Winter Weather in the deep south thread

Website · #141 Postby **Brent** » Sun Dec 30, 2007 4:38 pm

Meh. Not an unusual cold snap by any means. Looks like we may even avoid the teens here(which usually happens a couple of times every winter). Blah. After a lot of rain the past week(including over 2 inches today), looks like a quiet week ahead aside from the cold, and then back to normal by next weekend.

#142 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Sun Dec 30, 2007 11:36 pm

This is the 12Z...but if I am reading this right....there will be sleet in SFL...

http://www.wxcaster.com/CONUS_GFS_SFC_P ... X_84HR.gif

jdray · #143 Postby **jdray** » Mon Dec 31, 2007 2:18 pm

NWS JAX has it as 20F Wednesday night at my house.

AFD JAX:

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...HARD FREEZE IS EXPECTED ACRS THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH MIN TEMPS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO THE
LOWER TO MID 20S WITH NEAR 30 DEGREES ALONG THE COAST. WIND CHILL
VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY COLD IN THE TEENS THROUGH THE
NIGHT WITH 15 TO 20 MPH WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST CONTINUING.

20mph winds with a 20F temp = 4F wind chill.

:froze:

Opal storm · #144 Postby **Opal storm** » Mon Dec 31, 2007 3:20 pm

17 degrees for Crestview,FL Wed night! :eek:

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... 6.5748&e=0

#145 Postby **AJC3** » Mon Dec 31, 2007 4:00 pm

fact789 wrote:This is the 12Z...but if I am reading this right....there will be sleet in SFL...

http://www.wxcaster.com/CONUS_GFS_SFC_P ... X_84HR.gif

This is looking like it may shape up quite a bit like the 1/24/2003 event here in central Florida. A few flakes of snow in the air were reported along the coast from Flagler Beach down to Fort Pierce.

#146 Postby **dizzyfish** » Mon Dec 31, 2007 6:08 pm

I can hear the tree branches snapping about then and then. See bold. :eek:

New Year's Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 68. North northwest wind 10 to 13 mph increasing to between 18 and 21 mph. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Wind chill values as low as 30. North northwest wind between 20 and 22 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 49. Wind chill values as low as 26 early. North northwest wind between 21 and 23 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 25. North northeast wind between 9 and 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 52. Northeast wind between 7 and 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

If it's gonna be that cold - I hope to see a couple flakes! Besides the drivers around here. :lol:

#147 Postby **gatorcane** » Tue Jan 01, 2008 11:03 am

I don't remember a time where it has been so cold with such strong winds. I think there is a possibility many palms will be wiped out in Central Florida leaving the majority of them just handing on for dear life in South Florida.

Website · #148 Postby **Brent** » Tue Jan 01, 2008 12:29 pm

Sharply colder here today and very windy. I was just outside for 2 minutes and I'm freezing.

Now it looks like our coldest morning will be Thursday or even Friday with calm winds.

adamh1181 · #149 Postby **adamh1181** » Tue Jan 01, 2008 3:25 pm

The Cold air has really been pouring in this afternoon, i have had sustained winds in the 10-15 mph with a gust to 19.5 in the last hour. Looks like it will be about 26 here tonight as I am always about 3 degrees cooler than the NWS forcast at the Jacksonville Internation Airport. Tomorrow probably wont get out of the 30's here. Tomorrow night will probably bottom out around 15-17 degrees. Thursday night there is a mention of flurries in the forcast for Jax NWS.

OSSIBILITY OF FLURRIES...AS FLOW VEERS NNE THU SOME ATLANTIC
STRATOCUMULUS WILL BEGIN TO ADVECT INLAND TOWARD OUR NE FL COASTAL
COUNTIES THROUGH THE DAY. ENOUGH SHALLOW MOISTURE...FORCING AND COLD
850 MB TEMPS MAY SUPPORT A FEW FLURRIES LATE THU AFTN/EVENING.

jdray · #150 Postby **jdray** » Tue Jan 01, 2008 5:11 pm

NWS JAX Forecast:

Tonight: Clear, with a low around 28. Blustery, with a northwest wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 42. Wind chill values as low as 18. Breezy, with a northwest wind between 13 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 20. Wind chill values as low as 12. North wind between 9 and 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 47. Wind chill values as low as 11 early. Breezy, with a north wind between 9 and 15 mph.
===========================================

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
215 PM EST TUE JAN 1 2008

...COLDEST TEMPS SINCE JAN 2003 ON THEIR WAY...

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT IS PRESSING SOUTH THROUGH THE S FL
PENINSULA WITH COLD AND DRY AIR ADVECTION IN FULL FORCE OVER THE JAX
CWA. BREEZY TO WINDY NW FLOW IS GUSTING TO 25-30 MPH ACROSS GA AND
IS STARTING TO INCREASE ALONG THE FL COAST. TEMPS HAVE WARMED INTO
THE MID 60S TO NEAR 70 ACROSS OUR S FL ZONES...WITH DEW PTS CRASHING
INTO THE TEENS ACROSS OUR NW GA ZONES. SUNNY SKIES PREVAIL ACROSS
MOST OF THE AREA EXCEPT FOR A DEMARCATION LINE OF MID CLOUDS FROM
FLAGLER COUNTY EXPANDING SWD ACROSS SE MARION. UPSTREAM A VERY
STRONG 1050+ MB SURFACE RIDGE IS BUILDING EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES
WHILE ALOFT A DEEPENING TROUGH EXTENDS SWD FROM THE GREAT LAKES.

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN TONIGHT AS LOW
PRESSURE DEPARTS TO OUR SOUTH AND THE VERY STRONG RIDGE TO OUR WEST
BUILDS IN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST REGION. THE POLAR JET WILL CONTINUE
TO DIVE SOUTH TONIGHT WITH EXTREME CAA FUNNELING OVER THE LOCAL
AREA WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THUS. MINS WILL FALL INTO THE 20S
INLAND TONIGHT...WITH TEENS INLAND WED NIGHT/EARLY THU MORNING. WED
WILL BE A RAW DAY DESPITE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH COLD NNW FLOW
GUSTING TO 30-35 MPH AND AMBIENT TEMPS ONLY RISING INTO THE 40S WITH
WIND CHILLS IN THE 30S THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. THU WINDS WILL BE
LIGHTER BUT TEMPS WILL STILL ONLY RISE INTO THE UPPER 40S ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA. THE LAST FREEZE IS EXPECTED THU NIGHT THEN TEMPS
FINALLY WARM FRI INTO THE 50S/LOW 60S AS ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS AND
STRATOCUMULUS PROGRESSES INLAND.

FREEZE WATCHES/WARNINGS...TEMPS WILL FALL QUICKLY TONIGHT AFTER
SUNSET NEARING 40 BY MIDNIGHT INLAND. A HARD FREEZE WARNING IS STILL
IN EFFECT FOR INLAND SE GA AND THE SUWANNEE VALLEY OF N FL. A FREEZE
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF NE FL LESS ST JOHNS
AND FLAGLER COUNTIES WHERE DURATIONS OF TEMPS <= 32 SHOULD ONLY LAST
1-2 HRS AT MOST. HAVE CONTINUED WITH THE WIDESPREAD HARD FREEZE
WATCH FOR WED NIGHT FOR ALL ZONES AS TEMPS FALL INTO THE TEENS
INLAND AND 20S ALONG THE COAST. TEMPS WILL LIKELY NOT WARM TO ABOVE
FREEZING UNTIL AROUND 10 AM THU.

WIND CHILLS...A WIDESPREAD WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
TONIGHT FOR ALL ZONES. SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN 10-15 MPH
INLAND...WITH 15-20G30 MPH ALONG THE COAST. AS TEMPS CRASH THROUGH
THE NIGHT...WIND CHILLS IN THE 30S ARE EXPECTED AROUND MIDNIGHT. BY
DAYBREAK WED WE EXPECT WIND CHILL VALUES 10-15 DEG ACROSS INLAND GA
AND THE N FL SUWANNEE VALLEY TO AROUND 20 DEG ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST. THROUGH THE DAY WED WIND CHILL VALUES WILL ONLY RISE INTO THE
MID 30S. WED EVENING ANOTHER WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED FOR INLAND FL THROUGH MIDNIGHT UNTIL WINDS DECOUPLE INLAND
BELOW 10 MPH...WITH AN ONGOING ADVISORY EXPECTED FOR THE COAST
THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH WIND CHILL VALUES NEAR 15-20 DEG BY DAYBREAK
THU.

LAKE WIND ADVISORIES...THE CURRENT LAKE WIND ADVISORY LOOKS TO BE ON
TRACK FOR OUR GA AND COASTAL ZONES TODAY. WILL CONTINUE THE ADVISORY
FOR THE COAST THROUGH WED EVENING WHERE SUSTAINED SPEEDS WILL NEAR
20 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 30 MPH THROUGH THE PERIOD. HAVE RAISED
ANOTHER LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE ENTIRE CWA WED DUE TO SUSTAINED
SPEEDS OF 20-25 MPH AND GUSTS 30-35 MPH WITH AN 850 MB JET OF 40-50
KTS MIXING DOWN PER STRONG CAA.

POSSIBILITY OF FLURRIES...AS FLOW VEERS NNE THU SOME ATLANTIC
STRATOCUMULUS WILL BEGIN TO ADVECT INLAND TOWARD OUR NE FL COASTAL
COUNTIES THROUGH THE DAY. ENOUGH SHALLOW MOISTURE...FORCING AND COLD
850 MB TEMPS MAY SUPPORT A FEW FLURRIES LATE THU AFTN/EVENING.

.LONG TERM...SAT THROUGH TUE...
A MODERATING PERIOD AS UPPER FLOW DE-AMPLIFIES AND PERSIST ESE FLOW
DEVELOPS SOUTH OF A RIDGE MOVING OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
SEABOARD. TEMPS WILL ACTUALLY REBOUND ABOVE CLIMO INTO THE UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 70S WITH MINS IN THE 40S AND 50S BY NEXT WEEK. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE OF COASTAL SHRA THROUGH THE PERIOD.

Flurries in the forecast.

#151 Postby **dizzyfish** » Tue Jan 01, 2008 5:40 pm

Lucky you! All we will get is the cold, cold, cold. :cold:

#152 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Tue Jan 01, 2008 7:19 pm

Nope, no snow here, but very, very, very cold. :cold:

Definitely colder than what we're used to. And the wind makes it feel worse.
When it's this cold, I'd rather have some precipitation to show for it, but alas, the airmass is very, very dry.

HarlequinBoy · #153 Postby **HarlequinBoy** » Tue Jan 01, 2008 9:27 pm

Coldest so far this winter...

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 18. Blustery, with a north northwest wind between 15 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 31. North northwest wind between 10 and 15 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 14. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

#154 Postby **Dionne** » Wed Jan 02, 2008 6:04 am

Currently 27F ambient....wind chill 20F.....anticipating a high of 39F today. Forecasts call for 19F tonight. I'm surpried my telephone isn't ringing with burst pipes. Happens every year.

HarlequinBoy · #155 Postby **HarlequinBoy** » Wed Jan 02, 2008 8:31 am

19 at 7:30 AM this morning with a wind chill of 10. Chilly!!

adamh1181 · #156 Postby **adamh1181** » Wed Jan 02, 2008 10:13 am

34 at 10:00a at my house

the themometor reads 32 in the warehouse were I work

#157 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Wed Jan 02, 2008 10:54 am

47° and up to 49° but should start falling with in the next few hours.

#158 Postby **fwbbreeze** » Wed Jan 02, 2008 12:58 pm

National Weather Service is calling for a low of 15 in Crestview, FL tonight and a low tomorrow night of 17. That is :cold:

for us Florida folks!!!

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Crestview&state=FL&site=MOB&textField1=30.7522&textField2=-86.5748&e=0

#159 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Wed Jan 02, 2008 1:11 pm

Are we still expecting snow here in the south somewhere or should the title be changed?

#160 Postby **MGC** » Wed Jan 02, 2008 1:22 pm

CAA is holding down the temps today at noon. I am still in the upper 30's here on the Mississippi coast. Didn't get as cold as forecast last night due to the winds being up. We have a forecast low here tonight near 20......MGC

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