Hurricane NOEL : Discussions & Images

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Rainband I've been stormchasing for about 10 years...this is the
stuff I go at as a stormchaser


I'm just really passionate about chasing storms!!!
This has been a lifelong passion for me

[fci]

I take back my earlier complacency after talking to derek. I am watching this closely

Derek seems bullish on this one.
He also has the turn at 78.5 while the NHC advisory is at 80.0

The turn location is key to the effects on us in South Florida.

[CrazyC83]

I take back my earlier complacency after talking to derek. I am watching this closely

Derek seems bullish on this one.
He also has the turn at 78.5 while the NHC advisory is at 80.0

The turn location is key to the effects on us in South Florida.

But there is a lot of land between the storm and Florida right now, and they are very vulnerable to even weak storms.

Something like 60 people died a couple weeks ago in flooding in Haiti - from a tropical wave.

[Rainband]

I take back my earlier complacency after talking to derek. I am watching this closely

Derek seems bullish on this one.
He also has the turn at 78.5 while the NHC advisory is at 80.0

The turn location is key to the effects on us in South Florida.

and to me as well...this is the month we in central florida get hit.

[Rainband]

already posted luis

[cycloneye]

The Latest at 03:15 UTC:

[CourierPR]

It's looking better, Luis.

[fci]

I take back my earlier complacency after talking to derek. I am watching this closely

Derek seems bullish on this one.
He also has the turn at 78.5 while the NHC advisory is at 80.0

The turn location is key to the effects on us in South Florida.

and to me as well...this is the month we in central florida get hit.

I don't like what Jeff Masters is saying in his 11:18 PM Blog:

"I believe the 12Z forecast of the NOGAPS model, which predicts a more southerly track into the Western Caribbean, just south of Cuba, is the most reasonable one. This track would favor TD 16 developing into a hurricane, possibly a major hurricane, since the heat content of the waters in the Western Caribbean is high, and the wind shear will be lower further to the south."

This is NOT a good scenario for Florida.

[Vortex]

Looking better...A very large storm.

[cycloneye]

already posted luis

oops with all the rush I didnt saw it was posted.

[wzrgirl1]

tomorrow will be a busy day to say the least....should be the pivotal day....

[wzrgirl1]

don't know where everyone is this evening.....would expect more people on especially now that we have a td....i guess when they wake up in the morning and check in, things will really start to light up around here

[DESTRUCTION5]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

00z GFS Rolling in...

Brings it over Maimi now

[JtSmarts]

don't know where everyone is this evening.....would expect more people on especially now that we have a td....i guess when they wake up in the morning and check in, things will really start to light up around here

I didn't even know there was an invest until I just decided to come here by chance. I figure many of the members are out of "tropical mode" I know I've been out of it for a few weeks now.

[wzrgirl1]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/index_ten_l_loop.shtml

00z GFS Rolling in...

looks to be slightly west....am i seeing that right?

[cycloneye]

I guess that when this hits the media on sunday,they will come in drones.

[wzrgirl1]

I guess that when this hits the media on sunday,they will come in drones.

as long we stay in the cone, you can take what you said to the bank...

[fci]

don't know where everyone is this evening.....would expect more people on especially now that we have a td....i guess when they wake up in the morning and check in, things will really start to light up around here

Note what page we are on now (23)
And how many there will be 24 hours from now. (75??)

[Rainband]

already posted luis

oops with all the rush I didnt saw it was posted.

No biggie

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

This one I will track closely. Hopefully nobody gets hurt
from this.