One last hurrah - pulling a Zeta? E. Atlantic

[RL3AO]

But who would love to see Arthur on January 1? I know I would.

If that happens,then everyone starts with one before the official poll starts on March 15.

When will the fir...err, second storm of the season form?

[MiamiensisWx]

I'm pretty sure it would be Pablo in that situation. But who would love to see Arthur on January 1? I know I would.

Media: "Global warming? King Arthur returns on January 1!"

[Coredesat]

I'm pretty sure it would be Pablo in that situation. But who would love to see Arthur on January 1? I know I would.

Media: "Global warming? King Arthur returns on January 1!"

In that case, I can't wait to see the Lady of the Lake's report on SST anomalies.

[HURAKAN]

[JonathanBelles]

I like the pictures Sandy!

[Coredesat]

SAB has changed the designation on the floater to "Invest". They probably just realized that the next number is 95L, not 90L.

[HURAKAN]

Continues to look quite interesting.

[tailgater]

Does someone have the SST for this area that shows anomallies? and no I don't think ths will become tropical.


Merry Christmas and Happy New Year and Geaux Tigers

[Coredesat]

SSTs in this region are about 22-23C, which is about normal for this area.

[Hurricaneman]

we've seen storms form in water temps less than where this is, so I give it a chance

[P.K.]

They are calling it 95L now.

29/0545 UTC 26.2N 38.6W ST2.5/2.5 95L -- Atlantic Ocean

[Coredesat]

After looking at the latest WV and IR2 imagery, I think this is transitioning to a subtropical system. There is convection gradually wrapping around what appears to be the circulation center. I'd like this to go up on NRL, though, so I can see some microwave imagery.

[Crostorm]

[Crostorm]

[cycloneye]

29/1145 UTC 27.0N 37.6W ST2.5/2.5 95L -- Atlantic Ocean

[CrazyC83]

2.5 would make it Pablo if they declared it...

[vegastar]

Starting to show some outflow on the northwestern quadrant:

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/listImages.pl?m=prod,a=0,sa=9,pr=MPEF,f=1,c=MPE,se=1,n=6,d=1,v=400,pp=0,t=200712291400#controls

[TheEuropean]

First models:

698
WHXX01 KWBC 291418
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1418 UTC SAT DEC 29 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL952007) 20071229 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
071229 1200 071230 0000 071230 1200 071231 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 27.2N 37.9W 27.7N 38.0W 26.9N 38.6W 25.3N 40.0W
BAMD 27.2N 37.9W 28.2N 36.6W 29.0N 34.9W 29.8N 34.6W
BAMM 27.2N 37.9W 27.9N 37.2W 27.7N 36.7W 27.2N 37.3W
LBAR 27.2N 37.9W 28.6N 36.3W 29.5N 33.7W 30.5N 31.5W
SHIP 25KTS 31KTS 37KTS 39KTS
DSHP 25KTS 31KTS 37KTS 39KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
071231 1200 080101 1200 080102 1200 080103 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 23.5N 41.4W 21.7N 45.0W 22.1N 51.0W 26.2N 54.0W
BAMD 29.7N 35.3W 27.8N 39.9W 25.0N 45.1W 22.1N 50.3W
BAMM 26.5N 38.9W 23.6N 45.6W 20.1N 53.1W 19.4N 57.8W
LBAR 30.9N 29.7W 28.9N 27.7W 25.3N 24.4W 23.4N 18.9W
SHIP 39KTS 28KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 39KTS 28KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 27.2N LONCUR = 37.9W DIRCUR = 20DEG SPDCUR = 5KT
LATM12 = 26.2N LONM12 = 38.3W DIRM12 = 17DEG SPDM12 = 5KT
LATM24 = 25.2N LONM24 = 38.7W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 100NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 170NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

[cycloneye]

Ok folks,the bam models came out meaning we have 95L.Go to active storms forum to continue the comments about this very late 2007 system.