2008 8:53 pm

Close call but pretty normal stuff... so many close calls.... It's been around 36 all day with a few sleet pellets and a lot of dreary cold rain...

It looks like area's about 20 miiles north of huntsville to lufkin line might get .5 of an inch in a few spots???? We will see!
Since it did snow in east texas on april 7th last year I will not give up hope.. That snow storm blew my mind... Biggest snowflakes I've ever seen and I've been going snow skiing for 30 years and have lived all over america.. Some where 4 inches wide and most where 2-3 inches wide..
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Re: Re:

#928 Postby Diva » Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:23 pm

southerngale wrote:
Diva wrote:Yep, my friend called from Tyler and said it was snowing BIGTIME up there. I told her I was hanging up on her.... :roll:
Orange NEVER gets any fun!! :cry:

Just hurricanes, excessive heat and humidity, and lots of rain. :roll:

Now, WHY do we live down here? :lol:


True, very true.... :lol:
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#929 Postby jasons2k » Sat Jan 19, 2008 1:08 am

Here are current RF estimates and the latest radar:

Image

Image
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Re: TX winter weather thread: Colder pattern setting up

#930 Postby jasons2k » Sat Jan 19, 2008 1:22 am

Snow & sleet reported in Jasper...
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: TX winter weather thread: Colder pattern setting up

#931 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sat Jan 19, 2008 1:56 am

jasons wrote:Snow & sleet reported in Jasper...



What is the three letter code? I saw that on the Louisiana current conditions at Weather.gov, but per Weather.com it is raining.
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Re: TX winter weather thread: Colder pattern setting up

#932 Postby southerngale » Sat Jan 19, 2008 2:25 am

Ed Mahmoud wrote:
jasons wrote:Snow & sleet reported in Jasper...



What is the three letter code? I saw that on the Louisiana current conditions at Weather.gov, but per Weather.com it is raining.


See my reply in the other thread.

Btw, it says Light Snow again in Jasper per NWS.
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Re: Re:

#933 Postby Jagno » Sat Jan 19, 2008 7:07 am

Diva wrote:
southerngale wrote:
Diva wrote:Yep, my friend called from Tyler and said it was snowing BIGTIME up there. I told her I was hanging up on her.... :roll:
Orange NEVER gets any fun!! :cry:

Just hurricanes, excessive heat and humidity, and lots of rain. :roll:

Now, WHY do we live down here? :lol:


True, very true.... :lol:

It's the food and the great company................ :D

It's been raining pretty steady for a while now. Just bitter, bone chilling, wet cold.
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Re: Re:

#934 Postby wall_cloud » Sat Jan 19, 2008 7:46 am

Jagno wrote:It's been raining pretty steady for a while now. Just bitter, bone chilling, wet cold.


Dude, its like 35-40 degrees. We're at a whopping 13 and its the highest min the past several days.
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#935 Postby CajunMama » Sat Jan 19, 2008 9:14 am

Us gulfcoasters like to dream big wall_cloud!!! We dream of snow every winter regardless of the temps :lol:
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Re: Re:

#936 Postby jasons2k » Sat Jan 19, 2008 10:13 am

wall_cloud wrote:
Jagno wrote:It's been raining pretty steady for a while now. Just bitter, bone chilling, wet cold.


Dude, its like 35-40 degrees. We're at a whopping 13 and its the highest min the past several days.


I went to Tech in Lubbock. Weathered 4 winters up there with plenty of "real cold". But the coldest I actually felt was one weekend visiting my girlfriend's parents in Lake Jackson - it was windy, raining, and about 38F outside....
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Re: TX winter weather thread: Colder pattern setting up

#937 Postby southerngale » Sat Jan 19, 2008 2:05 pm

A low of 33F and 34F at the weather stations closest to me, but even though there was an enormous amount of precipitation that fell all day yesterday and all night until early this morning, it was all RAIN. :(
Not that I expected anything more, but I was hoping to sneak in some of the white stuff.

With the several inches of rain from a few days ago (posted about it in the TX thread in USA Weather) plus all the rain from yesterday and this morning, there's a flood warning for Pine Island Bayou. That's the one that rises and causes flooding problems in my neighborhood. It's only expected to crest a little over flood stage though, so we shouldn't see any problems in my neighborhood. After a day of sunshine tomorrow, more rain chances for the foreseeable future, but hopefully it won't be enough to cause any flooding problems. People around here have had enough of that the past couple of years.

I think my chances of seeing any snow this year have gone down the drain... this would seem to be "the" event for the south this winter and my eastern neighbors are hogging it all. :P
While we were getting rain, folks east of here, with higher temps, were already starting to get snow. Dang upper atmosphere!



Edited to add comments by NWS LCH about frozen precip in the area:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1031 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2008

.UPDATE...
MANY REPORTS OF SLEET/SNOW/RAIN MIXTURE FROM BASICALLY U.S. 190
AND POINTS NORTHWARD THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...AS EXPECTED...TEMPS
REMAINED ABOVE FREEZING...THUS NO ACCUMULATION OF THE FROZEN STUFF
AS IT QUICKLY MELTED UPON GROUND IMPACT.


EDIT: Instead of going back and forth between the Winter forum and USA Weather forum, why not post everything here? After all, no matter what the weather is, it's still our winter weather.... cold, warm, wet, or dry.
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Re: TX winter weather thread: Colder pattern setting up

#938 Postby southerngale » Sat Jan 19, 2008 7:08 pm

Here we go again... the cold, wet weather continues. NWS LCH says that precipitation amount and coverage should be similar to the previous systems this week. :eek: We've already had a ton of rain in many spots. Hopefully, the same areas that have gotten the heaviest bands and most rainfall will get spared a little, including me. My yard is a swamp... I'd like a few weeks of sunshine, if I'm not going to get any snow. I have a house to sell. :) But Mother Nature won't bring me snow... why would the mean old lady bring sunshine? lol

But... I just adapt and enjoy being indoors with family, playing games with a fire going in the fireplace. Can't change the weather anyway! ;)


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
359 PM CST SAT JAN 19 2008

.DISCUSSION...
MANY REPORTS OF SLEET/SNOW/RAIN MIXTURE FROM BASICALLY U.S. 190
AND POINTS NORTHWARD THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...AS EXPECTED...TEMPS
REMAINED ABOVE FREEZING...THUS NO ACCUMULATION OF THE FROZEN STUFF
AS IT QUICKLY MELTED UPON GROUND IMPACT.

CURRENTLY THE CLEARING LINE HAS JUST ABOUT REACHED THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
(TX/LA BORDER). MUCH DRIER AIR JUST ENTERING THE NW COUNTIES OF FORECAST
AREA ACROSS INLAND SE TX. CONTINUED CAA AND RADIATIONAL COOLING
WILL LEAD TO SUN MORNING LOWS IN THE MID 20S ACROSS INLAND SE TX/C
LA...UPPER 20S BETWEEN U.S. 190 AND I-10...AND NEAR 30 TO THE
LOWER 30S FURTHER SOUTH.

HOPE YOU ENJOYED THE SUN THIS AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY...AS IT WILL
LIKELY NOT COME BACK ANY TIME SOON AFTER THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL
BE DUE TO A MAJOR STORM SYSTEM PARKING OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WHICH
WILL KEEP THE GULF COAST UNDER THE RATHER STORMY WEST-SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL COME WITH A WEAKER UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION MON NIGHT & TUE. HOWEVER...A
MUCH STRONGER UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF OLD MEXICO
WED...LEAD TO A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN GULF...AND
MOVE IN SIMILAR FASHION TO OUR PREVIOUS TWO LOWS THIS WEEK. AT
THIS TIME...IT DOESN`T LOOK TO BE AS STRONG AS THE LOWS THIS
PREVIOUS WED AND THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...PRECIPITATION AMOUNT AND
COVERAGE WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS SYSTEMS.

DML



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
246 PM CST SAT JAN 19 2008

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO TEXAS WILL PRODUCE CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECOUPLE INLAND AND IDEAL
RADIATIONAL CONDITIONS EXPECTED. TEMPS SHOULD DROP BELOW 32
DEGREES BY MIDNIGHT OVER THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CWA AND REMAIN
BELOW FREEZING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. A FREEZE WARNING WOULD BE
RE-ISSUED IF A HARD FREEZE IS EXPECTED (BELOW 20 DEGREES) AND A
HARD FREEZE IS NOT EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES MAY BE MODERATED A BIT BY ALL THE
STANDING WATER FROM RECENT RAINS. SUNDAY WILL START OUT CLEAR BUT
A RAPID INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON.

NEXT WEEK JUST LOOKS NASTY. PW`S INCREASE TO 1.2 INCHES ON MONDAY.
A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET COUPLED WITH AN APPROACHING LEFT
FRONT QUAD SHOULD YIELD HIGH RAIN CHANCES. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SEE ANOTHER HALF TO ONE INCH QPF. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE
CONVERGENT ON TUESDAY BUT A SURFACE FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION...SO MORE SHOWERS POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY. THE LOW LEVEL JET
WILL INTENSIFY LATE WEDNESDAY AND SE TX WILL LIE IN A RIGHT REAR
QUAD AS PW`S RISE TO 1.5 INCHES. ON WED NIGHT AND THURSDAY...
IMPRESSIVE ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE COUPLED WITH A STRONG VORT MAX WILL
YIELD HIGH RAIN CHANCES WITH SOME RATHER HEFTY RAINFALL TOTALS
POSSIBLE. THE GROUND IS SATURATED AND EVEN A FEW RIVERS ARE IN
FLOOD...SO ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN IS NOT REALLY NEEDED AT THIS
TIME. MOISTURE LEVELS STAY HIGH THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND
THE UPPER FLOW REMAINS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST SO WILL MAINTAIN
CHANCE POPS THROUGH FRIDAY.
43



Btw, tonight's low is supposed to be 27F... now where did the precip go? Oh, it leaves for one night so we can have a really cold, dry night, then it will be right back as soon as the temp goes above freezing again. :lol:
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#939 Postby gboudx » Sat Jan 19, 2008 9:45 pm

That storm system might give us icy conditions up here in Big D. We already have freezing rain in the forecast for Wednesday. If the air moves further south as they tend to do with such dense airmasses, it could be nasty. If it's gonna be ice, I'd rather the really cold air just stay north and let us have rain.
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Re: TX winter weather thread: Colder pattern setting up

#940 Postby Portastorm » Sun Jan 20, 2008 8:51 am

We (Austin metro) now have sleet/freezing rain in our forecast for the middle of the week. That pretty much guarantees it won't happen now ... :roll:
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