Hurricane NOEL : Discussions & Images

[cycloneye]

Holy Cow Now lets see if it becomes anything stronger than a TS.What name would we be on?Its been so long I forgot

Noel

[Evil Jeremy]

This reminds me so much of last year's Ernesto. The models suggest a similar path to Ernesto.

[BigA]

Wow, thats a rather drastic change from 5:30 AM. It looks like shear is gradually falling as it moves west, and there is some black-top Infrared near the propopsed center.

If this does form, I thought Noel would be a good name for a post-season December tropical storm, not a Halloween storm

[Evil Jeremy]

Olga should be the Halloween name. Sounds ugly enough.

[cycloneye]

The low center is between Hispanola and Aruba.Look at the image and see where it is.Aruba is the island that is at 70w.

[Cyclone1]

Wow, I can see the circulation better than ever now.

[Vortex]

This is going to be a large system affecting many many people...

[Derek Ortt]

yeah, development likely

watch carefully in south Florida. I have already alerted some of my friends here to watch for a TS/hurricane next week (not a certainity, but a possibility

[wzrgirl1]

yeah, development likely

watch carefully in south Florida. I have already alerted some of my friends here to watch for a TS/hurricane next week (not a certainity, but a possibility

now you have my attention......what are the chances do you think?

[gatorcane]

South Florida is definitely paying attention to this one -- but I think alot of us have written this season off...

Yet the end of October is a busy month for South Florida typically....

The Halloween Hurricane of 2007? (Noel)

[Cyclone1]

I'll talk this storm around, it's worth watching here.

We'll be prepared, Floridians don't get out of bed for much less than a category 2.

[Derek Ortt]

its a little too soon to say. depends where it is located when the front starts to pick up the system. Could be anywhere from a Wilma to a Michelle/Lili type track

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

yeah, development likely

watch carefully in south Florida. I have already alerted some of my friends here to watch for a TS/hurricane next week (not a certainity, but a possibility

Thanks Derek Now I am going to watch it closely. I was not impressed
with it earlier this AM but now I will watch it.

[wzrgirl1]

when derek talks i listen......i can't believe this.....if it pans out it will catch many people by surprise.....the media will go crazy if this thing develops....i guess we should know more by later tonight or tomorrow huh?

[cycloneye]

000
NOUS42 KNHC 271515
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1115 AM EDT SAT 27 OCTOBER 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z OCTOBER 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-155

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS

1. SUSPECT AREA - CARIBBEAN
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 70
A. 28/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01KKA INVEST
C. 28/1530Z
D. 16.0N 74.5W
E. SFC TO 10,000 FT FROM 1730Z TO 2200Z

FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 71
A. 29/0600Z
B. AFXXX 02KKA CYCLONE
C. 29/0300Z
D. 16.1N 76.0W
E. SFC TO 10,000FT FROM 0500Z TO 0900Z

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: CONTINUE 12 HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
WARRANTS.

Tommorow afternoon the first recon mission towards 90L/TD16?

[gatorcane]

its a little too soon to say. depends where it is located when the front starts to pick up the system. Could be anywhere from a Wilma to a Michelle/Lili type track

Wilma track? Lets not hope for the intensity....lets hope for a sheared system please...

Florida needs a break!

[wzrgirl1]

can someone find and post the michelle and lili tracks please....i am already familiar with wilma thank you very much

[Derek Ortt]

I just don't want it to develop before tonight. I want a day off to watch some football

[cycloneye]

can someone find and post the michelle and lili tracks please....i am already familiar with wilma thank you very much

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

michelle tracked just south of FL I think